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In this paper, we investigate the consistency and asymptotic efficiency of an estimator of the drift matrix, $F$, of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes that are not necessarily stable. We consider all the cases. (1) The eigenvalues of $F$ are in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-27 Gopal K. Basak , Philip Lee

We establish a moderate deviation principle for the maximum likelihood estimator of the four parameters of a geometrically ergodic Heston process. We also obtain moderate deviations for the maximum likelihood estimator of the couple of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-26 Marie du Roy de Chaumaray

We study high-dimensional drift estimation for L\'evy-driven Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes based on discrete observations. Assuming sparsity of the drift matrix, we analyze Lasso and Slope estimators constructed from approximate likelihoods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Niklas Dexheimer , Natalia Jeszka

We investigate the asymptotic behavior of the maximum likelihood estimators of the unknown parameters of positive recurrent Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-13 Bernard Bercu , Frederic Proia , Nicolas Savy

We evaluate the steady-state distribution and escape rate for an Active Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Particle (AOUP) using methods from the theory of large deviations. The calculation is carried out both for small and large memory times of the active…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-31 Eric Woillez , Yariv Kafri , Vivien Lecomte

Given the observation of a high-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process in continuous time, we proceed to the inference of the drift parameter under a row-sparsity assumption. Towards that aim, we consider the negative log-likelihood of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-12 Stéphane Gaïffas , Gustaw Matulewicz

We construct a least squares estimator for the drift parameters of a fractional Ornstein Uhlenbeck process with periodic mean function and long range dependence. For this estimator we prove consistency and asymptotic normality. In contrast…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-11 Herold Dehling , Brice Franke , Jeannette H. C. Woerner

Assuming that a threshold Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is observed at discrete time instants, we propose generalized moment estimators to estimate the parameters. Our theoretical basis is the celebrated ergodic theorem. To use this theorem we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Yaozhong Hu , Yuejuan Xi

We prove some efficient inference results concerning estimation of a Ornstein-Uhlenbeck regression model, which is driven by a non-Gaussian stable Levy process and where the output process is observed at high-frequency over a fixed time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Hiroki Masuda

We investigate the problem of estimating the drift parameter of a high-dimensional L\'evy-driven Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process under sparsity constraints. It is shown that both Lasso and Slope estimators achieve the minimax optimal rate of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-17 Niklas Dexheimer , Claudia Strauch

Freidlin-Wentzell theory of large deviations can be used to compute the likelihood of extreme or rare events in stochastic dynamical systems via the solution of an optimization problem. The approach gives exponential estimates that often…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-17 Tobias Grafke , Tobias Schäfer , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

We present an asymptotic expansion formula of an estimator for the drift coefficient of the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. As the machinery, we apply the general expansion scheme for Wiener functionals recently developed by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Ciprian A. Tudor , Nakahiro Yoshida

\noindent \textbf{Abstract}: We consider the parameter estimation problem for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $X$ driven by a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $V$, i.e. the pair of processes defined by the non-Markovian continuous-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-14 Brahim El Onsy , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Frederi G. Viens

In this paper, we address high-dimensional parametric estimation of the drift function in diffusion models, specifically focusing on a $d$-dimensional ergodic diffusion process observed at discrete time points. We consider both a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Chiara Amorino , Francisco Pina , Mark Podolskij

We propose a non-Gaussian operator-valued extension of the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard stochastic volatility dynamics, defined as the square-root of an operator-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with Levy noise and bounded drift. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-25 Fred Espen Benth , Barbara Ruediger , Andre Suess

This paper addresses the estimation problem of an unknown drift parameter matrix for a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process in a multi-dimensional setting. To tackle this problem, we propose a novel approach based on rough path theory that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-28 Zhongmin Qian , Xingcheng Xu

In this article we study the so-called cut-off phenomenon in the total variation distance when $n\to \infty$ for the family of continuous-time stochastic processes indexed by $n\in \mathbb{N}$, \[ \left( \mathcal{Z}^{(n)}_t=…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-05 Gerardo Barrera

We study asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators of drift parameters for a jump-type Heston model based on continuous time observations, where the jump process can be any purely non-Gaussian L\'evy process of not necessarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Matyas Barczy , Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Gyula Pap

We study large deviations for the time average of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process raised to an arbitrary power. We prove that beyond a critical value, large deviations are subexponential in time, with a non-convex rate function whose main…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Grégoire Ferré

This paper proposes consistent and asymptotically Gaussian estimators for the drift, the diffusion coefficient and the Hurst exponent of the discretely observed fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. For the estimation of the drift, the…

Computation · Statistics 2011-12-19 Alexandre Brouste , Stefano M. Iacus