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Production planning must account for uncertainty in a production system, arising from fluctuating demand forecasts. Therefore, this article focuses on the integration of updated customer demand into the rolling horizon planning cycle. We…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-27 Manuel Schlenkrich , Wolfgang Seiringer , Klaus Altendorfer , Sophie N. Parragh

The dynamic time scan forecasting method relies on the premise that the most important pattern in a time series precedes the forecasting window, i.e., the last observed values. Thus, a scan procedure is applied to identify similar patterns,…

Forecasting electricity demand plays a fundamental role in the operation and planning procedures of power systems and the publications about electricity demand forecasting increasing year by year. In this paper, we use Scientometric…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-24 Dongchuan Yang , Ju-e Guo , Jie Li , Shouyang Wang , Shaolong Sun

This paper tackles challenges in pricing and revenue projections due to consumer uncertainty. We propose a novel data-based approach for firms facing unknown consumer type distributions. Unlike existing methods, we assume firms only observe…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-05-28 Duarte Gonçalves , Bruno A. Furtado

This research article suggests that there are significant benefits in exposing demand planners to forecasting methods using matrix completion techniques. This study aims to contribute to a better understanding of the field of forecasting…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-10 Rodrigo Rivera-Castro , Ivan Nazarov , Evgeny Burnaev

In the present paper we propose a new approach to investigate the logistic function, commonly used in mathematical models in economics and management. The approach is based on indicating in a given time series, having a logistic trend, some…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2014-02-14 Grzegorz Rzadkowski , Iwona Głażewska , Katarzyna Sawińska

In retailer management, the Newsvendor problem has widely attracted attention as one of basic inventory models. In the traditional approach to solving this problem, it relies on the probability distribution of the demand. In theory, if the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-12 Yanfei Zhang , Junbin Gao

The last decade has seen the success of stochastic parameterizations in short-term, medium-range and seasonal forecasts: operational weather centers now routinely use stochastic parameterization schemes to better represent model inadequacy…

Intermittency is a common and challenging problem in demand forecasting. We introduce a new, unified framework for building intermittent demand forecasting models, which incorporates and allows to generalize existing methods in several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Ali Caner Turkmen , Tim Januschowski , Yuyang Wang , Ali Taylan Cemgil

We consider "time-of-use" pricing as a technique for matching supply and demand of temporal resources with the goal of maximizing social welfare. Relevant examples include energy, computing resources on a cloud computing platform, and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-11 Shuchi Chawla , Nikhil R. Devanur , Alexander E. Holroyd , Anna Karlin , James Martin , Balasubramanian Sivan

Advancements in smart metering technologies have significantly improved the ability to monitor and manage water utilities. In the context of increasing uncertainty due to climate change, securing water resources and supply has emerged as an…

Curve fitting is a fundamental technique in engineering and scientific research, serving as a critical tool for extracting insights from data. This study explores the application of various statistical equations to estimate outcomes in…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2025-02-14 Hamidreza Moradi , Hamideh Hossei , Erfan Kefayat

Modeling transformations between arbitrary data distributions is a fundamental scientific challenge, arising in applications like drug discovery and evolutionary simulation. While flow matching offers a natural framework for this task, its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Shiye Su , Yuhui Zhang , Linqi Zhou , Rajesh Ranganath , Serena Yeung-Levy

We propose the new Top-Dog-Index, a measure for the branch-dependent historic deviation of the supply data of apparel sizes from the sales data of a fashion discounter. A common approach is to estimate demand for sizes directly from the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-04-28 Sascha Kurz , Joerg Rambau , Joerg Schluechtermann , Rainer Wolf

Fashion retailers require accurate demand forecasts for the next season, almost a year in advance, for demand management and supply chain planning purposes. Accurate forecasts are important to ensure retailers' profitability and to reduce…

Various statistical analysis methods are studied for years to extract accurate trends of network traffic and predict the future load mainly to allocate required resources. Besides, many stochastic modeling techniques are offered to…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2019-12-30 Doğanalp Ergenç , Ertan Onur

Recent studies have analyzed whether one forecast method dominates another under a class of consistent scoring functions. While the existing literature focuses on empirical tests of forecast dominance, little is known about the theoretical…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-19 Fabian Krüger , Johanna F. Ziegel

We study a pricing setting where each customer is offered a contextualized price based on customer and/or product features. Often only historical sales data are available, so we observe whether a customer purchased a product at the price…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Max Biggs , Ruijiang Gao , Wei Sun

The information diffusion prediction on social networks aims to predict future recipients of a message, with practical applications in marketing and social media. While different prediction models all claim to perform well, general…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Wenjin Xie , Xiaomeng Wang , Radosław Michalski , Tao Jia

Process analytics is an umbrella of data-driven techniques which includes making predictions for individual process instances or overall process models. At the instance level, various novel techniques have been recently devised, tackling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-29 Johannes De Smedt , Anton Yeshchenko , Artem Polyvyanyy , Jochen De Weerdt , Jan Mendling
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