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Related papers: Scaling of Seismic Memory with Earthquake Size

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Terra Seismic can predict most major earthquakes (M6.2 or greater) at least 2 - 5 months before they will strike. Global earthquake prediction is based on determinations of the stressed areas that will start to behave abnormally before…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-03-18 Oleg Elshin , Andrew A. Tronin

The number of earthquakes as a function of magnitude decays as a power law. This trend is usually justified using spring-block models, where slips with the appropriate global statistics have been numerically observed. However, prominent…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-05-24 E. A. Jagla , A. B. Kolton

Waveform cross correlation is an efficient tool for detection and characterization of seismic signals. The efficiency critically depends on the availability of master events. For the purposes of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty,…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-05-15 Dmitry Bobrov , Ivan Kitov , Mikhail Rozhkov

Identifying systematic patterns in seismicity that precede large earthquakes remains a central challenge in statistical seismology. In this work, we present a methodological framework for detecting spatiotemporal anomalies in seismicity…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-16 Jonas Köhler , Wei Li , Johannes Faber , Georg Rümpker , Nishtha Srivastava

A review of the statistical properties of earthquakes is provided, centered mainly in the work of the author (apologies for that). We explain the scaling law for the recurrence-time distributions, its universal character for stationary…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Alvaro Corral

We invoke a metric to quantify the correlation between any two earthquakes. This provides a simple and straightforward alternative to using space-time windows to detect aftershock sequences and obviates the need to distinguish main shocks…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-01-29 Marco Baiesi , Maya Paczuski

Aftershocks of aftershocks - and their aftershock cascades - substantially contribute to the increased seismicity rate and the associated elevated seismic hazard after the occurrence of a large earthquake. Current state-of-the-art…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-11-07 Leila Mizrahi , Dario Jozinović

Relative relocation methods are commonly used to precisely relocate earthquake clusters consisting of similar waveforms. Repeating waveforms are often recorded at volcanoes, where, however, the crust structure is expected to contain strong…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-11-03 Giulia Sgattoni , Ólafur Guðmundsson , Páll Einarsson , Federico Lucchi

We demonstrate the efficacy of a Bayesian statistical inversion framework for reconstructing the likely characteristics of large pre-instrumentation earthquakes from historical records of tsunami observations. Our framework is designed and…

We show that the distribution of waiting times between earthquakes occurring in California obeys a simple unified scaling law valid from tens of seconds to tens of years, see Eq. (1) and Fig. 4. The short time clustering, commonly referred…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Per Bak , Kim Christensen , Leon Danon , Tim Scanlon

We study the statistics of the recurrence times between earthquakes above a certain magnitude M$ in California. We find that the distribution of the recurrence times strongly depends on the previous recurrence time $\tau_0$. As a…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 V. Livina , S. Tuzov , S. Havlin , A. Bunde

In this paper, a new earthquake location method based on the waveform inversion is proposed. As is known to all, the waveform misfit function is very sensitive to the phase shift between the synthetic waveform signal and the real waveform…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-10-25 Hao Wu , Jing Chen , Xueyuan Huang , Dinghui Yang

Traditional models of slow slip events (SSEs) often oversimplify fault geometry, yet imaging studies show that real subduction faults are segmented and complex. We investigate how fault interactions influence slip behavior using 3D…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-19 J. Cheng , H. S. Bhat , M. Almakari , B. Lecampion , P. Dubernet

Detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA), suitable for the analysis of nonstationary time series, has confirmed the existence of persistent long-range correlations in healthy heart rate variability data. In this paper, we present the…

Medical Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 J. C. Echeverria , M. S. Woolfson , J. A. Crowe , B. R. Hayes-Gill , G. D. H. Croaker , H. Vyas

Scaling analysis of seismicity in the space-time-magnitude domain very often starts from the relation N(m,L)=a(L)*10**(-bm)*L**c for the rate of seismic events of magnitude M>m in an area of size L. There is some evidence in favor of…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 G. Molchan , T. Kronrod

Improvement in time resolution sometimes introduces short-range random noises into temporal data sequences. These noises affect the results of power-spectrum analyses and the Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA). The DFA is one of useful…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-02-05 Shin-ichi Tadaki

We study long-range correlations and trends in time series extracted from the data of seismic events occurred from 1973 to 2011 in a rectangular region that contains mainly all the continental part of Colombia. The long-range correlations…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-10-29 L. A. Martin-Montoya , N. M. Aranda-Camacho , C. J. Quimbay

We report a similarity of fluctuations in equilibrium critical phenomena and non-equilibrium systems, which is based on the concept of natural time. The world-wide seismicity as well as that of San Andreas fault system and Japan are…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. A. Varotsos , N. V. Sarlis , H. K. Tanaka , E. S. Skordas

We propose that the widely observed and universal Gutenberg-Richter relation is a mathematical consequence of the critical branching nature of earthquake process in a brittle fracture environment. These arguments, though preliminary, are…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-03-13 Yan Y. Kagan

We propose a new deep learning model, WaveCastNet, to forecast high-dimensional wavefields. WaveCastNet integrates a convolutional long expressive memory architecture into a sequence-to-sequence forecasting framework, enabling it to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Dongwei Lyu , Rie Nakata , Pu Ren , Michael W. Mahoney , Arben Pitarka , Nori Nakata , N. Benjamin Erichson