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Cancer is a complex disease and thus is complicated to model. However, simple models that describe the main processes involved in tumoral dynamics, e.g., competition and mutation, can give us clues about cancer behaviour, at least…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-11-25 V. Castillo , J. Tomas Lazaro , J. Sardanyes

For a branching process in random environment it is assumed that the offspring distribution of the individuals varies in a random fashion, independently from one generation to the other. For the subcritical regime a kind of phase transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-11 Valeriy Afanasyev , Christian Böinghoff , Götz Kersting , Vladimir Vatutin

This note gives an exponential tail approximation for the extinction time of a subcritical multitype branching process arising from the SIR epidemic model on a random graph with given degrees, where the type corresponds to the vertex…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-03 Peter Windridge

A general multi-type population model is considered, where individuals live and reproduce according to their age and type, but also under the influence of the size and composition of the entire population. We describe the dynamics of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Jie Yen Fan , Kais Hamza , Peter Jagers , Fima C. Klebaner

We consider a branching stable process with positive jumps, i.e. a continuous-time branching process in which the particles evolve independently as stable L{\'e}vy processes with positive jumps. Assuming the branching mechanism is critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Christophe Profeta

We study a simple model of DNA evolution in a growing population of cells. Each cell contains a nucleotide sequence which randomly mutates at cell division. Cells divide according to a branching process. Following typical parameter values…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-05 David Cheek , Tibor Antal

In this paper we study the genealogical structure of a Galton-Watson process with neutral mutations, where the initial population is large and mutation rate is small \cite{B2}. Namely, we extend in two directions the results obtained in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Airam Blancas Benítez , Víctor Rivero

Skeletons of branching processes are defined as trees of lineages characterized by an appropriate signature of future reproduction success. In the supercritical case a natural choice is to look for the lineages that survive forever. In the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-02 Serik Sagitov , Maria C. Serra

We study a model of growing population that competes for resources. At each time step, all existing particles reproduce and the offspring randomly move to neighboring sites. Then at any site with more than one offspring, the particles are…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-26 Idan Perl , Arnab Sen , Ariel Yadin

Population expansions trigger many biomedical and ecological transitions, from tumor growth to invasions of non-native species. Although population spreading often selects for more invasive phenotypes, we show that this outcome is far from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-12-14 Kirill S. Korolev

Phylogenetic diversity is a measure for describing how much of an evolutionary tree is spanned by a subset of species. If one applies this to the (unknown) subset of current species that will still be present at some future time, then this…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2009-09-29 Beata Faller , Fabio Pardi , Mike Steel

In this paper, we review recent results of ours concerning branching processes with general lifetimes and neutral mutations, under the infinitely many alleles model, where mutations can occur either at birth of individuals or at a constant…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-29 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert , Mathieu Richard

Many species live in colonies that prosper for a while and then collapse. After the collapse the colony survivors disperse randomly and found new colonies that may or may not make it depending on the new environment they find. We use birth…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-23 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

A population has two types of individuals, each occupying an island. One of those, where individuals of type 1 live, offers a variable environment. Type 2 individuals dwell on the other island, in a constant environment. Only one-way…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-19 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova , Peter Jagers , Serik Sagitov

RNA virus populations will undergo processes of mutation and selection resulting in a mixed population of viral particles. High throughput sequencing of a viral population subsequently contains a mixed signal of the underlying clones. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-07-31 Donatien Fotso-Chedom , Pablo R. Murcia , Chris D. Greenman

We study a class of multi-species birth-and-death processes going almost surely to extinction and admitting a unique quasi-stationary distribution (qsd for short). When rescaled by $K$ and in the limit $K\to+\infty$, the realizations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-22 J. -R. Chazottes , P. Collet , S. Martínez , S. Méléard

The interplay of biological, social, structural and random factors makes disease forecasting extraordinarily complex. The course of an epidemic exhibits average growth dynamics determined by features of the pathogen and the population, yet…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-24 Andrea J. Allen , Mariah C. Boudreau , Nicholas J. Roberts , Antoine Allard , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

We consider an indecomposable Galton-Watson branching process with countably infinitely many types. Assuming that the process is critical and allowing for infinite variance of the offspring sizes of some (or all) types of particles we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-02 V. A. Topchii , V. A. Vatutin , E. E. Dyakonova

We present a new model for extinction in which species evolve in bursts or `avalanches', during which they become on average more susceptible to environmental stresses such as harsh climates and so are more easily rendered extinct. Results…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 M. E. J. Newman , B. W. Roberts

We study the branching random walk on weighted graphs; site-breeding and edge-breeding branching random walks on graphs are seen as particular cases. We describe the strong critical value in terms of a geometrical parameter of the graph. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Daniela Bertacchi , Fabio Zucca