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We consider inference post-model-selection in linear regression. In this setting, Berk et al.(2013) recently introduced a class of confidence sets, the so-called PoSI intervals, that cover a certain non-standard quantity of interest with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-14 François Bachoc , Hannes Leeb , Benedikt M. Pötscher

These lecture notes provide an overview of existing methodologies and recent developments for estimation and inference with high dimensional time series regression models. First, we present main limit theory results for high dimensional…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-01 Christis Katsouris

To quantify uncertainty around point estimates of conditional objects such as conditional means or variances, parameter uncertainty has to be taken into account. Attempts to incorporate parameter uncertainty are typically based on the…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-23 Eric Beutner , Alexander Heinemann , Stephan Smeekes

A rich set of frequentist model averaging methods has been developed, but their applications have largely been limited to point prediction, as measuring prediction uncertainty in general settings remains an open problem. In this paper we…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-21 Zhongjun Qu , Wendun Wang , Xiaomeng Zhang

In multiple scientific and technological applications we face the problem of having low dimensional data to be justified by a linear model defined in a high dimensional parameter space. The difference in dimensionality makes the problem…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-08-04 Jorge Fernandez-de-Cossio-Diaz , Roberto Mulet

Robert Machol's surprising result, that from a single observation it is possible to have finite length confidence intervals for the parameters of location-scale models, is re-produced and extended. Two previously unpublished modifications…

bayes-an · Physics 2008-04-17 Carlos C. Rodriguez

We provide finite-sample distribution approximations, that are uniform in the parameter, for inference in linear mixed models. Focus is on variances and covariances of random effects in cases where existing theory fails because their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

A reasonable confidence interval should have a confidence coefficient no less than the given nominal level and a small expected length to reliably and accurately estimate the parameter of interest, and the bootstrap interval is considered…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-15 Weizhen Wang , Chongxiu Yu , Zhongzhan Zhang

We consider a sparse high-dimensional varying coefficients model with random effects, a flexible linear model allowing covariates and coefficients to have a functional dependence with time. For each individual, we observe discretely sampled…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-14 Michael Law , Ya'acov Ritov

Statistical inference for high dimensional parameters (HDPs) can be based on their intrinsic correlation; that is, parameters that are close spatially or temporally tend to have more similar values. This is why nonlinear mixed-effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Nan Zheng , Noel Cadigan

Mechanistic dynamic models of biochemical networks such as Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) contain unknown parameters like the reaction rate constants and the initial concentrations of the compounds. The large number of parameters as…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-08-14 Clemens Kreutz , Andreas Raue , Jens Timmer

We introduce a flexible framework for making inferences about general linear forms of a large matrix based on noisy observations of a subset of its entries. In particular, under mild regularity conditions, we develop a universal procedure…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-12 Dong Xia , Ming Yuan

Symbolic regression is a nonlinear regression method which is commonly performed by an evolutionary computation method such as genetic programming. Quantification of uncertainty of regression models is important for the interpretation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-15 Fabricio Olivetti de Franca , Gabriel Kronberger

We provide a unified approach to a method of estimation of the regression parameter in balanced linear models with a structured covariance matrix that combines a high breakdown point and bounded influence with high asymptotic efficiency at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Hendrik Paul Lopuhaä

This paper studies the problems of identifiability and estimation in high-dimensional nonparametric latent structure models. We introduce an identifiability theorem that generalizes existing conditions, establishing a unified framework…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Yichen Lyu , Pengkun Yang

One challenge of large-scale data analysis is that the assumption of an identical distribution for all samples is often not realistic. An optimal linear regression might, for example, be markedly different for distinct groups of the data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-02 Dominik Rothenhäusler , Nicolai Meinshausen , Peter Bühlmann

Consider panel data modelled by a linear random intercept model that includes a time-varying covariate. Suppose that we have uncertain prior information that this covariate is exogenous. We present a new confidence interval for the slope…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-01 Paul Kabaila , Rheanna Mainzer

This work presents a novel simulation-based approach for constructing confidence regions in parametric models, which is particularly suited for generative models and situations where limited data and conventional asymptotic approximations…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Elena Bortolato , Laura Ventura

We propose a new method of estimation in high-dimensional linear regression model. It allows for very weak distributional assumptions including heteroscedasticity, and does not require the knowledge of the variance of random errors. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-16 Eric Gautier , Alexandre Tsybakov

This paper develops an inferential theory for high-dimensional matrix-variate factor models with missing observations. We propose an easy-to-use all-purpose method that involves two straightforward steps. First, we perform principal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-26 Yongxia Zhang , Jinwen Liang , Liwen Xu , Keming Yu , Maozai Tian
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