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We study an urn process containing red and blue balls and two different strategies to reinforce the urn. Namely, a generalized P\'olya-type strategy versus an i.i.d. one. At each step, one of the two reinforcement strategies is chosen by…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Manuel González-Navarrete , Rodrigo Lambert

Consider a generalized time-dependent P\'olya urn process defined as follows. Let $d\in \mathbb{N}$ be the number of urns/colors. At each time $n$, we distribute $\sigma_n$ balls randomly to the $d$ urns, proportionally to $f$, where $f$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Wioletta M. Ruszel , Debleena Thacker

The classical Luria-Delbr\"uck model for fluctuation analysis is extended to the case where cells can either divide or die at the end of their generation time. This leads to a family of probability distributions generalizing the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-30 Bernard Ycart

In 2002, in a seminal article, Christoph Bandt and Bernd Pompe proposed a new methodology for the analysis of complex time series, now known as Ordinal Analysis. The ordinal methodology is based on the computation of symbols (known as…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-06-07 Inmaculada Leyva , Johann Martinez , Cristina Masoller , Osvaldo A. Rosso , Massimiliano Zanin

The generalized filtered method of moments was developed in the recent papers by Alomari et al., 2020, and Ayache et al., 2022. It used functional data obtained from continuously sampled cyclic long-memory stochastic processes to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-18 Antoine Ayache , Serhii Kravchenko , Andriy Olenko

Abstractions of causal models allow for the coarsening of models such that relations of cause and effect are preserved. Whereas abstractions focus on the relation between two models, in this paper we study a framework for causal embeddings…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Willem Schooltink , Fabio Massimo Zennaro

We consider birth-and-death processes of objects (animals) defined in ${\bf Z}^d$ having unit death rates and random birth rates. For animals with uniformly bounded diameter we establish conditions on the rate distribution under which the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Roberto Fernandez , Pablo A. Ferrari , Gustavo R. Guerberoff

We consider diffusion-limited annihilating systems with mobile $A$-particles and stationary $B$-particles placed throughout a graph. Mutual annihilation occurs whenever an $A$-particle meets a $B$-particle. Such systems, when ran in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-05 Riti Bahl , Philip Barnet , Tobias Johnson , Matthew Junge

Extreme shock models have been introduced in Gut and H\"usler (1999) to study systems that at random times are subject to shock of random magnitude. These systems break down when some shock overcomes a given resistance level. In this paper…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2010-10-19 Pasquale Cirillo , Jürg Hüsler

We take a unified approach to central limit theorems for a class of irreducible urn models with constant replacement matrix. Depending on the eigenvalue, we consider appropriate linear combinations of the number of balls of different…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-29 Gopal K. Basak , Amites Dasgupta

In this paper we show how to extend the Sample-Path Large Deviation Principle for the urn model of Hill, Lane and Sudderth to the case in which the increment of the urn is not a binary variable. In particular, we sketch how to modify the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-19 Simone Franchini

The generalized P\`olya urn (GPU) models and their variants have been investigated in several disciplines. However, typical assumptions made with respect to the GPU do not include urn models with diagonal replacement matrix, which arise in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-24 Andrea Ghiglietti , Anand N. Vidyashankar , William F. Rosenberger

The objective of ordinal embedding is to find a Euclidean representation of a set of abstract items, using only answers to triplet comparisons of the form "Is item $i$ closer to the item $j$ or item $k$?". In recent years, numerous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Leena Chennuru Vankadara , Siavash Haghiri , Michael Lohaus , Faiz Ul Wahab , Ulrike von Luxburg

We present an analytic study of the urn model for separation of sand recently introduced by Lipowski and Droz (Phys. Rev. E 65, 031307 (2002)). We solve analytically the master equation and the first-passage problem. The analytic results…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 G. M. Shim , B. Y. Park , Hoyun Lee

Consider the multicolored urn model where, after every draw, balls of the different colors are added to the urn in a proportion determined by a given stochastic replacement matrix. We consider some special replacement matrices which are not…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-09 Arup Bose , Amites Dasgupta , Krishanu Maulik

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for sampling probability density functions (combined with abundant computational resources) have transformed the sciences, especially in performing probabilistic inferences, or fitting models to data.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-23 David W. Hogg , Daniel Foreman-Mackey

The Friedman's urn model is a popular urn model which is widely used in many disciplines. In particular, it is extensively used in treatment allocation schemes in clinical trials. In this paper, we prove that both the urn composition…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-30 Li-Xin Zhang , Feifang Hu

The paper studies the counting process arising as a subset of births and deaths in a birth--death process on a finite state space. Whenever a birth or death occurs, the process is incremented or not depending on the outcome of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Daryl. J. Daley , Yoni Nazarathy , Jiesen Wang

Missing data is a common problem in real-world settings and particularly relevant in healthcare applications where researchers use Electronic Health Records (EHR) and results of observational studies to apply analytics methods. This issue…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-04 Dimitris Bertsimas , Agni Orfanoudaki , Colin Pawlowski

Assuming that a reflected Ornstein-Uhlenbeck state process is observed at discrete time instants, we propose generalized moment estimators to estimate all drift and diffusion parameters via the celebrated ergodic theorem. With the sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-14 Yaozhong Hu , Yuejuan Xi