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We address structured covariance estimation in elliptical distributions by assuming that the covariance is a priori known to belong to a given convex set, e.g., the set of Toeplitz or banded matrices. We consider the General Method of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-19 Ilya Soloveychik , Ami Wiesel

One of the fundamental challenges in causal inference is to estimate the causal effect of a treatment on its outcome of interest from observational data. However, causal effect estimation often suffers from the impacts of confounding bias…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-23 Debo Cheng , Ziqi Xu , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Thuc Duy Le , Jixue Liu

This paper investigates the properties of the Generalized Covariance (GCov) estimator under misspecification and constraints with application to processes with local explosive patterns, such as causal-noncausal and double autoregressive…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-18 Aryan Manafi Neyazi

An efficient estimator is constructed for the quadratic covariation or integrated co-volatility matrix of a multivariate continuous martingale based on noisy and nonsynchronous observations under high-frequency asymptotics. Our approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Markus Bibinger , Nikolaus Hautsch , Peter Malec , Markus Reiß

Nonparametric estimation of the conditional expectation $E(Y | U)$ of an outcome $Y$ given a covariate vector $U$ is of primary importance in many statistical applications such as prediction and personalized medicine. In some problems,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-10 Bingying Xie , Jun Shao

When the copula of the conditional distribution of two random variables given a covariate does not depend on the value of the covariate, two conflicting intuitions arise about the best possible rate of convergence attainable by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-17 François Portier , Johan Segers

Classical regression analysis relates the expectation of a response variable to a linear combination of explanatory variables. In this article, we propose a covariance regression model that parameterizes the covariance matrix of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-03-01 Peter D. Hoff , Xiaoyue Niu

Motivated by applications to prediction and forecasting, we suggest methods for approximating the conditional distribution function of a random variable Y given a dependent random d-vector X. The idea is to estimate not the distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter Hall , Qiwei Yao

We consider estimation of the covariance matrix of a multivariate random vector under the constraint that certain covariances are zero. We first present an algorithm, which we call Iterative Conditional Fitting, for computing the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-04 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Mathias Drton , Thomas S. Richardson

Instrumental variables (IV) are a useful tool for estimating causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. IV methods are well developed for uncensored outcomes, particularly for structural linear equation models, where simple…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-01 Behzad Kianian , Jung In Kim , Jason P. Fine , Limin Peng

High dimensionality comparable to sample size is common in many statistical problems. We examine covariance matrix estimation in the asymptotic framework that the dimensionality $p$ tends to $\infty$ as the sample size $n$ increases.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv

We propose nonparametric identification and semiparametric estimation of joint potential outcome distributions in the presence of confounding. First, in settings with observed confounding, we derive tighter, covariate-informed bounds on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Jianle Sun , Kun Zhang

We present a method for estimating sparse high-dimensional inverse covariance and partial correlation matrices, which exploits the connection between the inverse covariance matrix and linear regression. The method is a two-stage estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-13 Samuel Erickson , Tobias Rydén

We propose a novel estimation approach for the covariance matrix based on the $l_1$-regularized approximate factor model. Our sparse approximate factor (SAF) covariance estimator allows for the existence of weak factors and hence relaxes…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-06-14 Maurizio Daniele , Winfried Pohlmeier , Aygul Zagidullina

In multivariate time series, the estimation of the covariance matrix of the observation innovations plays an important role in forecasting as it enables the computation of the standardized forecast error vectors as well as it enables the…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-02-04 K. Triantafyllopoulos

In biometrics and related fields, the Cox proportional hazards model are widely used to analyze with covariate adjustment. However, when some covariates are not observed, an unbiased estimator usually cannot be obtained. Even if there are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-06 Shunichiro Orihara

Conditional Variance Estimation (CVE) is a novel sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) method for additive error regressions with continuous predictors and link function. It operates under the assumption that the predictors can be replaced…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-18 Lukas Fertl , Efstathia Bura

Covariance matrices play a major role in statistics, signal processing and machine learning applications. This paper focuses on the \textit{semiparametric} covariance/scatter matrix estimation problem in elliptical distributions. The class…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-28 Stefano Fortunati , Alexandre Renaux , Frédéric Pascal

We consider a class of semi-parametric dynamic models with strong white noise errors. This class of processes includes the standard Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model, the nonfundamental structural VAR, the mixed causal-noncausal models, as…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-16 Christian Gourieroux , Joann Jasiak

We consider the problem of estimating a high-dimensional covariance matrix from a small number of observations when covariates on pairs of variables are available and the variables can have spatial structure. This is motivated by the…