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We propose a new framework for the detection of change-points in online, sequential data analysis. The approach utilizes nearest neighbor information and can be applied to sequences of multivariate observations or non-Euclidean data…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-01 Hao Chen

We investigate sequential change point estimation and detection in univariate nonparametric settings, where a stream of independent observations from sub-Gaussian distributions with a common variance factor and piecewise-constant but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

Binary segmentation, which is sequential in nature is thus far the most widely used method for identifying multiple change points in statistical models. Here we propose a top down methodology called arbitrary segmentation that proceeds in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-12 Abhishek Kaul , Venkata K Jandhyala , Stergios B Fotopoulos

Branch-specific substitution models are popular for detecting evolutionary change-points, such as shifts in selective pressure. However, applying such models typically requires prior knowledge of change-point locations on the phylogeny or…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-06 Xiang Ji , Benjamin Redelings , Shuo Su , Hongcun Bao , Wu-Min Deng , Samuel L. Hong , Guy Baele , Philippe Lemey , Marc A. Suchard

We derive a posteriori error estimators for an optimal control problem governed by a convection-reaction-diffusion equation; control constraints are also considered. We consider a family of low-order stabilized finite element methods to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-04-24 Alejandro Allendes , Enrique Otarola , Richard Rankin

Detecting change-points in data is challenging because of the range of possible types of change and types of behaviour of data when there is no change. Statistically efficient methods for detecting a change will depend on both of these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-29 Jie Li , Paul Fearnhead , Piotr Fryzlewicz , Tengyao Wang

We propose a two-stage approach Spec PC-CP to identify change points in multivariate time series. In the first stage, we obtain a low-dimensional summary of the high-dimensional time series by Spectral Principal Component Analysis…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-13 Shuhao Jiao , Tong Shen , Zhaoxia Yu , Hernando Ombao

We study the problem of detecting a common change point in large panel data based on a mean shift model, wherein the errors exhibit both temporal and cross-sectional dependence. A least squares based procedure is used to estimate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-26 Monika Bhattacharjee , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

We propose the first Bayesian methods for detecting change points in high-dimensional mean and covariance structures. These methods are constructed using pairwise Bayes factors, leveraging modularization to identify significant changes in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-25 Jaehoon Kim , Kyoungjae Lee , Lizhen Lin

Changepoint detection is a technique used to identify significant shifts in sequences and is widely used in fields such as finance, genomics, and medicine. To identify the changepoints, dynamic programming (DP) algorithms, particularly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-29 Tung L Nguyen , Toby Dylan Hocking

The extensive emergence of big data techniques has led to an increasing interest in the development of change-point detection algorithms that can perform well in a multivariate, possibly high-dimensional setting. In the current paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-15 Andreas Anastasiou , Angelos Papanastasiou

Modern information systems generate large volumes of data with anomalies that occur at unknown points in time and have to be detected quickly and reliably with low false alarm rates. The paper develops a general theory of quickest…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-16 Alexander G Tartakovsky , Valentin Spivak

In this paper, we study the problem of multiple change-point detection for a univariate sequence under the epidemic setting, where the behavior of the sequence alternates between a common normal state and different epidemic states. This is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-07 Zifeng Zhao , Chun Yip Yau

Many modern applications require detecting change points in complex sequential data. Most existing methods for change point detection are unsupervised and, as a consequence, lack any information regarding what kind of changes we want to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-11 Nauman Ahad , Eva L. Dyer , Keith B. Hengen , Yao Xie , Mark A. Davenport

In randomised trials, continuous endpoints are often measured with some degree of error. This study explores the impact of ignoring measurement error, and proposes methods to improve statistical inference in the presence of measurement…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-30 Linda Nab , Rolf H. H. Groenwold , Paco M. J. Welsing , Maarten van Smeden

Large-scale sequential data is often exposed to some degree of inhomogeneity in the form of sudden changes in the parameters of the data-generating process. We consider the problem of detecting such structural changes in a high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-15 Florencia Leonardi , Peter Bühlmann

We propose a new, generic and flexible methodology for nonparametric function estimation, in which we first estimate the number and locations of any features that may be present in the function, and then estimate the function parametrically…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Rafal Baranowski , Yining Chen , Piotr Fryzlewicz

It is quite common that the structure of a time series changes abruptly. Identifying these change points and describing the model structure in the segments between these change points is of interest. In this paper, time series data is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-18 Lijing Ma , Andrew Grant , Georgy Sofronov

We consider a change-point detection problem for a simple class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs). A continuous-time PDMP is observed in discrete time and through noise, and the aim is to propose a numerical method to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-28 Alice Cleynen , Benoîte de Saporta

In recent years, there has been an increasing demand on efficient algorithms for large scale change point detection problems. To this end, we propose seeded binary segmentation, an approach relying on a deterministic construction of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-13 Solt Kovács , Housen Li , Peter Bühlmann , Axel Munk