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An important part of problems in statistical physics and computer science can be expressed as the computation of marginal probabilities over a Markov Random Field. The belief propagation algorithm, which is an exact procedure to compute…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-01-24 Victorin Martin , Jean-Marc Lasgouttes , Cyril Furtlehner

We consider a population of N individuals, whose dynamics through time is represented by a biparental Moran model with two types: an advantaged type and a disadvantaged type. The advantage is due to a mutation, transmitted in a Mendelian…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Camille Coron , Yves Le Jan

We are interested in modelling Darwinian evolution, resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. Our models are rooted in the microscopic, stochastic description of a population…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Nicolas Champagnat , Régis Ferrière , Sylvie Méléard

Natural microbial populations often have complex spatial structures. This can impact their evolution, in particular the ability of mutants to take over. While mutant fixation probabilities are known to be unaffected by sufficiently…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-30 Alia Abbara , Anne-Florence Bitbol

We consider a general honest homogeneous continuous-time Markov process with restarts. The process is forced to restart from a given distribution at time moments generated by an independent Poisson process. The motivation to study such…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-26 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Alexei Piunovskiy , Zhang Yi

We consider a family of fragmentation processes where the rate at which a particle splits is proportional to a function of its mass. Let $F\_{1}^{(m)}(t),F\_{2}^{(m)}(t),...$ denote the decreasing rearrangement of the masses present at time…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Bénédicte Haas

The voter process is a classic stochastic process that models the invasion of a mutant trait $A$ (e.g., a new opinion, belief, legend, genetic mutation, magnetic spin) in a population of agents (e.g., people, genes, particles) who share a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-04 Loke Durocher , Panagiotis Karras , Andreas Pavlogiannis , Josef Tkadlec

We consider a population whose size $N$ is fixed over the generations, and in which random beneficial mutations arrive at a rate of order $1/\log N$ per generation. In this so-called Gerrish--Lenski regime, typically a finite number of…

A number of problems in statistical physics and computer science can be expressed as the computation of marginal probabilities over a Markov random field. Belief propagation, an iterative message-passing algorithm, computes exactly such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-10-23 Victorin Martin , Jean-Marc Lasgouttes , Cyril Furtlehner

We consider a single genetic locus which carries two alleles, labelled P and Q. This locus experiences selection and mutation. It is linked to a second neutral locus with recombination rate r. If r=0, this reduces to the study of a single…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 N. H. Barton , A. M. Etheridge , A. K. Sturm

We consider the stochastic geometry model where the location of each node is a random point in a given metric space, or the existence of each node is uncertain. We study the problems of computing the expected lengths of several…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-02-18 Lingxiao Huang , Jian Li

Random dynamical systems (RDS) evolve by a dynamical rule chosen independently with a certain probability, from a given set of deterministic rules. These dynamical systems in an interval reach a steady state with a unique well-defined…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-21 M. S. Shesha Gopal , Soumitro Banerjee , P. K. Mohanty

A model for the evolution of a finite population in a rugged fitness landscape is introduced and solved. The population is trapped in an evolutionary loop, alternating periods of stasis to periods in which it performs adaptive walks. The…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 Luca Peliti

We introduce a stochastic model of a population with overlapping generations and arbitrary levels of self-fertilization versus outcrossing. We study how the global graph of reproductive relationships, or population pedigree, influences the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-20 Maximillian Newman , John Wakeley , Wai-Tong Louis Fan

We consider a strong Markov process with killing and prove an approximation method for the distribution of the process conditioned not to be killed when it is observed. The method is based on a Fleming-Viot type particle system with…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-04 Denis Villemonais

The advent of modern genome sequencing techniques allows for a more stringent test of the neutrality hypothesis of Darwinian evolution, where all individuals have the same fitness. Using the individual based model of Wright and Fisher, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-01 Bahram Houchmandzadeh

Starting from any graph on $\{1, \ldots, n\}$, consider the Markov chain where at each time-step a uniformly chosen vertex is disconnected from all of its neighbors and reconnected to another uniformly chosen vertex. This Markov chain has a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-09 François Bienvenu , Jean-Jil Duchamps , Félix Foutel-Rodier

Evolutionary game theory has proved to be a powerful tool to probe the self-organisation of collective behaviour by considering frequency-dependent fitness in evolutionary processes. It has shown that the stability of a strategy depends not…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-11 Diogo L. Pires , Mark Broom

In evolutionary games the fitness of individuals is not constant but depends on the relative abundance of the various strategies in the population. Here we study general games among n strategies in populations of large but finite size. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-05-16 Tibor Antal , Arne Traulsen , Hisashi Ohtsuki , Corina E. Tarnita , Martin A. Nowak

Natural selection and random drift are competing phenomena for explaining the evolution of populations. Combining a highly fit mutant with a population structure that improves the odds that the mutant spreads through the whole population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-08-14 Valmir C. Barbosa , Raul Donangelo , Sergio R. Souza