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This paper presents a novel approach for approximate integration over the uncertainty of noise and signal variances in Gaussian process (GP) regression. Our efficient and straightforward approach can also be applied to integration over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-18 Ville Tolvanen , Pasi Jylänki , Aki Vehtari

Covariate measurement error in nonparametric regression is a common problem in nutritional epidemiology and geostatistics, and other fields. Over the last two decades, this problem has received substantial attention in the frequentist…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Shuang Zhou , Debdeep Pati , Tianying Wang , Yun Yang , Raymond J. Carroll

Gaussian process regression in its most simplified form assumes normal homoscedastic noise and utilizes analytically tractable mean and covariance functions of predictive posterior distribution using Gaussian conditioning. Its…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-20 Pooja Algikar , Lamine Mili

Gravitational wave detectors will need optimal signal-processing algorithms to extract weak signals from the detector noise. Most algorithms designed to date are based on the unrealistic assumption that the detector noise may be modeled as…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-07 Bruce Allen , Jolien D. E. Creighton , Eanna E. Flanagan , Joseph D. Romano

Ordinary differential equation models are used to describe dynamic processes across biology. To perform likelihood-based parameter inference on these models, it is necessary to specify a statistical process representing the contribution of…

Shot noise processes have been extensively studied due to their mathematical properties and their relevance in several applications. Here, we consider nonnegative shot noise processes and prove their weak convergence to L\'evy-driven…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-24 Massimiliano Tamborrino , Petr Lansky

In this paper, we consider parameter estimation for stochastic differential equations driven by Wiener processes and compound Poisson processes. We assume unknown parameters corresponding to coefficients of the drift term, diffusion term,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Shuntaro Suzuki , Takaaki Wakamatsu , Yasutaka Shimizu

This paper discusses the solution of nonlinear integral equations with noisy integral kernels as they appear in nonparametric instrumental regression. We propose a regularized Newton-type iteration and establish convergence and convergence…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-04-01 Fabian Dunker , Jean-Pierre Florens , Thorsten Hohage , Jan Johannes , Enno Mammen

In this paper, we analyze the use of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to model dynamical systems subjected to bounded noisy perturbations. In order to discuss the main characteristics of this new approach we consider some basic models in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Tomás Caraballo , Renato Colucci , Javier López-de-la-Cruz , Alain Rapaport

Nonparametric regression for massive numbers of samples (n) and features (p) is an increasingly important problem. In big n settings, a common strategy is to partition the feature space, and then separately apply simple models to each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-10 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , David B. Dunson

In the previous paper an adaptive filtering based on a reference recursive recipe was developed and tested on a simulated dynamics of a spring, mass, and damper with a weak nonlinear spring. In this paper the above recipe is applied to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-28 Shyam Mohan M , Naren Naik , R. M. O. Gemson , M. R. Ananthasayanam

A distributed adaptive algorithm for estimation of sparse unknown parameters in the presence of nonGaussian noise is proposed in this paper based on normalized least mean fourth (NLMF) criterion. At the first step, local adaptive NLMF…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-12-09 Mojtaba Hajiabadi

In audio signal processing, probabilistic time-frequency models have many benefits over their non-probabilistic counterparts. They adapt to the incoming signal, quantify uncertainty, and measure correlation between the signal's amplitude…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-02-13 William J. Wilkinson , Michael Riis Andersen , Joshua D. Reiss , Dan Stowell , Arno Solin

Descriptions of complex physical or biological systems often include stochastic contributions, and these are commonly simulated using Wiener processes. In many cases however, non-Gaussian fluctuations may originate from non-Wiener processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-19 Richard D. J. G. Ho

We consider the problem of recovering of continuous multi-dimensional functions from the noisy observations over the regular grid. Our focus is at the adaptive estimation in the case when the function can be well recovered using a linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-06 Anatoli Iouditski , Arkadii S. Nemirovski

In many real-world applications, optimization problems evolve continuously over time and are often subject to stochastic noise. We consider a stochastic time-varying optimization problem in which the objective function $f(x;t)$ changes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Tomoya Kamijima , Naoki Marumo , Akiko Takeda

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a versatile method that enables different approaches towards learning for dynamics and control. Gaussianity assumptions appear in two dimensions in GPs: The positive semi-definite kernel of the underlying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-13 T. Faulwasser , O. Molodchyk

Many studies on biological and soft matter systems report the joint presence of a linear mean-squared displacement and a non-Gaussian probability density exhibiting, for instance, exponential or stretched-Gaussian tails. This phenomenon is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-07-24 Jakub Ślęzak , Krzysztof Burnecki , Ralf Metzler

Gaussian processes (GPs) are non-parametric probabilistic regression models that are popular due to their flexibility, data efficiency, and well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. However, standard GP models assume homoskedastic Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Sebastian Ament , Elizabeth Santorella , David Eriksson , Ben Letham , Maximilian Balandat , Eytan Bakshy

Bayesian optimisation has gained great popularity as a tool for optimising the parameters of machine learning algorithms and models. Somewhat ironically, setting up the hyper-parameters of Bayesian optimisation methods is notoriously hard.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-07-01 Ziyu Wang , Nando de Freitas
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