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We develop an efficient simulation algorithm for computing the tail probabilities of the infinite series $S = \sum_{n \geq 1} a_n X_n$ when random variables $X_n$ are heavy-tailed. As $S$ is the sum of infinitely many random variables, any…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-08 Henrik Hult , Sandeep Juneja , Karthyek Murthy

We extend the theory of concentration inequalities to simple random tensors with heavy-tailed coefficients. Specifically, we consider the class of sub-Weibull distributions $\mathcal{S}_\alpha$ for $\alpha \in [1, 2]$. We establish…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-11 Yunfan Zhao

A weighted Gaussian approximation to tail product-limit process for Pareto-like distributions of randomly right-truncated data is provided and a new consistent and asymptotically normal estimator of the extreme value index is derived. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-07 Souad Benchaira , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir

In this paper, we compute multivariate tail risk probabilities where the marginal risks are heavy-tailed and the dependence structure is a Gaussian copula. The marginal heavy-tailed risks are modeled using regular variation which leads to a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-12 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

We consider the quantum dynamics of a particle on a lattice for large times. Assuming translation invariance, and either discrete or continuous time parameter, the distribution of the ballistically scaled position $Q(t)/t$ converges weakly…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-09 Christopher Cedzich , Alain Joye , Albert H. Werner , Reinhard F. Werner

In this paper we derive the tail asymptotics of the product of two dependent Weibull-type risks, which is of interest in various statistical and applied probability problems. Our results extend some recent findings of Schlueter and Fischer…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-12 E. Hashorva , Z. Weng

A tail empirical process for heavy-tailed and right-censored data is introduced and its Gaussian approximation is established. In this context, a (weighted) new Hill-type estimator for positive extreme value index is proposed and its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-06 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir , Louiza Soltane

A positive correlation inequality is established for circular-invariant plurisubharmonic functions, with respect to complex Gaussian measures. The main ingredients of the proofs are the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck semigroup, and another natural…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Franck Barthe , Dario Cordero-Erausquin

It is shown that functions defined on $\{0,1,...,r-1\}^n$ satisfying certain conditions of bounded differences that guarantee sub-Gaussian tail behavior also satisfy a much stronger ``local'' sub-Gaussian property. For self-bounding and…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-03 Luc Devroye , Gábor Lugosi

There is an increasing interest to understand the dependence structure of a random vector not only in the center of its distribution but also in the tails. Extreme-value theory tackles the problem of modelling the joint tail of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-04 Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers , Michal Warchol

In this work, we apply the concept about operator connection to consider bivariate random tensor means. We first extend classical Markov and Chebyshev inequalities from a random variable to a random tensor by establishing Markov inequality…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-08 Shih-Yu Chang

In this paper, we consider the problem of the estimation of a Weibull tail-coefficient. In particular, we propose a regression model, from which we derive a bias-reduced estimator. This estimator is based on a least-squares approach. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-01 J. Diebolt , L. Gardes , S. Girard , A. Guillou

In this paper, we study tail inequalities of the largest eigenvalue of a matrix infinitely divisible (i.d.) series, which is a finite sum of fixed matrices weighted by i.d. random variables. We obtain several types of tail inequalities,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Chao Zhang , Xianjie Gao , Min-Hsiu Hsieh , Hanyuan Hang , Dacheng Tao

Let $X_1,\dots,X_n$ be independent normal random variables with $X_i\sim N(\mu_i,\sigma_i^2)$, and set $Z=\prod_{i=1}^n X_i$. We derive asymptotic approximations for the right tail probability $\mathbb{P}(Z>x)$ as $x\to\infty$. When at…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Džiugas Chvoinikov , Jonas Šiaulys

Let $K \subset \mathbb{R}^n$ be a centered convex body of volume one. We prove that there exist absolute constants $c,C > 0$ and an orthonormal set of vectors $\Theta \subset S^{n-1}$ with size $\left|\Theta\right| \ge 9n/10$ such that, if…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Brayden Letwin , Dan Mikulincer

We discuss two-sided bounds for moments and tails of quadratic forms in Gaussian random variables with values in Banach spaces. We state a natural conjecture and show that it holds up to additional logarithmic factors. Moreover in a certain…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Radosław Adamczak , Rafał Latała , Rafał Meller

We introduce a quadratic form $Q$ on the space of functions on the gap poset $G$ of the numerical semigroup $\langle a,b\rangle$. We prove combinatorially that when evaluated on the indicator function of an upward closed subset $D$, this…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Yifeng Huang

We investigate a way of comparing and classifying tails of random variables. Our approach extends the notion of classical indices, such as exponential and moment indices, which are widely used measuring heaviness of tail functions. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-07 Jaakko Lehtomaa

We provide a very simple argument showing that the $\Phi^4_3$ measure does have quartic exponential tails, as expected from its formal expression. This shows that the corresponding moment problem is well-posed and provides a simple path to…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-31 Martin Hairer , Rhys Steele

Let $\{\xi_n\}$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables. In this paper we study the comparison for two upper tail probabilities $\mathbb{P}\{\sum_{n=1}^{\infty}a_n|\xi_n|^p\geq r\}$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-12 Fuchang Gao , Zhenxia Liu , Xiangfeng Yang