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Related papers: Modelling Epidemics on Networks

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The spread of an epidemic is often modeled by an SIR random process on a social network graph. The MinINF problem for optimal social distancing involves minimizing the expected number of infections, when we are allowed to break at most $B$…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-02-18 Amy Babay , Michael Dinitz , Aravind Srinivasan , Leonidas Tsepenekas , Anil Vullikanti

We introduce a new percolation model to describe and analyze the spread of an epidemic on a general directed and locally finite graph. We assign a two-dimensional random weight vector to each vertex of the graph in such a way that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-30 Ronald Meester , Pieter Trapman

The manner epidemics occurs in a social network depends on various elements, with two of the most influential being the relationships among individuals in the population and the mechanism of transmission. In this paper, we assume that the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-09 Francisco J. Muñoz , Luca Meacci , Juan Carlos Nuño , Mario Primicerio

When an epidemic spreads into a population, it is often unpractical or impossible to have a continuous monitoring of all subjects involved. As an alternative, algorithmic solutions can be used to infer the state of the whole population from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-12 Abhishek Tomy , Matteo Razzanelli , Francesco Di Lauro , Daniela Rus , Cosimo Della Santina

Percolation on two-dimensional small-world networks has been proposed as a model for the spread of plant diseases. In this paper we give an analytic solution of this model using a combination of generating function methods and high-order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. E. J. Newman , I. Jensen , R. M. Ziff

Controlling infectious diseases is a major health priority because they can spread and infect humans, thus evolving into epidemics or pandemics. Therefore, early detection of infectious diseases is a significant need, and many researchers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Eman Yahia Alqaissi , Fahd Saleh Alotaibi , Muhammad Sher Ramzan

We investigate the effects of risk perception in a simple model of epidemic spreading. We assume that the perception of the risk of being infected depends on the fraction of neighbors that are ill. The effect of this factor is to decrease…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-12-06 Franco Bagnoli , Pietro Lio , Luca Sguanci

We study a graph-theoretic property known as robustness, which plays a key role in certain classes of dynamics on networks (such as resilient consensus, contagion and bootstrap percolation). This property is stronger than other graph…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Haotian Zhang , Elaheh Fata , Shreyas Sundaram

We introduce a new methodology to analyze the evolution of epidemic time series, which is based on the construction of epidemic networks. First, we translate the time series into ordinal patterns containing information about local…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-17 José L. Herrera-Diestra , Javier M. Buldú , Mario Chávez , Johann H. Martínez

The spread of an infectious disease depends on intrinsic properties of the disease as well as the connectivity and actions of the population. This study investigates the dynamics of an SIR type model which accounts for human tendency to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-07-26 Hannah Scanlon , John Gemmer

The spread of disease on complex networks has attracted widely attention in the physics community. Recent works have demonstrated that heterogeneous degree and weight distributions have a significant influence on the epidemic dynamics. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-22 Wei Wang , Ming Tang , Hai-Feng Zhang , Hui Gao , Younghae Do , Zong-Hua Liu

Most epidemic models assume equal mixing among members of a population. An alternative approach is to model a population as random network in which individuals may have heterogeneous connectivity. This paper builds on previous research by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Erik Volz

Infectious or contagious diseases can be transmitted from one person to another through social contact networks. In today's interconnected global society, such contagion processes can cause global public health hazards, as exemplified by…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Anirban Dasgupta , Srijan Sengupta

A characteristic property of networks is their ability to propagate influences, such as infectious diseases, behavioral changes, and failures. An especially important class of such contagious dynamics is that of cascading processes. These…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-01-26 Adilson E. Motter , Yang Yang

The dynamics of the spread of contagions such as viruses, infectious diseases or even rumors/opinions over contact networks (graphs) have effectively been captured by the well known \textit{Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible} ($SIS$) epidemic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-13 Vishwaraj Doshi , Shailaja Mallick , Do Young Eun

This paper gives an introduction to rule-based modelling applied to topics in infectious diseases. Rule-based models generalise reaction-based models with reagents that have internal state and may be bound together to form complexes, as in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-10 William Waites , Matteo Cavaliere , David Manheim , Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths , Vincent Danos

During infectious disease epidemics, pathogen transmission occurs in host populations made up of interacting subpopulations. Using stochastic simulation and analytical approximations, we examine how outbreak sizes in networked populations…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-21 Makoto Ueki , Robin N. Thompson , Murad Banaji

Network epidemiology's most important assumption is that the contact structure over which infectious diseases propagate can be represented as a static network. However, contacts are highly dynamic, changing at many time scales. In this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-12 Petter Holme

The study of how diseases spread has greatly benefited from advances in network modeling. Recently, a class of networks known as multilayer graphs has been shown to describe more accurately many real systems, making it possible to address…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-16 Xiangrong Wang , Alberto Aleta , Dan Lu , Yamir Moreno

In this paper we first introduce the general stochastic epidemic model for the spread of infectious diseases. Then we give methods for inferring model parameters such as the basic reproduction number $R_0$ and vaccination coverage $v_c$…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-14 Tom Britton , Federica Giardina