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In this paper, we consider the problem of predicting observations generated online by an unknown, partially observed linear system, which is driven by stochastic noise. For such systems the optimal predictor in the mean square sense is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-13 Anastasios Tsiamis , George Pappas

We study an online linear regression setting in which the observed feature vectors are corrupted by noise and the learner can pay to reduce the noise level. In practice, this may happen for several reasons: for example, because features can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Nadav Merlis , Kyoungseok Jang , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi

This paper studies the effect of parametric mismatch in minimum mean square error (MMSE) estimation. In particular, we consider the problem of estimating the input signal from the output of an additive white Gaussian channel whose gain is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-06-09 Majid Fozunbal

The problem of regret minimization for online adaptive control of linear-quadratic systems is studied. In this problem, the true system transition parameters (matrices $A$ and $B$) are unknown, and the objective is to design and analyze…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-31 Mohammad Akbari , Bahman Gharesifard , Tamas Linder

We consider the problem of online prediction for an unknown, non-explosive linear stochastic system. With a known system model, the optimal predictor is the celebrated Kalman filter. In the case of unknown systems, existing approaches based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Jiachen Qian , Yang Zheng

In this paper, we study the problem of learning Kalman filtering with unknown system model in partially observed linear dynamical systems. We propose a unified algorithmic framework based on online optimization that can be used to solve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Lintao Ye , Ankang Zhang , Ming Chi , Bin Du , Jianghai Hu

Kalman and H-infinity filters, the most popular paradigms for linear state estimation, are designed for very specific specific noise and disturbance patterns, which may not appear in practice. State observers based on the minimization of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-09 Jean-Sébastien Brouillon , Florian Dörfler , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

We consider the problem of online prediction in a marginally stable linear dynamical system subject to bounded adversarial or (non-isotropic) stochastic perturbations. This poses two challenges. Firstly, the system is in general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Udaya Ghai , Holden Lee , Karan Singh , Cyril Zhang , Yi Zhang

This letter studies the problem of online multi-step-ahead prediction for unknown linear stochastic systems. Using conditional distribution theory, we derive an optimal parameterization of the prediction policy as a linear function of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Jiachen Qian , Yang Zheng

In online inverse linear optimization, a learner observes time-varying sets of feasible actions and an agent's optimal actions, selected by solving linear optimization over the feasible actions. The learner sequentially makes predictions of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Shinsaku Sakaue , Taira Tsuchiya , Han Bao , Taihei Oki

The filtering problem of causally estimating a desired signal from a related observation signal is investigated through the lens of regret optimization. Classical filter designs, such as $\mathcal H_2$ (Kalman) and $\mathcal H_\infty$,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-23 Oron Sabag , Babak Hassibi

Recent literature has made much progress in understanding \emph{online LQR}: a modern learning-theoretic take on the classical control problem in which a learner attempts to optimally control an unknown linear dynamical system with fully…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Max Simchowitz

Due to the drastic gap in complexity between sequential and batch statistical learning, recent work has studied a smoothed sequential learning setting, where Nature is constrained to select contexts with density bounded by 1/{\sigma} with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-27 Adam Block , Max Simchowitz

Adapting to a priori unknown noise level is a very important but challenging problem in sequential decision-making as efficient exploration typically requires knowledge of the noise level, which is often loosely specified. We report…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-11 Kwang-Sung Jun , Jungtaek Kim

We consider adaptive control of the Linear Quadratic Regulator (LQR), where an unknown linear system is controlled subject to quadratic costs. Leveraging recent developments in the estimation of linear systems and in robust controller…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-25 Sarah Dean , Horia Mania , Nikolai Matni , Benjamin Recht , Stephen Tu

We consider the online version of the isotonic regression problem. Given a set of linearly ordered points (e.g., on the real line), the learner must predict labels sequentially at adversarially chosen positions and is evaluated by her total…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-10-10 Wojciech Kotłowski , Wouter M. Koolen , Alan Malek

We study the problem of system identification and adaptive control in partially observable linear dynamical systems. Adaptive and closed-loop system identification is a challenging problem due to correlations introduced in data collection.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Sahin Lale , Kamyar Azizzadenesheli , Babak Hassibi , Anima Anandkumar

We consider the problem of online control of systems with time-varying linear dynamics. This is a general formulation that is motivated by the use of local linearization in control of nonlinear dynamical systems. To state meaningful…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Paula Gradu , Elad Hazan , Edgar Minasyan

The problem of estimating a random vector x from noisy linear measurements y = A x + w with unknown parameters on the distributions of x and w, which must also be learned, arises in a wide range of statistical learning and linear inverse…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-06-20 Alyson K. Fletcher , Mojtaba Sahraee-Ardakan , Philip Schniter , Sundeep Rangan

In a typical optimization problem, the task is to pick one of a number of options with the lowest cost or the highest value. In practice, these cost/value quantities often come through processes such as measurement or machine learning,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Mohammad Mahdian , Jieming Mao , Kangning Wang
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