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Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are primarily used for sampling from a given probability distribution and estimating multi-dimensional integrals based on the information contained in the generated samples. Whenever it is possible, more…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-22 Manuel Athènes , Pierre Terrier

Adversarial online linear optimization (OLO) is essentially about making performance tradeoffs with respect to the unknown difficulty of the adversary. In the setting of one-dimensional fixed-time OLO on a bounded domain, it has been…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-09 Zhiyu Zhang , Aaditya Ramdas

We develop the general integral transforms (GIT) method for pricing barrier options in the time-dependent Heston model (also with a time-dependent barrier) where the option price is represented in a semi-analytical form as a two-dimensional…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-15 P. Carr , A. Itkin , D. Muravey

Variational methods are employed in situations where exact Bayesian inference becomes intractable due to the difficulty in performing certain integrals. Typically, variational methods postulate a tractable posterior and formulate a lower…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-12 Nikolaos Gianniotis , Christoph Schnörr , Christian Molkenthin , Sanjay Singh Bora

For a nonlinear stochastic path planning problem, sampling-based algorithms generate thousands of random sample trajectories to find the optimal path while guaranteeing safety by Lagrangian penalty methods. However, the sampling-based…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-16 Chuyuan Tao , Hunmin Kim , Hyungjin Yoon , Naira Hovakimyan , Petros Voulgaris

In this work, we extend the hybrid Chernoff tau-leap method to the multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) setting. Inspired by the work of Anderson and Higham on the tau-leap MLMC method with uniform time steps, we develop a novel algorithm that is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-11-24 Alvaro Moraes , Raul Tempone , Pedro Vilanova

In this work, we propose a new policy iteration algorithm for pricing Bermudan options when the payoff process cannot be written as a function of a lifted Markov process. Our approach is based on a modification of the well-known Longstaff…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-27 Jérôme Lelong

This article addresses the problem of approximating the price of options on discrete and continuous arithmetic average of the underlying, i.e. discretely and continuously monitored Asian options, in local volatility models. A…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-13 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Nien-Lin Liu , Tai-Ho Wang

Partially twisted boundary conditions are widely used for improving the momentum resolution in lattice computations of hadronic correlation functions. The method is however expensive since every additional twist requires computing…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2021-12-17 Nils Asmussen , Alessandro Barone , Andreas Jüttner

This article addresses online variational estimation in parametric state-space models. We propose a new procedure for efficiently computing the evidence lower bound and its gradient in a streaming-data setting, where observations arrive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Mathis Chagneux , Mathias Müller , Pierre Gloaguen , Sylvain Le Corff , Jimmy Olsson

The problems of model and variable selections for classification trees are jointly considered. A penalized criterion is proposed which explicitly takes into account the number of variables, and a risk bound inequality is provided for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-27 Servane Gey , Tristan Mary-Huard

The pivot algorithm is the most efficient known method for sampling polymer configurations for self-avoiding walks and related models. Here we introduce two recent improvements to an efficient binary tree implementation of the pivot…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-12-22 Nathan Clisby , Dac Thanh Chuong Ho

In this paper we address the problem of dynamic pricing for toll lanes on freeways. The proposed toll mechanism is broken up into two parts: (1) the supply side feedback control that computes the desired split ratios for the incoming…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-05-05 Elena G. Dorogush , Alex A. Kurzhanskiy

We explore efficient estimation of statistical quantities, particularly rare event probabilities, for stochastic reaction networks. Consequently, we propose an importance sampling (IS) approach to improve the Monte Carlo (MC) estimator…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Chiheb Ben Hammouda , Nadhir Ben Rached , Raúl Tempone , Sophia Wiechert

This paper presents a multinomial method for option pricing when the underlying asset follows an exponential Variance Gamma process. The continuous time Variance Gamma process is approximated by a discrete time Markov chain with the same…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-18 Nicola Cantarutti , João Guerra

We consider a multistage framework introduced recently where, given a time horizon t=1,2,...,T, the input is a sequence of instances of a (static) combinatorial optimization problem I_1,I_2,...,I_T, (one for each time step), and the goal is…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Evripidis Bampis , Bruno Escoffier , Alexander Kononov

Monte Carlo sampling techniques have been proposed as a strategy to reduce the computational cost of contractions in tensor network approaches to solving many-body systems. Here we put forward a variational Monte Carlo approach for the…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2012-05-01 Andrew J. Ferris , Guifre Vidal

Variational inference is a powerful paradigm for approximate Bayesian inference with a number of appealing properties, including support for model learning and data subsampling. By contrast MCMC methods like Hamiltonian Monte Carlo do not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-14 Martin Jankowiak , Du Phan

In this work we present an analytical model, based on the path-integral formalism of Statistical Mechanics, for pricing options using first-passage time problems involving both fixed and deterministically moving absorbing barriers under…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-24 Andre Catalao , Rogerio Rosenfeld

The value of an American option is the maximized value of the discounted cash flows from the option. At each time step, one needs to compare the immediate exercise value with the continuation value and decide to exercise as soon as the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-27 Zineb El Filali Ech-Chafiq , Pierre Henry-Labordere , Jérôme Lelong