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We propose a dynamic model of dependence structure between financial institutions within a financial system and we construct measures for dependence and financial instability. Employing Markov structures of joint credit migrations, our…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-11 Yu-Sin Chang

The non-convexity and intractability of distributionally robust chance constraints make them challenging to cope with. From a data-driven perspective, we propose formulating it as a robust optimization problem to ensure that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-23 Zhiping Chen , Wentao Ma , Bingbing Ji

We consider the problem of stabilization of a linear system, under state and control constraints, and subject to bounded disturbances and unknown parameters in the state matrix. First, using a simple least square solution and available…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-22 Edouard Leurent , Denis Efimov , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard

Algorithmic theories of randomness can be related to theories of probabilistic sequence prediction through the notion of a predictor, defined as a function which supplies lower bounds on initial-segment probabilities of infinite sequences.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-25 Lenhart K. Schubert

This paper investigates model robustness in reinforcement learning (RL) to reduce the sim-to-real gap in practice. We adopt the framework of distributionally robust Markov decision processes (RMDPs), aimed at learning a policy that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Laixi Shi , Gen Li , Yuting Wei , Yuxin Chen , Matthieu Geist , Yuejie Chi

This paper proposes strategies for designing a system whose computational model is subject to aleatory and epistemic uncertainty. Aleatory variables, which are caused by randomness in physical parameters, are draws from a possibly unknown…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-18 Luis G. Crespo

This paper is concerned with test of the conditional independence. We first establish an equivalence between the conditional independence and the mutual independence. Based on the equivalence, we propose an index to measure the conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Zhanrui Cai , Runze Li , Yaowu Zhang

The problem of robust binary hypothesis testing is studied. Under both hypotheses, the data-generating distributions are assumed to belong to uncertainty sets constructed through moments; in particular, the sets contain distributions whose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Akshayaa Magesh , Zhongchang Sun , Venugopal V. Veeravalli , Shaofeng Zou

In stochastic control applications, typically only an ideal model (controlled transition kernel) is assumed and the control design is based on the given model, raising the problem of performance loss due to the mismatch between the assumed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-02-04 Ali Devran Kara , Serdar Yüksel

Conventional likelihood-based information criteria for model selection rely on the distribution assumption of data. However, for complex data that are increasingly available in many scientific fields, the specification of their underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-25 Chixiang Chen , Ming Wang , Rongling Wu , Runze Li

The problem of robust hypothesis testing is studied, where under the null and the alternative hypotheses, the data-generating distributions are assumed to be in some uncertainty sets, and the goal is to design a test that performs well…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-08 Zhongchang Sun , Shaofeng Zou

Despite extraordinary progress, current machine learning systems have been shown to be brittle against adversarial examples: seemingly innocuous but carefully crafted perturbations of test examples that cause machine learning predictors to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Omar Montasser

This paper consider the problem of determining the reliability of a software system which can be decomposed in a number of modules. We have derived the expression of the reliability of a system using the Markovian model for the transfer of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-21 Rudrani Banerjee , Angshuman Sarkar

The analysis of high-dimensional time series data has become increasingly important across a wide range of fields. Recently, a method for constructing the minimum information Markov kernel on finite state spaces was established. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Issey Sukeda , Tomonari Sei

Adversarial robustness refers to a model's ability to resist perturbation of inputs, while distribution robustness evaluates the performance of the model under data shifts. Although both aim to ensure reliable performance, prior work has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-26 Yipei Wang , Zhaoying Pan , Xiaoqian Wang

We study the robustness of classifiers to various kinds of random noise models. In particular, we consider noise drawn uniformly from the $\ell\_p$ ball for $p \in [1, \infty]$ and Gaussian noise with an arbitrary covariance matrix. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-25 Jean-Yves Franceschi , Alhussein Fawzi , Omar Fawzi

An ideal I is robust if its universal Gr\"obner basis is a minimal generating set for this ideal. In this paper, we generalize the meaning of robust ideals. An ideal is defined as generalized robust if its universal Gr\"obner basis is equal…

Commutative Algebra · Mathematics 2018-10-30 Christos Tatakis

Robust explanations of machine learning models are critical to establish human trust in the models. Due to limited cognition capability, most humans can only interpret the top few salient features. It is critical to make top salient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Chao Chen , Chenghua Guo , Guixiang Ma , Ming Zeng , Xi Zhang , Sihong Xie

Independence testing is a fundamental problem in statistical inference: given samples from a joint distribution $p$ over multiple random variables, the goal is to determine whether $p$ is a product distribution or is $\epsilon$-far from all…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-06 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Alireza Azizi , Ria Stevens

We connect shift-invariant characteristic kernels to infinitely divisible distributions on $\mathbb{R}^{d}$. Characteristic kernels play an important role in machine learning applications with their kernel means to distinguish any two…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-26 Yu Nishiyama , Kenji Fukumizu
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