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Conditional sampling distributions (CSDs), sometimes referred to as copying models, underlie numerous practical tools in population genomic analyses. Though an important application that has received much attention is the inference of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-20 Matthias Steinrücken , Joshua S. Paul , Yun S. Song

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a sampling-based method for estimating features of probability distributions. MCMC methods produce a serially correlated, yet representative, sample from the desired distribution. As such it can be…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-10 Dootika Vats , Nathan Robertson , James M Flegal , Galin L Jones

A central task in many applications is reasoning about processes that change in a continuous time. The mathematical framework of Continuous Time Markov Processes provides the basic foundations for modeling such systems. Recently, Nodelman…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Tal El-Hay , Nir Friedman , Daphne Koller , Raz Kupferman

State-space models are commonly used to describe different forms of ecological data. We consider the case of count data with observation errors. For such data the system process is typically multi-dimensional consisting of coupled Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-15 Axel Finke , Ruth King , Alexandros Beskos , Petros Dellaportas

Many embedded and real-time systems have a inherent probabilistic behaviour (sensors data, unreliable hardware,...). In that context, it is crucial to evaluate system properties such as "the probability that a particular hardware fails".…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2015-09-22 Van Chan Ngo , Axel Legay , Jean Quilbeuf

There has been substantial progress in the inference of formal behavioural specifications from sample trajectories, for example, using Linear Temporal Logic (LTL). However, these techniques cannot handle specifications that correctly…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Rajarshi Roy , Yash Pote , David Parker , Marta Kwiatkowska

Hyperproperties are properties that describe the correctness of a system as a relation between multiple executions. Hyperproperties generalize trace properties and include information-flow security requirements, like noninterference, as…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-10-14 Rayna Dimitrova , Bernd Finkbeiner , Hazem Torfah

We introduce a framework for analyzing ordinary differential equation (ODE) models of biological networks using statistical model checking (SMC). A key aspect of our work is the modeling of single-cell variability by assigning a probability…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-05 Bing Liu , Benjamin M. Gyori , P. S. Thiagarajan

Metric Temporal Logic (MTL) is a popular formalism to specify temporal patterns with timing constraints over the behavior of cyber-physical systems with application areas ranging in property-based testing, robotics, optimization, and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Dogan Ulus

Continuous-time Markov processes over finite state-spaces are widely used to model dynamical processes in many fields of natural and social science. Here, we introduce an maximum likelihood estimator for constructing such models from data…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-01 Robert T. McGibbon , Vijay S. Pande

Markovian population models are suitable abstractions to describe well-mixed interacting particle systems in situation where stochastic fluctuations are significant due to the involvement of low copy particles. In molecular biology,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-01-17 Christoph Zechner , Federico Wadehn , Heinz Koeppl

In this paper we present an extension of population-based Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to the trans-dimensional case. One of the main challenges in MCMC-based inference is that of simulating from high and trans-dimensional target…

Computation · Statistics 2007-11-02 Ajay Jasra , David A. Stephens , Chris C. Holmes

The perceived advantage of machine learning (ML) models is that they are flexible and can incorporate a large number of features. However, many of these are typically correlated or dependent, and incorporating all of them can hinder model…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-11 Anwesha Bhattacharyya , Yaqun Wang , Joel Vaughan , Vijayan N. Nair

Model predictive control (MPC) anticipates future events to take appropriate control actions. Nonlinear MPC (NMPC) describes systems with nonlinear models and/or constraints. Continuation MPC, suggested by T.~Ohtsuka in 2004, uses…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-13 Andrew Knyazev , Alexander Malyshev

Markov state models (MSMs) have been widely used to analyze computer simulations of various biomolecular systems. They can capture conformational transitions much slower than an average or maximal length of a single molecular dynamics (MD)…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-14 Anton V. Sinitskiy , Vijay S. Pande

The Pairwise Markov Chain (PMC) is a probabilistic graphical model extending the well-known Hidden Markov Model. This model, although highly effective for many tasks, has been scarcely utilized for continuous value prediction. This is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-12 Elie Azeraf

Identifying communities (or clusters), namely groups of nodes with comparatively strong internal connectivity, is a fundamental task for deeply understanding the structure and function of a network. Yet, there is a lack of formal criteria…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-11-07 Carlo Piccardi

We present a bounded model checking algorithm for signal temporal logic (STL) that exploits mixed-integer linear programming (MILP). A key technical element is our novel MILP encoding of the STL semantics; it follows the idea of stable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-14 Sota Sato , Jie An , Zhenya Zhang , Ichiro Hasuo

In this paper we study strong and weak bisimulation equivalences for continuous-time Markov decision processes (CTMDPs) and the logical characterizations of these relations with respect to the continuous-time stochastic logic (CSL). For…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-11-19 Lei Song , Lijun Zhang , Jens Chr. Godskesen

Interactive Markov chains (IMC) are compositional behavioural models extending labelled transition systems and continuous-time Markov chains. We provide a framework and algorithms for compositional verification and optimization of IMC with…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-12-05 Holger Hermanns , Jan Krčál , Jan Křetínský
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