English
Related papers

Related papers: Splitting trees stopped when the first clock rings…

200 papers

Cheek and Johnston (Journal of Mathematical Biology, 2023) consider a continuous-time Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson tree conditioned on being alive at time $T$. They study the reproduction events along the ancestral lineage of an individual…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Jan Lukas Igelbrink , Jasper Ischebeck

Let $T\$ be a stopping time associated with a sequence of independent random variables $Z_{1},Z_{2},...$ . By applying a suitable change in the probability measure we present relations between the moment or probability generating functions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-28 M. V. Boutsikas , A. C. Rakitzis , D. L. Antzoulakos

We define symmetric and asymmetric branching trees, a class of processes particularly suited for modeling genealogies of inhomogeneous populations where individuals may reproduce throughout life. In this framework, a broad class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-10 Frederik M. Andersen , Marc A. Suchard , Carsten Wiuf , Samir Bhatt

We consider a supercritical general branching population where the lifetimes of individuals are i.i.d. with arbitrary distribution and each individual gives birth to new individuals at Poisson times independently from each others. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-21 Benoît Henry

We investigate a neutral model for speciation and extinction, the constant rate birth-death process. The process is conditioned to have $n$ extant species today, we look at the tree distribution of the reconstructed trees-- i.e. the trees…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-03-04 Tanja Gernhard

Let $Z_{n,}n=0,1,...,$ be a branching process evolving in the random environment generated by a sequence of iid generating functions $% f_{0}(s),f_{1}(s),...,$ and let $S_{0}=0,S_{k}=X_{1}+...+X_{k},k\geq 1,$ be the associated random walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-09 V. Vatutin , A. E. Kyprianou

We study the evolution of a particle system whose genealogy is given by a supercritical continuous time Galton--Watson tree. The particles move independently according to a Markov process and when a branching event occurs, the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-20 Vincent Bansaye , Jean-François Delmas , Laurence Marsalle , Viet Chi Tran

Due to its ability to summarise 'real-time' epidemic behaviour, the time-dependent reproduction number, Rt, is a useful metric for tracking pathogen transmission and quantifying the effects of interventions during infectious disease…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-12 Ioana Bouros , Robin Thompson , David Gavaghan , Ben Lambert

The Fleming-Viot process with parent-independent mutation process is one particular neutral population genetic model. As time goes by, some initial species are replaced by mutated ones gradually. Once the population mutation rate is high,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Youzhou Zhou

We present an elementary model of random size varying population given by a stationary continuous state branching process. For this model we compute the joint distribution of: the time to the most recent common ancestor, the size of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-07 Yu-Ting Chen , Jean-François Delmas

The first part of this paper ( arXiv:1607.02114 ) introduced splitting trees, those chronological trees admitting the self-similarity property where individuals give birth, at constant rate, to iid copies of themselves. It also established…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Amaury Lambert , Gerónimo Uribe Bravo

Motivated as a null model for comparison with data, we study the following model for a phylogenetic tree on $n$ extant species. The origin of the clade is a random time in the past, whose (improper) distribution is uniform on $(0,\infty)$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David J. Aldous , Lea Popovic

Combinatorial trees can be used to represent genealogies of asexual individuals. These individuals can be endowed with birth and death times, to obtain a so-called `chronological tree'. In this work, we are interested in the continuum…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Amaury Lambert , Gerónimo Uribe Bravo

In this work we model the dynamics of a population that evolves as a continuous time branching process with a trait structure and ecological interactions in form of mutations and competition between individuals. We generalize existing…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-19 Gabriel Berzunza , Anja Sturm , Anita Winter

We consider population models in which the individuals reproduce, die and also migrate in space. The population size scales according to some parameter $N$, which can have different interpretations depending on the context. Each individual…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-21 Ankit Gupta

Let $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ be a regular one-dimensional diffusion that models a biological population. If one assumes that the population goes extinct in finite time it is natural to study the $Q$-process associated to $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$. This is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Alexandru Hening

We consider a renewal process with regularly varying stationary and weakly dependent steps, and prove that the steps made before a given time $t$, satisfy an interesting invariance principle. Namely, together with the age of the renewal…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-16 Bojan Basrak

We consider the Wright-Fisher model for a population of $N$ individuals, each identified with a sequence of a finite number of sites, and single-crossover recombination between them. We trace back the ancestry of single individuals from the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-24 Ellen Baake , Ute von Wangenheim

The GREM-like trap model is a continuous time Markov jump process on the leaves of a finite volume $L$-level tree whose transition rates depend on a trapping landscape built on the vertices of the whole tree. We prove that the natural…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-14 Véronique Gayrard , Onur Gün

By studying an admissible family of branching mechanisms introduced in Li (2014), we obtain a pruning procedure on L\'evy trees. Then we could construct a decreasing L\'evy-CRT-valued process $\{{\mathcal T}_t\}$ by pruning L\'evy trees and…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-19 Hongwei Bi , Hui He