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Probabilistic forecasts are essential for various downstream applications such as business development, traffic planning, and electrical grid balancing. Many of these probabilistic forecasts are performed on time series data that contain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Benedikt Heidrich , Kaleb Phipps , Oliver Neumann , Marian Turowski , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer

We study the problem of assessing the robustness of counterfactual explanations for deep learning models. We focus on $\textit{plausible model shifts}$ altering model parameters and propose a novel framework to reason about the robustness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-11 Luca Marzari , Francesco Leofante , Ferdinando Cicalese , Alessandro Farinelli

Feature selection is a problem of finding efficient features among all features in which the final feature set can improve accuracy and reduce complexity. In feature selection algorithms search strategies are key aspects. Since feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-01-27 Mohadeseh Montazeri , Hamid Reza Naji , Mitra Montazeri , Ahmad Faraahi

Automated planning remains one of the most general paradigms in Artificial Intelligence, providing means of solving problems coming from a wide variety of domains. One of the key factors restricting the applicability of planning is its…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-07-24 Pawel Gomoluch , Dalal Alrajeh , Alessandra Russo , Antonio Bucchiarone

The robustness of fault detection algorithms against uncertainty is crucial in the real-world industrial environment. Recently, a new probabilistic design scheme called distributionally robust fault detection (DRFD) has emerged and received…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Yulin Feng , Hailang Jin , Steven X. Ding , Hao Ye , Chao Shang

This paper introduces a new technique for learning probabilistic models of mass and friction distributions of unknown objects, and performing robust sliding actions by using the learned models. The proposed method is executed in two…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-08-06 Changkyu Song , Abdeslam Boularias

Human motion prediction is an important and challenging topic that has promising prospects in efficient and safe human-robot-interaction systems. Currently, the majority of the human motion prediction algorithms are based on deterministic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-07-15 Jie Xu , Xingyu Chen , Xuguang Lan , Nanning Zheng

Iterative Proportional Fitting (IPF), combined with EM, is commonly used as an algorithm for likelihood maximization in undirected graphical models. In this paper, we present two iterative algorithms that generalize upon IPF. The first one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Wim Wiegerinck , Tom Heskes

Probabilistic electricity price forecasting (PEPF) is subject of increasing interest, following the demand for proper quantification of prediction uncertainty, to support the operation in complex power markets with increasing share of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Alessandro Brusaferri , Andrea Ballarino , Luigi Grossi , Fabrizio Laurini

To harness modern multicore processors, it is imperative to develop parallel versions of fundamental algorithms. In this paper, we compare different approaches to parallel best-first search in a shared-memory setting. We present a new…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-01-17 Ethan Burns , Sofia Lemons , Wheeler Ruml , Rong Zhou

The paper concerns the probabilistic evaluation of plans in the presence of unmeasured variables, each plan consisting of several concurrent or sequential actions. We establish a graphical criterion for recognizing when the effects of a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Judea Pearl , James M. Robins

Even if path planning can be solved using standard techniques from dynamic programming and control, the problem can also be approached using probabilistic inference. The algorithms that emerge using the latter framework bear some appealing…

Since upcoming telescopes will observe thousands of strong lensing systems, creating fully-automated analysis pipelines for these images becomes increasingly important. In this work, we make a step towards that direction by developing the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-03 Marco Chianese , Adam Coogan , Paul Hofma , Sydney Otten , Christoph Weniger

Ensemble learning is a mainstay in modern data science practice. Conventional ensemble algorithms assign to base models a set of deterministic, constant model weights that (1) do not fully account for individual models' varying accuracy…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent A. Coull

We study the problem of learning differentiable functions expressed as programs in a domain-specific language. Such programmatic models can offer benefits such as composability and interpretability; however, learning them requires…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Ameesh Shah , Eric Zhan , Jennifer J. Sun , Abhinav Verma , Yisong Yue , Swarat Chaudhuri

This paper investigates the use of probabilistic neural networks (PNNs) to model aleatoric uncertainty, which refers to the inherent variability in the input-output relationships of a system, often characterized by unequal variance or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-22 Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki , Jamal F. Husseini , Scott E. Stapleton

This paper presents two stochastic model predictive control methods for linear time-invariant systems subject to unbounded additive uncertainties. The new methods are developed by formulating the chance constraints into deterministic form,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-22 Fei Li , Huiping Li , Yuyao He

This work considers infinite-horizon optimal control of positive linear systems applied to the case of network routing problems. We demonstrate the equivalence between Stochastic Shortest Path (SSP) problems and optimal control of a certain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-17 David Ohlin , Anders Rantzer , Emma Tegling

We address the bin packing problem (BPP), which aims to maximize bin utilization when packing a variety of items. The offline problem, where the complete information about the item set and their sizes is known in advance, is proven to be…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Beomjoon Lee , Changjoo Nam

Decision Focused Learning has emerged as a critical paradigm for integrating machine learning with downstream optimisation. Despite its promise, existing methodologies predominantly rely on probabilistic models and focus narrowly on task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Keivan Shariatmadar , Neil Yorke-Smith , Ahmad Osman , Fabio Cuzzolin , Hans Hallez , David Moens