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We analyze over 500 million Twitter messages from an eight month period and find that tracking a small number of flu-related keywords allows us to forecast future influenza rates with high accuracy, obtaining a 95% correlation with national…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2010-07-28 Aron Culotta

Systems that exploit publicly available user generated content such as Twitter messages have been successful in tracking seasonal influenza. We developed a novel filtering method for Influenza-Like-Illnesses (ILI)-related messages using 587…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Son Doan , Lucila Ohno-Machado , Nigel Collier

This paper presents a predictive model for Influenza-Like-Illness, based on Twitter traffic. We gather data from Twitter based on a set of keywords used in the Influenza wikipedia page, and perform feature selection over all words used in 3…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Katerina Katsani-Geronymaki , Polyvios Pratikakis

Social media has been considered as a data source for tracking disease. However, most analyses are based on models that prioritize strong correlation with population-level disease rates over determining whether or not specific individual…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-04-14 Todd Bodnar , Victoria C Barclay , Nilam Ram , Conrad S Tucker , Marcel Salathé

We present a machine learning-based methodology capable of providing real-time ("nowcast") and forecast estimates of influenza activity in the US by leveraging data from multiple data sources including: Google searches, Twitter microblogs,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-17 Mauricio Santillana , Andre T. Nguyen , Mark Dredze , Michael J. Paul , John S. Brownstein

Influenza is an acute respiratory illness that occurs virtually every year and results in substantial disease, death and expense. Detection of Influenza in its earliest stage would facilitate timely action that could reduce the spread of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-11-20 Jiwei Li , Claire Cardie

Tracking Twitter for public health has shown great potential. However, most recent work has been focused on correlating Twitter messages to influenza rates, a disease that exhibits a marked seasonal pattern. In the presence of sudden…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-03-08 Ernesto Diaz-Aviles , Avaré Stewart , Edward Velasco , Kerstin Denecke , Wolfgang Nejdl

Influenza is an acute respiratory infection caused by a virus. It is highly contagious and rapidly mutative. However, its epidemiological characteristics are conventionally collected in terms of outpatient records. In fact, the subjective…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-05-07 Siqing Shan , Yingwei Jia , Jichang Zhao

Recent studies have shown strong correlation between social networking data and national influenza rates. We expanded upon this success to develop an automated text mining system that classifies Twitter messages in real time into six…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2011-10-17 Nigel Collier , Son Doan

Social media services such as Twitter are a valuable source of information for decision support systems. Many studies have shown that this also holds for the medical domain, where Twitter is considered a viable tool for public health…

Conventional surveillance systems for monitoring infectious diseases, such as influenza, face challenges due to shortage of skilled healthcare professionals, remoteness of communities and absence of communication infrastructures.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-28 Oguzhan Gencoglu , Miikka Ermes

Numerous studies have attempted to model the effect of mass media on the transmission of diseases such as influenza, however quantitative data on media engagement has until recently been difficult to obtain. With the recent explosion of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-09-28 Lewis Mitchell , Joshua V. Ross

Public health surveillance systems often fail to detect emerging infectious diseases, particularly in resource limited settings. By integrating relevant clinical and internet-source data, we can close critical gaps in coverage and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-05 Kai Liu , Ravi Srinivasan , Lauren Ancel Meyers

We provide a brief technical description of an online platform for disease monitoring, titled as the Flu Detector (fludetector.cs.ucl.ac.uk). Flu Detector, in its current version (v.0.5), uses either Twitter or Google search data in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-12-19 Vasileios Lampos

Twitter updates now represent an enormous stream of information originating from a wide variety of formal and informal sources, much of which is relevant to real-world events. In this paper we adapt existing bio-surveillance algorithms to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-04-10 Nicholas Thapen , Donal Simmie , Chris Hankin

Influenza, an infectious disease, causes many deaths worldwide. Predicting influenza victims during epidemics is an important task for clinical, hospital, and community outbreak preparation. On-line user-generated contents (UGC), primarily…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Taichi Murayama , Nobuyuki Shimizu , Sumio Fujita , Shoko Wakamiya , Eiji Aramaki

This paper presents our approaches for the SMM4H24 Shared Task 5 on the binary classification of English tweets reporting children's medical disorders. Our first approach involves fine-tuning a single RoBERTa-large model, while the second…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Dasun Athukoralage , Thushari Atapattu , Menasha Thilakaratne , Katrina Falkner

Accurate real-time tracking of influenza outbreaks helps public health officials make timely and meaningful decisions that could save lives. We propose an influenza tracking model, ARGO (AutoRegression with GOogle search data), that uses…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-17 Shihao Yang , Mauricio Santillana , S. C. Kou

Mobile phones provide a powerful sensing platform that researchers may adopt to understand proximity interactions among people and the diffusion, through these interactions, of diseases, behaviors, and opinions. However, it remains a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-05-08 Wen Dong , Tong Guan , Bruno Lepri , Chunming Qiao

In this work we address the issue of generic automated disease incidence monitoring on twitter. We employ an ontology of disease related concepts and use it to obtain a conceptual representation of tweets. Unlike previous key word based…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-11-22 Mark Abraham Magumba , Peter Nabende
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