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Finance is a particularly challenging application area for deep learning models due to low noise-to-signal ratio, non-stationarity, and partial observability. Non-deliverable-forwards (NDF), a derivatives contract used in foreign exchange…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-25 Michael Poli , Jinkyoo Park , Ilija Ilievski

The irregular and multi-modal nature of numerous modern data sources poses serious challenges for traditional deep learning algorithms. To this end, recent efforts have generalized existing algorithms to irregular domains through graphs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Yao Lei Xu , Kriton Konstantinidis , Danilo P. Mandic

In general, traders test their trading strategies by applying them on the historical market data (backtesting), and then apply to the future trades the strategy that achieved the maximum profit on such past data. In this paper, we propose a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-24 Ivan Letteri , Giuseppe Della Penna , Giovanni De Gasperis , Abeer Dyoub

The price movement prediction of stock market has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention of both economists and computer scientists. In recent years, graph neural network has significantly improved the prediction…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-16 Sheng Xiang , Dawei Cheng , Chencheng Shang , Ying Zhang , Yuqi Liang

Stock return forecasting is a major component of numerous finance applications. Predicted stock returns can be incorporated into portfolio trading algorithms to make informed buy or sell decisions which can optimize returns. In such…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-23 Zimeng Lyu , Amulya Saxena , Rohaan Nadeem , Hao Zhang , Travis Desell

In this paper, we investigate the problem of predicting the future volatility of Forex currency pairs using the deep learning techniques. We show step-by-step how to construct the deep-learning network by the guidance of the empirical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-06 Shujian Liao , Jian Chen , Hao Ni

Even though computational intelligence techniques have been extensively utilized in financial trading systems, almost all developed models use the time series data for price prediction or identifying buy-sell points. However, in this study…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-13 Omer Berat Sezer , Ahmet Murat Ozbayoglu

This paper leverages machine learning algorithms to forecast and analyze financial time series. The process begins with a denoising autoencoder to filter out random noise fluctuations from the main contract price data. Then, one-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Zhuohuan Hu , Richard Yu , Zizhou Zhang , Haoran Zheng , Qianying Liu , Yining Zhou

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are more suitable for learning non-linear dependencies in dynamical systems from observed time series data. In practice all the external variables driving such systems are not known a priori, especially in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Mhlasakululeka Mvubu , Emmanuel Kabuga , Christian Plitz , Bubacarr Bah , Ronnie Becker , Hans Georg Zimmermann

This paper presents the implementation of an advanced artificial intelligence-based algorithmic trading system specifically designed for the EUR-USD pair within the high-frequency environment of the Forex market. The methodological approach…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Juan C. King , Jose M. Amigo

Advanced algorithms based on Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) have been able to become a reliable tool for the Forex market traders and provide a suitable strategy for maximizing profit and reducing trading risk. These tools try to find…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Sahar Arabha , Davoud Sarani , Parviz Rashidi-Khazaee

In today's forex market traders increasingly turn to algorithmic trading, leveraging computers to seek more profits. Deep learning techniques as cutting-edge advancements in machine learning, capable of identifying patterns in financial…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-08-31 Davoud Sarani , Parviz Rashidi-Khazaee

In recent years, the popularity of artificial intelligence has surged due to its widespread application in various fields. The financial sector has harnessed its advantages for multiple purposes, including the development of automated…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-01 Vito Alessandro Monaco , Antonio Riva , Luca Sabbioni , Lorenzo Bisi , Edoardo Vittori , Marco Pinciroli , Michele Trapletti , Marcello Restelli

This paper presents a Double Deep Q-Network algorithm for trading single assets, namely the E-mini S&P 500 continuous futures contract. We use a proven setup as the foundation for our environment with multiple extensions. The features of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-30 Frensi Zejnullahu , Maurice Moser , Joerg Osterrieder

This article proposed a hybrid detrended deconvolution foreign exchange network construction method (DDFEN), which combined the detrended cross-correlation analysis coefficient (DCCC) and the network deconvolution method together. DDFEN is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-24 Pengfei Xi , Shiyang Lai , Xueying Wang , Weiqiang Huang

The article is concerned with the problem of multi-step financial time series forecasting of Foreign Exchange (FX) rates. To address this problem, we introduce a regression network termed RegPred Net. The exchange rate to forecast is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-12 Linwei Li , Paul-Amaury Matt , Christian Heumann

We introduce Dynamic Deep Neural Networks (D2NN), a new type of feed-forward deep neural network that allows selective execution. Given an input, only a subset of D2NN neurons are executed, and the particular subset is determined by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-06 Lanlan Liu , Jia Deng

Stock market forecasting is a lucrative field of interest with promising profits but not without its difficulties and for some people could be even causes of failure. Financial markets by their nature are complex, non-linear and chaotic,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-31 Ivan Letteri , Giuseppe Della Penna , Giovanni De Gasperis , Abeer Dyoub

In this paper, a neural network-based stock price prediction and trading system using technical analysis indicators is presented. The model developed first converts the financial time series data into a series of buy-sell-hold trigger…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-12-29 O. B. Sezer , M. Ozbayoglu , E. Dogdu

Reinforcement learning can interact with the environment and is suitable for applications in decision control systems. Therefore, we used the reinforcement learning method to establish a foreign exchange transaction, avoiding the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-05 Yun-Cheng Tsai , Chun-Chieh Wang