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We propose a general interpretation for long-range correlation effects in the activity and volatility of financial markets. This interpretation is based on the fact that the choice between `active' and `inactive' strategies is subordinated…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Irene Giardina , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Mézard

We propose a general interpretation for long-range correlation effects in the activity and volatility of financial markets. This interpretation is based on the fact that the choice between `active' and `inactive' strategies is subordinated…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Irene Giardina , Marc Mezard

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatilities associated with financial time series exhibit short-range correlations. This entails that the volatility process is very rough and its autocorrelation exhibits sharp decay at the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-17 Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna

The measures of roughness of the volatility in the litterature are based on the realized volatility of high frequency data. Some authors show that this leads to a biased estimate, and does not necessarily indicate roughness of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-01 Fabien Le Floc'h

The paper studies estimation of parameters of diffusion market models from historical data. The standard definition of implied volatility for these models presents its value as an implicit function of several parameters, including the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-23 Nikolai Dokuchaev

We derive an explicit asymptotic approximation for the implied volatilities of Call options written on bonds assuming the short-rate is described by an affine short-rate model. For specific affine short-rate models, we perform numerical…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-09 Matthew Lorig , Natchanon Suaysom

This paper investigates short-term behaviors of implied volatility of derivatives written on indexes in equity markets when the index processes are constructed by using a ranking procedure. Even in simple market settings where stock prices…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-11 Huy N. Chau , Duy Nguyen , Thai Nguyen

Exact relationships between the short time-to-maturity ATM implied volatility slope, the (dual) volatility swap, and the (dual) zero vanna implied volatility are given.

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-16 Frido Rolloos

We derive an explicit asymptotic approximation for implied volatilities of caplets under the assumption that the short-rate is described by a generic quadratic term-structure model. In addition to providing an asymptotic accuracy result, we…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-09 Matthew Lorig , Natchanon Suaysom

We consider implied volatilities in asset pricing models, where the discounted underlying is a strict local martingale under the pricing measure. Our main result gives an asymptotic expansion of the right wing of the implied volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-19 Antoine Jacquier , Martin Keller-Ressel

Economic and financial models -- such as vector autoregressions, local projections, and multivariate volatility models -- feature complex dynamic interactions and spillovers across many time series. These models can be integrated into a…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-10 Jinyuan Chang , Qiao Hu , Zhentao Shi , Jia Zhang

In informationally efficient financial markets, option prices and this implied volatility should immediately be adjusted to new information that arrives along with a jump in underlying's return, whereas gradual changes in implied volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-30 Juho Kanniainen , Martin Magris

We price European options in a class of models in which the volatility of the underlying risky asset depends on the short rate of interest. Our study results in an explicit pricing formula that depends on knowledge of a characteristic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-03 Tim Leung , Matthew Lorig

We calculate the realized volatility in the spin model of financial markets and examine the returns standardized by the realized volatility. We find that moments of the standardized returns agree with the theoretical values of standard…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-28 Tetsuya Takaishi

Recent literature seek to forecast implied volatility derived from equity, index, foreign exchange, and interest rate options using latent factor and parametric frameworks. Motivated by increased public attention borne out of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-22 Fearghal Kearney , Han Lin Shang , Lisa Sheenan

We study the mass at the origin in the uncorrelated SABR stochastic volatility model, and derive several tractable expressions, in particular when time becomes small or large. As an application--in fact the original motivation for this…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-23 Archil Gulisashvili , Blanka Horvath , Antoine Jacquier

This paper formulates a model of utility for a continuous time framework that captures the decision-maker's concern with ambiguity about both volatility and drift. Corresponding extensions of some basic results in asset pricing theory are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-22 Larry G. Epstein , Shaolin Ji

In this paper we study short-time behavior of the at-the-money implied volatility for Inverse European options with fixed strike price. The asset price is assumed to follow a general stochastic volatility process. Using techniques of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-15 Elisa Alòs , Eulalia Nualart , Makar Pravosud

In this paper, we present own point of view how the unexpected fluctuations of the long-term real interest rate can be explained. We describe a macroeconomic environment by the modification of the fundamental macroeconomic equilibrium model…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-21 Barbora Volná

In the paper, we characterize the asymptotic behavior of the implied volatility of a basket call option at large and small strikes in a variety of settings with increasing generality. First, we obtain an asymptotic formula with an error…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-03 Archil Gulisashvili , Peter Tankov
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