Related papers: Estimation of conditional cumulative distribution …
For a variant of the algorithm in [Pit19] (arXiv:1903.10816) to compute the approximate density or distribution function of a linear mixture of independent random variables known by a finite sample, it is presented a proof of the functional…
Beyond conditional average treatment effects, treatments may impact the entire outcome distribution in covariate-dependent ways, for example, by altering the variance or tail risks for specific subpopulations. We propose a novel estimand to…
We explore the methodology and theory of reward-directed generation via conditional diffusion models. Directed generation aims to generate samples with desired properties as measured by a reward function, which has broad applications in…
Many statistical estimands can expressed as continuous linear functionals of a conditional expectation function. This includes the average treatment effect under unconfoundedness and generalizations for continuous-valued and personalized…
A finite-support constraint on the parameter space is used to derive a lower bound on the error of an estimator of the correlation coefficient in the bivariate exponential distribution. The bound is then exploited to examine optimality of…
We propose a new method to test conditional independence of two real random variables $Y$ and $Z$ conditionally on an arbitrary third random variable $X$. %with $F_{.|.}$ representing conditional distribution functions, The partial copula…
This paper presents a data-driven model for Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) stochastic systems by sampling from the conditional probability distribution of future outputs given past input-outputs and future inputs. It operates in a fully…
In this paper, the maximal nonlinear conditional correlation of two random vectors $X$ and $Y$ given another random vector $Z$, denoted by $\rho_1(X,Y|Z)$, is defined as a measure of conditional association, which satisfies certain…
Suppose $X$ is a multidimensional diffusion process. Assume that at time zero the state of $X$ is fully observed, but at time $T>0$ only linear combinations of its components are observed. That is, one only observes the vector $L X_T$ for a…
When the copula of the conditional distribution of two random variables given a covariate does not depend on the value of the covariate, two conflicting intuitions arise about the best possible rate of convergence attainable by…
In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…
Integral representations for expectations of functions of a stable L\'evy process $X$ and its supremum $\bar X$ are derived. As examples, cumulative probability distribution functions (cpdf) of $X_T, \barX_T$, the joint cpdf of $X_T$ and…
Statistical system models provide the basis for the examination of various sorts of distributions. Classification distributions are a very common and versatile form of statistics in e.g. real economic, social, and IT systems. The…
In this work, we propose FlowTime, a generative model for probabilistic forecasting of multivariate timeseries data. Given historical measurements and optional future covariates, we formulate forecasting as sampling from a learned…
Distribution regression seeks to estimate the conditional distribution of a multivariate response given a continuous covariate. This approach offers a more complete characterization of dependence than traditional regression methods.…
We consider the problem of estimating the fractional order of a L\'{e}vy process from low frequency historical and options data. An estimation methodology is developed which allows us to treat both estimation and calibration problems in a…
In this paper, we study the distributed adaptive estimation problem of continuous-time stochastic dynamic systems over sensor networks where each agent can only communicate with its local neighbors. A distributed least squares (LS)…
We propose a new control function (CF) method to estimate a binary response model in a triangular system with multiple unobserved heterogeneities The CFs are the expected values of the heterogeneity terms in the reduced form equations…
This paper introduces a new fixed effects estimator for linear panel data models with clustered time patterns of unobserved heterogeneity. The method avoids non-convex and combinatorial optimization by combining a preliminary consistent…
Temporal data distribution shift is prevalent in the financial text. How can a financial sentiment analysis system be trained in a volatile market environment that can accurately infer sentiment and be robust to temporal data distribution…