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Mean-Field is an efficient way to approximate a posterior distribution in complex graphical models and constitutes the most popular class of Bayesian variational approximation methods. In most applications, the mean field distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-23 Pierre Baqué , Jean-Hubert Hours , François Fleuret , Pascal Fua

When climate forecasts are highly uncertain, the optimal mean squared error strategy is to ignore them. When climate forecasts are highly certain, the optimal mean squared error strategy is to use them as is. In between these two extremes…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-12-23 Stephen Jewson , Ed Hawkins

This article considers algorithmic and statistical aspects of linear regression when the correspondence between the covariates and the responses is unknown. First, a fully polynomial-time approximation scheme is given for the natural least…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-09 Daniel Hsu , Kevin Shi , Xiaorui Sun

This paper introduces a general framework for estimating variance components in the linear mixed models via general unbiased estimating equations, which include some well-used estimators such as the restricted maximum likelihood estimator.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Tatsuya Kubokawa , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Hiromasa Tamae , Sanjay Chaudhuri

Least-squares approximation is one of the most important methods for recovering an unknown function from data. While in many applications the data is fixed, in many others there is substantial freedom to choose where to sample. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-11 Ben Adcock

A continuous-time regression model with a jointly strictly sub-Gaussian random noise is considered in the paper. Upper exponential bounds for probabilities of large deviations of the least squares estimator for the regression parameter are…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Alexander V. Ivanov , Igor V. Orlovskyi

This article investigates nonparametric estimation of variance functions for functional data when the mean function is unknown. We obtain asymptotic results for the kernel estimator based on squared residuals. Similar to the finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-12-16 Heng Lian

This paper addresses the asymptotic performance of popular spatial regression estimators of the linear effect of an exposure on an outcome under ``spatial confounding" -- the presence of an unmeasured spatially-structured variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-19 Brian Gilbert , Elizabeth L. Ogburn , Abhirup Datta

The randomized row method is a popular representative of the iterative algorithm because of its efficiency in solving the overdetermined and consistent systems of linear equations. In this paper, we present an extended randomized multiple…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-06 Nian-Ci Wu , Chengzhi Liu , Yatian Wang , Qian Zuo

We consider the estimation of a scalar parameter, when two estimators are available. The first is always consistent. The second is inconsistent in general, but has a smaller asymptotic variance than the first, and may be consistent if an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-29 Clément de Chaisemartin , Xavier D'Haultfœuille

In this paper we propose a semi-parametric Bayesian Generalized Least Squares estimator. In a generic setting where each error is a vector, the parametric Generalized Least Square estimator maintains the assumption that each error vector…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-01 Ruochen Wu , Melvyn Weeks

In this article we derive an unbiased expression for the expected mean-squared error associated with continuously differentiable estimators of the noncentrality parameter of a chi-square random variable. We then consider the task of…

Applications · Statistics 2012-10-15 Florian Luisier , Thierry Blu , Patrick J. Wolfe

The partial least squares algorithm for dependent data realisations is considered. Consequences of ignoring the dependence for the algorithm performance are studied both theoretically and in simulations. It is shown that ignoring certain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-07 Marco Singer , Tatyana Krivobokova , Bert L. de Groot , Axel Munk

We consider a finite impulse response system with centered independent sub-Gaussian design covariates and noise components that are not necessarily identically distributed. We derive non-asymptotic near-optimal estimation and prediction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-02 Boualem Djehiche , Othmane Mazhar , Cristian R. Rojas

We consider least squares estimators of the finite regression parameter $\alpha$ in the single index regression model $Y=\psi(\alpha^T X)+\epsilon$, where $X$ is a $d$-dimensional random vector, $\E(Y|X)=\psi(\alpha^T X)$, and where $\psi$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Piet Groeneboom

We settle an open problem of several years standing by showing that the least-squares mean for positive definite matrices is monotone for the usual (Loewner) order. Indeed we show this is a special case of its appropriate generalization to…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2010-07-28 Jimmie Lawson , Yongdo Lim

Consider a Gaussian nonparametric regression problem having both an unknown mean function and unknown variance function. This article presents a class of difference-based kernel estimators for the variance function. Optimal convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Lawrence D. Brown , M. Levine

The estimation of parameters in a linear model is considered under the hypothesis that the noise, with finite second order statistics, can be represented in a given deterministic basis by random coefficients. An extended underdetermined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-06 Piero Barone , Isabella Lari

In this paper we have considered the problem of estimating the population mean in systematic sampling using information on an auxiliary variable in presence of non response. Some modified ratio, product and difference type estimators in…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-06 Hemant K. Verma , R. D. Singh , Rajesh Singh

The standard estimator for the two-point function of a homogeneous and isotropic random field is a special case of a larger class of least squares estimators that interpolate the function values. Using a different interpolation scheme,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-17 Nicolas Tessore