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Related papers: Detection of non-constant long memory parameter

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Anomaly detection is the task of detecting data which differs from the normal behaviour of a system in a given context. In order to approach this problem, data-driven models can be learned to predict current or future observations.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-30 Benedikt Eiteneuer , Oliver Niggemann

The aim of this paper is first the detection of multiple abrupt changes of the long-range dependence (respectively self-similarity, local fractality) parameters from a sample of a Gaussian stationary times series (respectively time series,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-10 Jean-Marc Bardet , Imen Kammoun

In this work, which is based on the family of Fractional Iterated Ornstein Uhlenbeck processes, we propose a new hypothesis test to contrast short memory versus long memory in time series. This family includes short memory and long memory…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-22 Juan Kalemkerian , Andrés Sosa

It is commonly required to detect change points in sequences of random variables. In the most difficult setting of this problem, change detection must be performed sequentially with new observations being constantly received over time.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-08 Gordon J Ross

This paper is devoted to the off-line multiple change-point detection in a semiparametric framework. The time series is supposed to belong to a large class of models including AR($\infty$), ARCH($\infty$), TARCH($\infty$),... models where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-04 Jean-Marc Bardet , William Chakry Kengne , Olivier Wintenberger

Recent advances in digitization have led to the availability of multivariate time series data in various domains, enabling real-time monitoring of operations. Identifying abnormal data patterns and detecting potential failures in these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Fan Wang , Keli Wang , Boyu Yao

In this work we propose a new class of long-memory models with time-varying fractional parameter. In particular, the dynamics of the long-memory coefficient, $d$, is specified through a stochastic recurrence equation driven by the score of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-19 Luisa Bisaglia , Matteo Grigoletto

Moving from univariate to bivariate jointly dependent long-memory time series introduces a phase parameter $(\gamma)$, at the frequency of principal interest, zero; for short-memory series $\gamma=0$ automatically. The latter case has also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-07 P. M. Robinson

In this paper, we show that the adaptive multidimensional increment ratio estimator of the long range memory parameter defined in Bardet and Dola (2012) satisfies a central limit theorem (CLT in the sequel) for a large semiparametric class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-19 Jean-Marc Bardet , Béchir Dola

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

We consider a time series $X=\{X_k, k\in\mathbb{Z}\}$ with memory parameter $d\in\mathbb{R}$. This time series is either stationary or can be made stationary after differencing a finite number of times. We study the "Local Whittle Wavelet…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-18 Eric Moulines , François Roueff , Murad S. Taqqu

Recently, Giraitis et al. (2003, [10]) proposed the $V/S$ statistic for testing long memory in random sequences. We generalize this statistic to the setting of random fields. The null hypothesis is concerned with short memory random fields…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-30 Frédéric Lavancier

For long-memory time series, inference based on resampling is of crucial importance, since the asymptotic distribution can often be non-Gaussian and is difficult to determine statistically. However due to the strong dependence, establishing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-10 Shuyang Bai , Murad S. Taqqu

Structural identifiability is an important property of parametric ODE models. When conducting an experiment and inferring the parameter value from the time-series data, we want to know if the value is globally, locally, or non-identifiable.…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Natali Gogishvili

This paper develops a unified and computationally efficient method for change-point estimation along the time dimension in a non-stationary spatio-temporal process. By modeling a non-stationary spatio-temporal process as a piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-09 Zifeng Zhao , Ting Fung Ma , Wai Leong Ng , Chun Yip Yau

In this paper, two tests, based on CUSUM of the residuals and least squares estimation, are studied to detect in real time a change-point in a nonlinear model. A first test statistic is proposed by extension of a method already used in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Gabriela Ciuperca

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the prop- erties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-18 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

Tests for structural breaks in time series should ideally be sensitive to breaks in the parameter of interest, while being robust to nuisance changes. Statistical analysis thus needs to allow for some form of nonstationarity under the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Fabian Mies

We consider model-free monitoring procedures for strict stationarity of a given time series. The new criteria are formulated as L2-type statistics incorporating the empirical characteristic function. Asymptotic as well as Monte Carlo…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-10 Sangyeol Lee , Simos G. Meintanis , Charl Pretorius

A persistence module with $m$ discrete parameters is a diagram of vector spaces indexed by the poset $\mathbb{N}^m$. If we are only interested in the large scale behavior of such a diagram, then we can consider two diagrams equivalent if…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Martin Frankland , Donald Stanley