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Generating synthetic financial time series that preserve the statistical properties of real market data is essential for stress testing, risk model validation, and scenario design. Existing approaches struggle to simultaneously reproduce…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-03 Abdulrahman Alswaidan , Jeffrey D. Varner

We consider a discrete-time system of n coupled random vectors, a.k.a. interacting particles. The dynamics involve a vanishing step size, some random centered perturbations, and a mean vector field which induces the coupling between the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Pascal Bianchi , Walid Hachem , Victor Priser

Inspired by a duration-dependent life insurance model, we consider continuous-time semi-Markov jump processes, initially assumed to have a finite state-space. We develop approximations using jump processes that are time-homogeneous Markov,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-11 Martin Bladt , Andreea Minca , Oscar Peralta

In this paper, we show the convergence rates of posterior distributions of the model dynamics in a MDP for both episodic and continuous tasks. The theoretical results hold for general state and action space and the parameter space of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Zhen Li , Eric Laber

We study the performance of a stochastic algorithm based on the power method that adaptively learns the large deviation functions characterizing the fluctuations of additive functionals of Markov processes, used in physics to model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-30 Francesco Coghi , Hugo Touchette

We consider the asymptotics of the invariant measure for the process of the empirical spatial distribution of $N$ coupled Markov chains in the limit of a large number of chains. Each chain reflects the stochastic evolution of one particle.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-25 Vivek S. Borkar , Rajesh Sundaresan

We investigate a piecewise-deterministic Markov process, evolving on a Polish metric space, whose deterministic behaviour between random jumps is governed by some semi-flow, and any state right after the jump is attained by a randomly…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-04 Dawid Czapla , Sander C. Hille , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

We introduce a class of (2+1)-dimensional stochastic growth processes, that can be seen as irreversible random dynamics of discrete interfaces. "Irreversible" means that the interface has an average non-zero drift. Interface configurations…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-26 Fabio Lucio Toninelli

In [7] Krotov and Hopfield suggest a generalized version of the well-known Hopfield model of associative memory. In their version they consider a polynomial interaction function and claim that this increases the storage capacity of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-03 Mete Demircigil , Judith Heusel , Matthias Löwe , Sven Upgang , Franck Vermet

We study central limit theorems for a totally asymmetric, one-dimensional interacting random system. The models we work with are the Aldous-Diaconis-Hammersley process and the related stick model. The A-D-H process represents a particle…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-07 Timo Seppalainen

We consider spatially extended systems of interacting nonlinear Hawkes processes modeling large systems of neurons placed in Rd and study the associated mean field limits. As the total number of neurons tends to infinity, we prove that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-19 Julien Chevallier , A Duarte , E Löcherbach , G Ost

We consider a two-dimensional Hamiltonian system perturbed by a small diffusion term, whose coefficient is state-dependent and non-degenerate. As a result, the process consists of the fast motion along the level curves and slow motion…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Shuo Yan

We consider a model describing a neuron and the input it receives from its dendritic tree when this input is a random perturbation of a periodic deterministic signal, driven by an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. The neuron itself is modeled by…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-19 R. Höpfner , E. Löcherbach , M. Thieullen

This article presents a biological neural network model driven by inhomogeneous Poisson processes accounting for the intrinsic randomness of synapses. The main novelty is the introduction of local interactions: each firing neuron triggers…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-17 Maximiliano Altamirano , Roberto Cortez , Matthieu Jonckheere , Lasse Leskelä

Classical models for predicting current flow in excitable cells such as axons, originally proposed by Hodgkin and Huxley, rely on empirical voltage-gating parameters that quantify ion transport across sodium and potassium ion channels. We…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-02-24 Vivaan Patel , Joshua D. Priosoetanto , Aashutosh Mistry , John Newman , Nitash P. Balsara

In this paper, we propose a discontinuous Hamilton Monte Carlo (DHMC) to sample from dimensional varying distributions, and particularly the grand canonical ensemble. The DHMC was proposed in [Biometrika, 107(2)] for discontinuous potential…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-16 Lei Li , Xiangxian Luo , Yinchen Luo

Reduced models of neuronal activity such as Integrate-and-Fire models allow a description of neuronal dynamics in simple, intuitive terms and are easy to simulate numerically. We present a method to fit an Integrate-and-Fire-type model of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-03 Renaud Jolivet , Wulfram Gerstner

Mathematical models of biological neural networks are associated to a rich and complex class of stochastic processes. In this paper, we consider a simple {\em plastic} neural network whose {\em connectivity/synaptic strength} $(W(t))$…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Philippe Robert , Gaetan Vignoud

Here a viable and never before investigated mechanism of propagation of spikes along neurons is proposed. In the following, velocity of propagation of small-amplitude pressure waves through the cytoplasmic interior of myelinated and…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Marat M. Rvachev

The main goal of this paper is to apply the so-called policy iteration algorithm (PIA) for the long run average continuous control problem of piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP's) taking values in a general Borel space and with…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-17 O. L. V. Costa , F. Dufour