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Various real-world applications involve modeling complex systems with immense uncertainty and optimizing multiple objectives based on the uncertain model. Quantifying the impact of the model uncertainty on the given operational objectives…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Byung-Jun Yoon , Xiaoning Qian , Edward R. Dougherty

Despite years of research for improving accuracy, software practitioners still face software estimation difficulties. Expert judgment has been the prevalent method used in industry, and researchers' focus on raising realism in estimates…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Patricia Matsubara , Igor Steinmacher , Bruno Gadelha , Tayana Conte

Cost estimation is a very crucial field for software developing companies. In the context of learning organizations, estimation applicability and accuracy are not the only acceptance criteria. The contribution of an estimation technique to…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-02-12 Adam Trendowicz , Jens Heidrich , Jürgen Münch

Predicting query execution time is a fundamental issue underlying many database management tasks. Existing predictors rely on information such as cardinality estimates and system performance constants that are difficult to know exactly. As…

Databases · Computer Science 2014-08-29 Wentao Wu , Xi Wu , Hakan Hacıgümüş , Jeffrey F. Naughton

Software is becoming a critical component of most products and organizational functions. The ability to continuously improve software determines how well the organization can respond to market opportunities. Continuous software engineering…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-03-25 Eriks Klotins , Tony Gorschek

In many high-risk machine learning applications it is essential for a model to indicate when it is uncertain about a prediction. While large language models (LLMs) can reach and even surpass human-level accuracy on a variety of benchmarks,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Evan Becker , Stefano Soatto

Software analytics has been widely used in software engineering for many tasks such as generating effort estimates for software projects. One of the "black arts" of software analytics is tuning the parameters controlling a data mining…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2019-02-04 Tianpei Xia , Rahul Krishna , Jianfeng Chen , George Mathew , Xipeng Shen , Tim Menzies

Software development tasks must be performed successfully to achieve software quality and customer satisfaction. Knowing whether software tasks are likely to fail is essential to ensure the success of software projects. Issue Tracking…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-06-03 Sandra L. Ramírez-Mora , Hanna Oktaba , Helena Gómez-Adorno

Human error research on overconfidence supports the benefits of early visibility of defects and disciplined development. If risk to the enterprise is to be reduced, individuals need to become aware of the reality of the quality of their…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2008-03-25 Patrick O'Beirne

Survival models are used in various fields, such as the development of cancer treatment protocols. Although many statistical and machine learning models have been proposed to achieve accurate survival predictions, little attention has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-26 Hrushikesh Loya , Pranav Poduval , Deepak Anand , Neeraj Kumar , Amit Sethi

Most of the methods that produce space weather forecasts are based on deterministic models. In order to generate a probabilistic forecast, a model needs to be run several times sampling the input parameter space, in order to generate an…

Space Physics · Physics 2019-05-01 Enrico Camporeale , Xiangning Chu , Oleksiy Agapitov , Jacob Bortnik

Software artifacts are ubiquitous in our lives being an essential part of home appliances, cars, cel phones, and even in more critical activities like aeronautics and health sciences. In this context software failures may produce enormous…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Carlos Gustavo Lopez Pombo , Agustín Eloy Martinez Suñé

Artificial intelligence (AI) systems accelerate medical workflows and improve diagnostic accuracy in healthcare, serving as second-opinion systems. However, the unpredictability of AI errors poses a significant challenge, particularly in…

The software is changing rapidly with the invention of advanced technologies and methodologies. The ability to rapidly and successfully upgrade software in response to changing business requirements is more vital than ever. For the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-09-22 Gokul Yenduri , Thippa Reddy Gadekallu

Many software developments projects fail due to quality problems. Software testing enables the creation of high quality software products. Since it is a cumbersome and expensive task, and often hard to manage, both its technical background…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Tim A. Majchrzak

The objective of this research work is to improve the degree of excellence by removing the number of exceptions from the software. The modern age is more concerned with the quality of software. Extensive research is being carried out in…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-04-22 Ekbal Rashid , Srikanta Patnaik , Vandana Bhattacherjee

This paper addresses the challenge of model uncertainty in quantitative finance, where decisions in portfolio allocation, derivative pricing, and risk management rely on estimating stochastic models from limited data. In practice, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-10 Hans Buehler , Blanka Horvath , Yannick Limmer , Thorsten Schmidt

Optimization equips engineers and scientists in a variety of fields with the ability to transcribe their problems into a generic formulation and receive optimal solutions with relative ease. Industries ranging from aerospace to robotics…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Keivan Shariatmadar , Kaizheng Wang , Calvin R. Hubbard , Hans Hallez , David Moens

Uncertainty estimation is critical for deploying reasoning language models, yet remains poorly understood under extended chain-of-thought reasoning. We study parallel sampling as a fully black-box approach using verbalized confidence and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Maksym Del , Markus Kängsepp , Marharyta Domnich , Ardi Tampuu , Lisa Yankovskaya , Meelis Kull , Mark Fishel

In this study, we explore in depth a few under-studied topics at the intersection of uncertainty estimation and segmentation. Prior work has shown that the quality of uncertainty estimates can be very sensitive to a range of variables. As…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Michael Smith , Frank P. Ferrie