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Recent advances in molecular simulations allow the evaluation of previously unattainable observables, such as rate constants for protein folding. However, these calculations are usually computationally expensive and even significant…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-27 Barmak Mostofian , Daniel M. Zuckerman

The estimation of an f-divergence between two probability distributions based on samples is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. Most works study this problem under very weak assumptions, in which case it is provably…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-25 Paul K. Rubenstein , Olivier Bousquet , Josip Djolonga , Carlos Riquelme , Ilya Tolstikhin

When studying convergence of measures, an important issue is the choice of probability metric. In this review, we provide a summary and some new results concerning bounds among ten important probability metrics/distances that are used by…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alison L. Gibbs , Francis Edward Su

To obtain reliable results of expertise, which usually use individual and group expert pairwise comparisons, it is important to summarize (aggregate) expert estimates provided that they are sufficiently consistent. There are several ways to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-07 Vitaliy Tsyganok , Andriy Olenko , Pavlo Roik , Oksana Vlasenko

Real-world deployment of machine learning models is challenging because data evolves over time. While no model can work when data evolves in an arbitrary fashion, if there is some pattern to these changes, we might be able to design methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Rasool Fakoor , Jonas Mueller , Zachary C. Lipton , Pratik Chaudhari , Alexander J. Smola

While the predictions produced by conformal prediction are set-valued, the data used for training and calibration is supposed to be precise. In the setting of superset learning or learning from partial labels, a variant of weakly supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Alireza Javanmardi , Yusuf Sale , Paul Hofman , Eyke Hüllermeier

For many important problems the quantity of interest is an unknown function of the parameters, which is a random vector with known statistics. Since the dependence of the output on this random vector is unknown, the challenge is to identify…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-28 Themistoklis P. Sapsis

The statistical matching problem is a data integration problem with structured missing data. The general form involves the analysis of multiple datasets that only have a strict subset of variables jointly observed across all datasets. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-01 Daniel Ahfock , Saumyadipta Pyne , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

In several applications such as databases, planning, and sensor networks, parameters such as selectivity, load, or sensed values are known only with some associated uncertainty. The performance of such a system (as captured by some…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2010-01-28 Sudipto Guha , Kamesh Munagala

Before new clinical measurement methods are implemented in clinical practice, it must be confirmed whether their results are equivalent to those of existing methods. The agreement of the trend between these methods is evaluated using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-01 Mayu Hiraishi , Kensuke Tanioka , Toshio Shimokawa

Substances such as chemical compounds are invisible to human eyes, they are usually captured by sensing equipments with their spectral fingerprints. Though spectra of pure chemicals can be identified by visual inspection, the spectra of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-01-07 Yuanchang Sun , Wensong Wu , Jack Xin

Conformal prediction is an uncertainty quantification method that constructs a prediction set for a previously unseen datum, ensuring the true label is included with a predetermined coverage probability. Adaptive conformal prediction has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

Deciding whether a model provides a good description of data is often based on a goodness-of-fit criterion summarized by a p-value. Although there is considerable confusion concerning the meaning of p-values, leading to their misuse, they…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-05-29 Frederik Beaujean , Allen Caldwell , Daniel Kollar , Kevin Kroeninger

Nonprobability (convenience) samples are increasingly sought to stabilize estimations for one or more population variables of interest that are performed using a randomized survey (reference) sample by increasing the effective sample size.…

When fitting theory to data in the presence of background uncertainties, the question of whether the spectral shape of the background happens to be similar to that of the theoretical model of physical interest has not generally been…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-11-12 Byron Roe

In many scientific disciplines, the features of interest cannot be observed directly, so must instead be inferred from observed behaviour. Latent variable analyses are increasingly employed to systematise these inferences, and Principal…

For a given testing problem, let $U_1,...,U_n$ be individually valid and conditionally on the data i.i.d.\ P-variables (often called P-values). For example, the data could come in groups, and each $U_i$ could be based on subsampling just…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-22 Lutz Mattner

For the past two years, measurements have been performed with a watt balance at the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) to determine the Planck constant. A detailed analysis of these measurements and their uncertainties…

The comparison of different medical treatments from observational studies or across different clinical studies is often biased by confounding factors such as systematic differences in patient demographics or in the inclusion criteria for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-15 Ekkehard Glimm , Lillian Yau

In applied probability, the normal approximation is often used for the distribution of data with assumed additive structure. This tradition is based on the central limit theorem for sums of (independent) random variables. However, it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Alexandra Dorofeeva , Victor Korolev , Alexander Zeifman
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