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This paper considers an approximate dynamic matrix factor model that accounts for the time series nature of the data by explicitly modelling the time evolution of the factors. We study estimation of the model parameters based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Matteo Barigozzi , Luca Trapin

Mixture of linear regression is well studied in statistics and machine learning, where the data points are generated probabilistically using $k$ linear models. Algorithms like Expectation Maximization (EM) may be used to recover the ground…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Avishek Ghosh

Hidden Markov models provide a natural statistical framework for the detection of the copy number variations (CNV) in genomics. In this paper, we consider a Hidden Markov Model involving several correlated hidden processes at the same time.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-22 Xiaoqiang Wang , Emilie Lebarbier , Julie Aubert , Stéphane Robin

We present approximate algorithms for performing smoothing in a class of high-dimensional state-space models via sequential Monte Carlo methods ("particle filters"). In high dimensions, a prohibitively large number of Monte Carlo samples…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-21 Axel Finke , Sumeetpal S. Singh

Numerous statistical methods have been developed to explore genomic imprinting and maternal effects, which are causes of parent-of-origin patterns in complex human diseases. However, most of them either only model one of these two…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-02 Pooya Aavani , Alexandre Trindade , Fangyuan Zhang

We propose a sequential Markov chain Monte Carlo (SMCMC) algorithm to sample from a sequence of probability distributions, corresponding to posterior distributions at different times in on-line applications. SMCMC proceeds as in usual MCMC…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-20 Yun Yang , David B. Dunson

Monte Carlo methods use random sampling to estimate numerical quantities which are hard to compute deterministically. One important example is the use in statistical physics of rapidly mixing Markov chains to approximately compute partition…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-07-12 Ashley Montanaro

Finite mixture models are among the most popular statistical models used in different data science disciplines. Despite their broad applicability, inference under these models typically leads to computationally challenging non-convex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-25 Babak Barazandeh , Meisam Razaviyayn

Data in modern economic and financial applications often arrive as a stream, requiring models and inference to be updated in real time -- yet most semiparametric methods remain batch-based and computationally impractical in large-scale…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-10 Xiaohong Chen , Elie Tamer , Qingsong Yao

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are a class of techniques to sample approximately from any sequence of probability distributions using a combination of importance sampling and resampling steps. This paper is concerned with the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-05 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet , Ajay Jasra

The Expectation-Maximization algorithm is perhaps the most broadly used algorithm for inference of latent variable problems. A theoretical understanding of its performance, however, largely remains lacking. Recent results established that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Jeongyeol Kwon , Wei Qian , Constantine Caramanis , Yudong Chen , Damek Davis

Probabilistic Circuits (PCs) offer a computationally scalable framework for generative modeling, supporting exact and efficient inference of a wide range of probabilistic queries. While recent advances have significantly improved the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Anji Liu , Zilei Shao , Guy Van den Broeck

We consider the problem of estimating the expected outcomes of Monte Carlo processes whose outputs are described by multidimensional random variables. We tightly characterize the quantum query complexity of this problem for various choices…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-07-09 Arjan Cornelissen , Sofiene Jerbi

Many practitioners who use the EM algorithm complain that it is sometimes slow. When does this happen, and what can be done about it? In this paper, we study the general class of bound optimization algorithms - including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Ruslan R Salakhutdinov , Sam T Roweis , Zoubin Ghahramani

Modern data-driven and distributed learning frameworks deal with diverse massive data generated by clients spread across heterogeneous environments. Indeed, data heterogeneity is a major bottleneck in scaling up many distributed learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-23 Amirhossein Reisizadeh , Khashayar Gatmiry , Asuman Ozdaglar

We aim at the construction of a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) of assigned complexity (number of states of the underlying Markov chain) which best approximates, in Kullback-Leibler divergence rate, a given stationary process. We establish, under…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Lorenzo Finesso , Angela Grassi , Peter Spreij

We develop and describe online algorithms for performing online semiparametric regression analyses. Earlier work on this topic is in Luts, Broderick & Wand (J. Comput. Graph. Statist., 2014) where online mean field variational Bayes was…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-28 Marianne Menictas , Chris J. Oates , Matt P. Wand

Finite mixture models are powerful tools for modelling and analyzing heterogeneous data. Parameter estimation is typically carried out using maximum likelihood estimation via the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm. Recently, the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-05-15 Sharon X. Lee , Geoffrey J. McLachlan , Kaleb L. Leemaqz

The hidden Markov model (HMM) is a widely-used generative model that copes with sequential data, assuming that each observation is conditioned on the state of a hidden Markov chain. In this paper, we derive a novel algorithm to cluster HMMs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-10-26 Emanuele Coviello , Antoni B. Chan , Gert R. G. Lanckriet

This paper provides a mixture modeling framework using the bivariate generalized exponential distribution. We study different properties of this mixture distribution. Hierarchical EM algorithm is developed for finding the estimates of the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-03 Arabin Kumar Dey , Debasis Kundu , Tumati Kiran Kumar