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Related papers: PAC-Bayesian Inequalities for Martingales

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We study learning problems in which the conditional distribution of the output given the input varies as a function of additional task variables. In varying-coefficient models with Gaussian process priors, a Gaussian process generates the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-10-15 Matthias Bussas , Christoph Sawade , Tobias Scheffer , Niels Landwehr

We provide sharp estimates for the distribution function of a martingale transform of the indicator function of an event. They are formulated in terms of Burkholder functions, which are reduced to the already known Bellman functions for…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2023-10-05 Dmitriy Stolyarov , Vasily Vasyunin , Pavel Zatitskii

We consider a moving target that we seek to learn from samples. Our results extend randomized techniques developed in control and optimization for a constant target to the case where the target is changing. We derive a novel bound on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Nikolaus Vertovec , Kostas Margellos , Maria Prandini

Assumptions about invariances or symmetries in data can significantly increase the predictive power of statistical models. Many commonly used models in machine learning are constraint to respect certain symmetries in the data, such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-03 Tycho F. A. van der Ouderaa , Mark van der Wilk

The multi-index model with sparse dimension reduction matrix is a popular approach to circumvent the curse of dimensionality in a high-dimensional regression setting. Building on the single-index analysis by Alquier, P. & Biau, G. (Journal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Maximilian F. Steffen

We apply the PAC-Bayes theory to the setting of learning-to-optimize. To the best of our knowledge, we present the first framework to learn optimization algorithms with provable generalization guarantees (PAC-bounds) and explicit trade-off…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Michael Sucker , Peter Ochs

We give a novel, unified derivation of conditional PAC-Bayesian and mutual information (MI) generalization bounds. We derive conditional MI bounds as an instance, with special choice of prior, of conditional MAC-Bayesian (Mean Approximately…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-18 Peter Grünwald , Thomas Steinke , Lydia Zakynthinou

Exchangeable random variables form an important and well-studied generalization of i.i.d. variables, however simple examples show that no nontrivial concept or function classes are PAC learnable under general exchangeable data inputs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Vladimir Pestov

Neural Network based controllers hold enormous potential to learn complex, high-dimensional functions. However, they are prone to overfitting and unwarranted extrapolations. PAC Bayes is a generalized framework which is more resistant to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-18 Sanjay Thakur , Herke Van Hoof , Gunshi Gupta , David Meger

A key to causal inference with observational data is achieving balance in predictive features associated with each treatment type. Recent literature has explored representation learning to achieve this goal. In this work, we discuss the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-25 Serge Assaad , Shuxi Zeng , Chenyang Tao , Shounak Datta , Nikhil Mehta , Ricardo Henao , Fan Li , Lawrence Carin

In this note, we improve some concentration inequalities for martingales with bounded increments. These results recover the missing factor in Freedman-style inequalities and are near optimal. We also provide minor refinements of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

This paper presents a series of new results for domain adaptation in the multi-view learning setting. The incorporation of multiple views in the domain adaptation was paid little attention in the previous studies. In this way, we propose an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-03 Mehdi Hennequin , Khalid Benabdeslem , Haytham Elghazel

We derive inequalities for time-discrete and time-continuous martingales that are similar to the well-known Burkholder inequalities. For the time-discrete case arbitrary martingales in $L^p(\Omega)$ are treated, whereas in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-25 Jan Pleis , Andreas Rößler

PAC-Bayesian learning bounds are of the utmost interest to the learning community. Their role is to connect the generalization ability of an aggregation distribution $\rho$ to its empirical risk and to its Kullback-Leibler divergence with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-24 Pierre Alquier , Benjamin Guedj

In this paper we study the path-regularity and martingale properties of the set-valued stochastic integrals defined in our previous work Ararat et al. (2023). Such integrals have some fundamental differences from the well-known…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-28 Çağın Ararat , Jin Ma

Generalization in deep learning has been the topic of much recent theoretical and empirical research. Here we introduce desiderata for techniques that predict generalization errors for deep learning models in supervised learning. Such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-10 Guillermo Valle-Pérez , Ard A. Louis

When related learning tasks are naturally arranged in a hierarchy, an appealing approach for coping with scarcity of instances is that of transfer learning using a hierarchical Bayes framework. As fully Bayesian computations can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Gal Elidan , Ben Packer , Geremy Heitz , Daphne Koller

Concentration results and probabilistic analysis for combinatorial problems like the TSP, MWST, graph coloring have received much attention, but generally, for i.i.d. samples (i.i.d. points in the unit square for the TSP, for example).…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-24 Ravindran Kannan

Meta-learning can successfully acquire useful inductive biases from data. Yet, its generalization properties to unseen learning tasks are poorly understood. Particularly if the number of meta-training tasks is small, this raises concerns…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-21 Jonas Rothfuss , Vincent Fortuin , Martin Josifoski , Andreas Krause

We study the problem of aggregation under the squared loss in the model of regression with deterministic design. We obtain sharp PAC-Bayesian risk bounds for aggregates defined via exponential weights, under general assumptions on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-25 Arnak Dalalyan , Alexandre Tsybakov
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