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We find the asymptotic distribution of the sample autocovariances of long-memory processes in cases of finite and infinite fourth moment. Depending on the interplay of assumptions on moments and the intensity of dependence, there are three…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Lajos Horváth , Piotr Kokoszka

A sequential importance sampling algorithm is developed for the distribution that results when a matrix of independent, but not identically distributed, Bernoulli random variables is conditioned on a given sequence of row and column sums.…

Computation · Statistics 2013-01-18 Matthew T. Harrison , Jeffrey W. Miller

The central limit theorem of martingales is the fundamental tool for studying the convergence of stochastic processes, especially stochastic integrals and differential equations. In this paper, general central limit theorems and functional…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-08 Li-Xin Zhang

We generalise the martingale-coboundary representation of discrete time stochastic processes to the non-stationary case and to random variables in Orlicz spaces. Related limit theorems (CLT, invariance principle, log log law, probabilities…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Dalibor Volny

We consider a random interval splitting process, in which the splitting rule depends on the empirical distribution of interval lengths. We show that this empirical distribution converges to a limit almost surely as the number of intervals…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-20 Pascal Maillard , Elliot Paquette

We study higher order expansions both in the Berry-Ess\'een estimate (Edgeworth expansions) and in the local limit theorems for Birkhoff sums of chaotic probability preserving dynamical systems. We establish general results under technical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-15 Kasun Fernando , Françoise Pène

We establish the limiting distribution of $\frac{{(\log \log x)}^{1/4}}{\sqrt{x}} \sum_{n\le x}\alpha(n)$ where $\alpha$ is a Steinhaus random multiplicative function, answering a question of Harper. The distributional convergence is proved…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Ofir Gorodetsky , Mo Dick Wong

This paper first establishes a strong law of large numbers and a strong invariance principle for forward and backward sums of near-epoch dependent sequences. Using these limiting theorems, we develop a general asymptotic theory on the Wald…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Shiqing Ling

In applied probability, the normal approximation is often used for the distribution of data with assumed additive structure. This tradition is based on the central limit theorem for sums of (independent) random variables. However, it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Alexandra Dorofeeva , Victor Korolev , Alexander Zeifman

This paper derives confidence intervals (CI) and time-uniform confidence sequences (CS) for the classical problem of estimating an unknown mean from bounded observations. We present a general approach for deriving concentration bounds, that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-29 Ian Waudby-Smith , Aaditya Ramdas

As an alternative to the well-known methods of "chaining" and "bracketing" that have been developed in the study of random fields, a new method, which is based on a stochastic maximal inequality derived by using the Taylor expansion, is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-03 Yoichi Nishiyama

The dynamics of one parameter diagonal group actions on finite volume homogeneous spaces has a partially hyperbolic feature. In this paper we extend the Liv\v{s}ic type result to these possibly noncompact and nonaccessible systems. We also…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-03-27 Ronggang Shi

We prove a non-asymptotic central limit theorem for vector-valued martingale differences using Stein's method, and use Poisson's equation to extend the result to functions of Markov Chains. We then show that these results can be applied to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-10 R. Srikant

We develop a quenched thermodynamic formalism for a wide class of random maps with non-uniform expansion, where no Markov structure, no uniformly bounded degree or the existence of some expanding dynamics is required. We prove that every…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Manuel Stadlbauer , Shintaro Suzuki , Paulo Varandas

In this paper we study the central limit theorem and its functional form for random fields which are not started from their equilibrium, but rather under the measure conditioned by the past sigma field. The initial class considered is that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-13 Magda Peligrad , Dalibor Volný

Suppose $B_i:= B(p,r_i)$ are nested balls of radius $r_i$ about a point $p$ in a dynamical system $(T,X,\mu)$. The question of whether $T^i x\in B_i$ infinitely often (i. o.) for $\mu$ a.e.\ $x$ is often called the shrinking target problem.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Nicolai Haydn , Matthew Nicol , Sandro Vaienti , Licheng Zhang

We prove a central limit theorem for strictly stationary random fields under a sharp projective condition. The assumption was introduced in the setting of random variables by Maxwell and Woodroofe. Our approach is based on new results for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-29 Magda Peligrad , Na Zhang

In this paper, we revisit the problem of polynomial memory loss and the central limit theorem for time-dependent LSV maps. More precisely, we show that for random LSV maps corresponding to a random parameter beta() we obtain quenched memory…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Davor Dragicevic , Yeor Hafouta , Juho Leppanen

We consider a class of non-conformal expanding maps on the $d$-dimensional torus. For an equilibrium measure of an H\"older potential, we prove an analogue of the Central Limit Theorem for the fluctuations of the logarithm of the measure of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-12-17 Renaud Leplaideur , Benoit Saussol

In this paper we estimate the rest of the approximation of a stationary process by a martingale in terms of the projections of partial sums. Then, based on this estimate, we obtain almost sure approximation of partial sums by a martingale…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-05 Florence Merlevède , Costel Peligrad , Magda Peligrad