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Under limited available resources, strategies for mitigating the propagation of an epidemic such as random testing and contact tracing become inefficient. Here, we propose to accurately allocate the resources by computing over time an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-07 Gabriela Bayolo Soler , Miraine Dávila Felipe , Ghislaine Gayraud

Most infectious diseases spread on a dynamic network of human interactions. Recent studies of social dynamics have provided evidence that spreading patterns may depend strongly on detailed micro-dynamics of the social system. We have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-23 Arkadiusz Stopczynski , Alex Sandy Pentland , Sune Lehmann

Disease, opinions, ideas, gossip, etc. all spread on social networks. How these networks are connected (the network structure) influences the dynamics of the spreading processes. By investigating these relationships one gains understanding…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-06-29 Petter Holme

The response of many governments to the COVID-19 pandemic has involved measures to control within- and between-household transmission, providing motivation to improve understanding of the absolute and relative risks in these contexts. Here,…

Epidemiologic studies of infectious diseases often rely on models of contact networks to capture the complex interactions that govern disease spread, and ongoing projects aim to vastly increase the scale at which such data can be collected.…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Shlomi Hod , Debanuj Nayak , Jason R. Gantenberg , Iden Kalemaj , Thomas A. Trikalinos , Adam Smith

Human contact networks are constituted by a multitude of individuals and pairwise contacts among them. However, the dynamic nature, which generates the evolution of human contact networks, of contact patterns is not known yet. Here, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-22 Cong Li , Jing Li , Xiang Li

We study the relation between different social behaviors and the onset of epidemics in a model for the dynamics of sexual transmitted diseases. The model considers the society as a system of individual sexuated agents that can be organized…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-10 Sebastian Goncalves , Marcelo Kuperman , Marcelo Ferreira da Costa Gomes

Smoking behavior and awareness co-spread through social interactions, giving rise to coupled contagion processes on social contact networks. In addition to initiation and cessation, awareness of the harmful effects of smoking plays an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-03 Saicharan Ritwik Chinni , Anupama Sharma

Infectious diseases are a significant threat to human society which was over sighted before the incidence of COVID-19, although according to the report of the World Health Organisation (WHO) about 4.2 million people die annually due to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-05 Md Shahzamal , Saeed Khan

We develop a stochastic epidemic model progressing over dynamic networks, where infection rates are heterogeneous and may vary with individual-level covariates. The joint dynamics are modeled as a continuous-time Markov chain such that…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-16 Fan Bu , Allison E. Aiello , Alexander Volfovsky , Jason Xu

Social dynamics is concerned primarily with interactions among individuals and the resulting group behaviors, modeling the temporal evolution of social systems via the interactions of individuals within these systems. In particular, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-08 Zhen Xu , Wen Dong , Sargur Srihari

Information dissemination intricately intertwines with the dynamics of infectious diseases in the contemporary interconnected world. Recognizing the critical role of public awareness, individual vaccination choices appear to be an essential…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-30 Viney Kumar , Chris T Bauch , Samit Bhattacharyya

Age-dependent dynamics is an important characteristic of many infectious diseases. Age-group epidemic models describe the infection dynamics in different age-groups by allowing to set distinct parameter values for each. However, such models…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-17 Rami Yaari , Itai Dattner , Amit Huppert

According to the Lancet report on the global burden of disease published in October 2020, air pollution is among the five highest risk factors for global health, reducing life expectancy on average by 20 months. This paper describes a…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-18 D K Arvind , S Maiya

Epidemiological models for the spread of pathogens in a population are usually only able to describe a single pathogen. This makes their application unrealistic in cases where multiple pathogens with similar symptoms are spreading…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-05-16 Nir Levy , Michael Iv , Elad Yom-Tov

This paper is concerned with a stochastic model for the spread of an SEIR (susceptible -> exposed (=latent) -> infective -> removed) epidemic with a contact tracing scheme, in which removed individuals may name some of their infectious…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Frank G Ball , Edward S Knock , Philip D O'Neill

Hand-hygiene compliance and contacts of health-care workers largely determine the potential paths of pathogen transmission in hospital wards. We explored how the combination of data collected by two automated infrastructures based on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-18 Rossana Mastrandrea , Alberto Soto-Aladro , Philippe Brouqui , Alain Barrat

The adoption of individual behavioural patterns is largely determined by stimuli arriving from peers via social interactions or from external sources. Based on these influences, individuals are commonly assumed to follow simple or complex…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Elsa Andres , Gergely Ódor , Iacopo Iacopini , Márton Karsai

The outbreak of an infectious disease in a human population can lead to individuals responding with preventive measures in an attempt to avoid getting infected. This leads to changes in contact patterns. However, as we show in this paper,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-15 Ka Yin Leung , Frank Ball , David Sirl , Tom Britton

Face-to-face contacts between individuals contribute to shape social networks and play an important role in determining how infectious diseases can spread within a population. It is thus important to obtain accurate and reliable…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-09-19 Julie Fournet , Alain Barrat