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Contact tracing has been extensively studied from different perspectives in recent years. However, there is no clear indication of why this intervention has proven effective in some epidemics (SARS) and mostly ineffective in some others…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Quyu Kong , Manuel Garcia-Herranz , Ivan Dotu , Manuel Cebrian

We investigate the long-time evolution of branching diffusion processes (starting with a single particle) in inhomogeneous media. The qualitative behavior of the processes depends on the intensity of the branching. We analyze the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-03 Leonid Koralov , Stanislav Molchanov

Early estimates of the transmission potential of emerging and re-emerging infections are increasingly used to inform public health authorities on the level of risk posed by outbreaks. Existing methods to estimate the reproduction number…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-10 Gerardo Chowell , Cécile Viboud , Lone Simonsen , Seyed Moghadas

The contact process is a non-equilibrium Hamiltonian model that, even in one dimension, lacks an exact solution and has been extensively studied via Monte Carlo simulations, both in steady-state and time-dependent scenarios. Although the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-15 Roberto da Silva , Eliseu Venites Filho , Henrique Almeida Fernandes , Paulo F. Gomes

We explore how heterogeneity in the intensity of interactions between people affects epidemic spreading. For that, we study the susceptible-infected-susceptible model on a complex network, where a link connecting individuals $i$ and $j$ is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-08-28 C. Buono , F. Vazquez , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

We introduce the effect of site contamination in a model for spatial epidemic spread and show that the presence of site contamination may have a strict effect on the model in the sense that it can make an otherwise subcritical process…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-23 Tom Britton , Maria Deijfen , Fabio Lopes

We study the limiting behavior of an interacting particle system evolving on the lattice $Z^{d}$ for $d\ge 3$. The model is known as the contact process with rapid stirring. The process starts with a single particle at the origin. Each…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-31 Segev Shlomov , Leonid Mytnik

Understanding the rules underlying organismal development is a major unsolved problem in biology. Each cell in a developing organism responds to signals in its local environment by dividing, excreting, consuming, or reorganizing, yet how…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-20 Ramya Deshpande , Francesco Mottes , Ariana-Dalia Vlad , Michael P. Brenner , Alma dal Co

The dispersal of cells from an initially constrained location is a crucial aspect of many physiological phenomena ranging from morphogenesis to tumour spreading. In such processes, the way cell-cell interactions impact the motion of single…

Abridged abstract: Inert interactions between randomly moving entities and spatial disorder play a crucial role in quantifying the diffusive properties of a system. These interactions affect only the movement of the entities, and examples…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-20 Seeralan Sarvaharman , Luca Giuggioli

Spreading from a seed is studied by Monte Carlo simulation on a square lattice with two types of sites affecting the rates of birth and death. These systems exhibit a critical transition between survival and extinction. For time- dependent…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Gyorgy Szabo , Hajnalka Gergely , Beata Oborny

Growth-fragmentation processes describe the evolution of systems of cells which grow continuously and fragment suddenly; they are used in models of cell division and protein polymerisation. Typically, we may expect that in the long run, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-22 Jean Bertoin , Alexander Watson

We introduce a method to prove metastability of the contact process on Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graphs and on configuration model graphs. The method relies on uniformly bounding the total infection rate from below, over all sets with a fixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Eric Cator , Henk Don

The behavior at criticality of spatial SIR (susceptible/infected/recovered) epidemic models in dimensions two and three is investigated. In these models, finite populations of size N are situated at the vertices of the integer lattice, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-05 Steven P. Lalley , Xinghua Zheng

We show that Haar measures of connected semisimple groups, embedded via a representation into a matrix space, have a homogeneous asymptotic limit when viewed from far away and appropriately rescaled. This is still true if the Haar measure…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 F. Maucourant

We derive macroscopic equations for a generalized contact process that is inspired by a neuronal integrate and fire model on the lattice $\mathbb{Z}^d$. The states at each lattice site can take values in $0,\ldots,k$. These can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-25 Logan Chariker , Anna De Masi , Joel L. Lebowitz , Errico Presutti

We consider the contact process on a dynamic graph defined as a random $d$-regular graph with a stationary edge-switching dynamics. In this graph dynamics, independently of the contact process state, each pair $\{e_1,e_2\}$ of edges of the…

We present a finite-size scaling theory of a contact process with permanent immunity on uncorrelated scale-free networks. We model an epidemic outbreak by an analog of the susceptible-infected-removed model where an infected individual…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-20 D. S. M. Alencar , T. F. A. Alves , F. W. S. Lima , G. A. Alves , A. Macedo-Filho , R. S. Ferreira

We consider a stochastic susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model with contact tracing on random trees and on the configuration model. On a rooted tree, where initially all individuals are susceptible apart from the root which is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-25 Augustine Okolie , Johannes Müller

For a reliable prediction of an epidemic or information spreading pattern in complex systems, well-defined measures are essential. In the susceptible-infected model on heterogeneous networks, the cluster of infected nodes in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-10 Mi Jin Lee , Deok-Sun Lee