English
Related papers

Related papers: Adaptive confidence sets in L^2

200 papers

A fully stochastic second-order adaptive-regularization method for unconstrained nonconvex optimization is presented which never computes the objective-function value, but yet achieves the optimal $\mathcal{O}(\epsilon^{-3/2})$ complexity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Serge Gratton , Sadok Jerad , Philippe L. Toint

We provide adaptive confidence intervals on a parameter of interest in the presence of nuisance parameters when some of the nuisance parameters have known signs. The confidence intervals are adaptive in the sense that they tend to be short…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-20 Philipp Ketz , Adam McCloskey

This paper deals with the classical problem of density estimation on the real line. Most of the existing papers devoted to minimax properties assume that the support of the underlying density is bounded and known. But this assumption may be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-07-13 Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Vincent Rivoirard , Christine Tuleau-Malot

Adaptive experiment designs can dramatically improve statistical efficiency in randomized trials, but they also complicate statistical inference. For example, it is now well known that the sample mean is biased in adaptive trials.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-16 Vitor Hadad , David A. Hirshberg , Ruohan Zhan , Stefan Wager , Susan Athey

Quantifying a model's predictive uncertainty is essential for safety-critical applications such as autonomous driving. We consider quantifying such uncertainty for multi-object detection. In particular, we leverage conformal prediction to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-31 Alexander Timans , Christoph-Nikolas Straehle , Kaspar Sakmann , Eric Nalisnick

Inference is typically intractable in high-treewidth undirected graphical models, making maximum likelihood learning a challenge. One way to overcome this is to restrict parameters to a tractable set, most typically the set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-02 Justin Domke

The statistics and machine learning communities have recently seen a growing interest in classification-based approaches to two-sample testing. The outcome of a classification-based two-sample test remains a rejection decision, which is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Loris Michel , Jeffrey Näf , Nicolai Meinshausen

This paper studies the construction of adaptive confidence intervals under Huber's contamination model when the contamination proportion is unknown. For the robust confidence interval of a Gaussian mean, we show that the optimal length of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Yuetian Luo , Chao Gao

We consider clinical trials in which an experimental treatment is compared with a control in pre-specified patient subpopulations. In such settings, adaptive enrichment designs allow the enrolled population to be modified at an interim…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Enyu Li , Nigel Stallard , Ekkehard Glimm , Dominic Magirr , Peter K. Kimani

We consider the problem of adaptive stabilization for discrete-time, multi-dimensional linear systems with bounded control input constraints and unbounded stochastic disturbances, where the parameters of the true system are unknown. To…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-04 Seth Siriya , Jingge Zhu , Dragan Nešić , Ye Pu

Forecasting the evolution of complex systems is one of the grand challenges of modern data science. The fundamental difficulty lies in understanding the structure of the observed stochastic process. In this paper, we show that every…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

Adaptive cubic regularization methods have emerged as a credible alternative to linesearch and trust-region for smooth nonconvex optimization, with optimal complexity amongst second-order methods. Here we consider a general/new class of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Coralia Cartis , Nicholas I. M. Gould , Philippe L. Toint

We give tight upper and lower bounds of the cardinality of the index sets of certain hyperbolic crosses which reflect mixed Sobolev-Korobov-type smoothness and mixed Sobolev-analytic-type smoothness in the infinite-dimensional case where…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-11-10 Dinh Dũng , Michael Griebel

We study the numerical integration problem for functions with infinitely many variables. The function spaces of integrands we consider are weighted reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces with norms related to the ANOVA decomposition of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Josef Dick , Michael Gnewuch

An important problem in statistics is the construction of confidence regions for unknown parameters. In most cases, asymptotic distribution theory is used to construct confidence regions, so any coverage probability claims only hold…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Ryan Martin

We establish optimal convergence rates for the continuous piecewise affine finite element approximation of the Sobolev constant in arbitrary dimensions N\geq 2 and for Lebesgue exponents 1<p<N. Our analysis relies on a refined study of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Liviu I. Ignat , Enrique Zuazua

This work is concerned with the formulation of a general framework for the analysis of meshfree approximation schemes and with the convergence analysis of the Local Maximum-Entropy (LME) scheme as a particular example. We provide conditions…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-08-01 Agustin Bompadre , Bernd Schmidt , Michael Ortiz

This paper studies and critically discusses the construction of nonparametric confidence regions for density level sets. Methodologies based on both vertical variation and horizontal variation are considered. The investigations provide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Wanli Qiao , Wolfgang Polonik

A new framework for adaptive regulation to invariant sets is proposed. Reaching the target dynamics (invariant set) is to be ensured by state feedback while adaptation to parametric uncertainties is provided by additional adaptation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ivan Tyukin , Denis Efimov , Cees van Leeuwen

We consider a circular deconvolution problem, in which the density $f$ of a circular random variable $X$ must be estimated nonparametrically based on an i.i.d. sample from a noisy observation $Y$ of $X$. The additive measurement error is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-11 Jan Johannes , Maik Schwarz