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Related papers: Nonparametric inference for fractional diffusion

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We study the long-time behaviour of solutions to a class of $d$-dimensional stochastic differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H \in (0,1)$. The drift consists of a dissipative Lipschitz term and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Konstantinos Dareiotis , El Mehdi Haress , Khoa Lê

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating the drift parameter of solution to the stochastic differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter less than $1/2$ under complete observation. We derive a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-11 Kohei Chiba

The process of diffusion is the most elementary stochastic transport process. Brownian motion, the representative model of diffusion, played a important role in the advancement of scientific fields such as physics, chemistry, biology and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-08-11 Alexandre Bovet

The statistical analysis for equations driven by fractional Gaussian process (fGp) is relatively recent. The development of stochastic calculus with respect to the fGp allowed to study such models. In the present paper we consider the drift…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Mohamed El Machkouri , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Youssef Ouknine

The paper develops new methods of non-parametric estimation a compound Poisson distribution. Such a problem arise, in particular, in the inference of a Levy process recorded at equidistant time intervals. Our key estimator is based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-19 Alexey Lindo , Sergei Zuyev , Serik Sagitov

We research adaptive maximum likelihood-type estimation for an ergodic diffusion process where the observation is contaminated by noise. This methodology leads to the asymptotic independence of the estimators for the variance of observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Shogo H. Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida

In this paper, we apply a recently developed nonparametric modeling approach, the "diffusion forecast", to predict the time-evolution of Fourier modes of turbulent dynamical systems. While the diffusion forecasting method assumes the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-03-23 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

Consider the motion of a Brownian particle in two or more dimensions, whose coordinate processes are standard Brownian motions with zero drift initially, and then at some random/unobservable time, one of the coordinate processes gets a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-30 Philip A. Ernst , Goran Peskir

In this paper, we address high-dimensional parametric estimation of the drift function in diffusion models, specifically focusing on a $d$-dimensional ergodic diffusion process observed at discrete time points. We consider both a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Chiara Amorino , Francisco Pina , Mark Podolskij

Reinforcement learning (RL) agents typically assume stationary environment dynamics. Yet in real-world applications such as healthcare, robotics, and finance, transition probabilities or reward functions may evolve, leading to model drift.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Chang-Hwan Lee , Alexander Shim

We analyze numerically and analytically the non linear transport properties of a drift-diffusion equation in presence of a magnetic field and of a disorder potential. For a wide range of parameters this model exhibits a plateau where the…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2011-10-11 A. D. Chepelianskii

We study the long-range effective drift and diffusivity of a particle in a random medium moving subject to a given molecular diffusivity and a local drift. The local drift models the effect of a random electrostatic field on a neutral but…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-30 I. T. Drummond , R. R. Horgan , C. A. da Silva Santos

Using the multiple stochastic integrals we prove an existence and uniqueness result for a linear stochastic equation driven by the fractional Brownian motion with any Hurst parameter. We study both the one parameter and two parameter cases.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ivan Nourdin , Ciprian A. Tudor

We present a Bayesian non-parametric way of inferring stochastic differential equations for both regression tasks and continuous-time dynamical modelling. The work has high emphasis on the stochastic part of the differential equation, also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Martin Jørgensen , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Hugh Salimbeni

We prove global well-posedness for a class of dissipative semilinear stochastic evolution equations with singular drift and multiplicative Wiener noise. In particular, the nonlinear term in the drift is the superposition operator associated…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-10-03 Carlo Marinelli , Luca Scarpa

This paper delves into a nonparametric estimation approach for the interaction function within diffusion-type particle system models. We introduce two estimation methods based upon an empirical risk minimization. Our study encompasses an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-23 Denis Belomestny , Mark Podolskij , Shi-Yuan Zhou

The drift diffusion model (DDM) is a model of sequential sampling with diffusion (Brownian) signals, where the decision maker accumulates evidence until the process hits a stopping boundary, and then stops and chooses the alternative that…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-12 Drew Fudenberg , Whitney K. Newey , Philipp Strack , Tomasz Strzalecki

We tackle estimation and prediction at non-visted sites in a spatial semi-functional linear regression model with derivatives that combines a functional linear model with a nonparametric regression one. The parametric part is estimated by a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Stéphane Bouka , Kowir Pambo Bello , Guy Martial Nkiet

This paper investigates a financial market where returns depend on an unobservable Gaussian drift process. While the observation of returns yields information about the underlying drift, we also incorporate discrete-time expert opinions as…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-04 Jörn Sass , Dorothee Westphal , Ralf Wunderlich

We construct an estimator of the unknown drift parameter $\theta\in {\mathbb{R}}$ in the linear model \[X_t=\theta t+\sigma_1B^{H_1}(t)+\sigma_2B^{H_2}(t),\;t\in[0,T],\] where $B^{H_1}$ and $B^{H_2}$ are two independent fractional Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-13 Yuliya Mishura , Ivan Voronov