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A logic is defined that allows to express information about statistical probabilities and about degrees of belief in specific propositions. By interpreting the two types of probabilities in one common probability space, the semantics given…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Manfred Jaeger

In many real-life situations that involve exchanges of arguments, individuals may differ on their assessment of which supports between the arguments are in fact justified, i.e., they put forward different support-relations. When confronted…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Weiwei Chen

Voting can abstractly model any decision-making scenario and as such it has been extensively studied over the decades. Recently, the related literature has focused on quantifying the impact of utilizing only limited information in the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-07 Aris Filos-Ratsikas , Evi Micha , Alexandros A. Voudouris

A decision maker starts from a judgmental decision and moves to the closest boundary of the confidence interval. This statistical decision rule is admissible and does not perform worse than the judgmental decision with a probability equal…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Simone Manganelli

Standard methods in preference learning involve estimating the parameters of discrete choice models from data of selections (choices) made by individuals from a discrete set of alternatives (the choice set). While there are many models for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Kiran Tomlinson , Johan Ugander , Austin R. Benson

The selection process of proposals is a crucial component of scientific progress and innovations. Limited resources must be allocated in the most effective way to maximise advancements and the production of new knowledge, especially as it…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-04-22 Antonio Navarra

An important aspect of AI design and ethics is to create systems that reflect aggregate preferences of the society. To this end, the techniques of social choice theory are often utilized. We propose a new social choice function motivated by…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Gergei Bana , Wojciech Jamroga , David Naccache , Peter Y. A. Ryan

Accepting a proposition means that our confidence in this proposition is strictly greater than the confidence in its negation. This paper investigates the subclass of uncertainty measures, expressing confidence, that capture the idea of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Didier Dubois , Henri Prade

This work examines a social learning problem, where dispersed agents connected through a network topology interact locally to form their opinions (beliefs) as regards certain hypotheses of interest. These opinions evolve over time, since…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-26 Michele Cirillo , Virginia Bordignon , Vincenzo Matta , Ali H. Sayed

We investigate joint probabilistic choice rules describing the behavior of two decision makers, each facing potentially distinct menus. These rules are separable when they can be decomposed into individual choices correlated solely through…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-17 Nail Kashaev , Martin Plávala , Victor H. Aguiar

As society transitions towards an AI-based decision-making infrastructure, an ever-increasing number of decisions once under control of humans are now delegated to automated systems. Even though such developments make various parts of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Drago Plecko , Elias Bareinboim

Recent decades have seen an interest in prediction problems for which Bayesian methodology has been used ubiquitously. Sampling from or approximating the posterior predictive distribution in a Bayesian model allows one to make inferential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-12 Giri Gopalan

Qualitative and quantitative approaches to reasoning about uncertainty can lead to different logical systems for formalizing such reasoning, even when the language for expressing uncertainty is the same. In the case of reasoning about…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Matthew Harrison-Trainor , Wesley H. Holliday , Thomas F. Icard

We propose a framework for strategic voting when a voter may lack knowledge about the preferences of other voters, or about other voters' knowledge about her own preference. In this setting we define notions of manipulation, equilibrium,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-30 Zeinab Bakhtiari , Hans van Ditmarsch , Abdallah Saffidine

An audience's prior beliefs and morals are strong indicators of how likely they will be affected by a given argument. Utilizing such knowledge can help focus on shared values to bring disagreeing parties towards agreement. In argumentation…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Milad Alshomary , Roxanne El Baff , Timon Gurcke , Henning Wachsmuth

Reasoning under uncertainty is a fundamental challenge in Artificial Intelligence. As with most of these challenges, there is a harsh dilemma between the expressive power of the language used, and the tractability of the computational…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Luise Ge , Brendan Juba , Kris Nilsson

Reputations provide a powerful mechanism to sustain cooperation, as individuals cooperate with those of good social standing. But how should moral reputations be updated as we observe social behavior, and when will a population converge on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-26 Taylor A. Kessinger , Corina E. Tarnita , Joshua B. Plotkin

It is introduced the concept of Superiority Degree one competitive decision over another. On the basis of this concept the mathematics theoretic structure is developed, which is part of pairs comparisons branch in modern decision making…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-03-05 Vladimer Zhukovin , Zurab Alimbarashvili

In recent years, opinion dynamics has received an increasing attention, and various models have been introduced and evaluated mainly by simulation. In this study, we introduce and study a dynamical model inspired by the so-called `bounded…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-11-07 Sergei Yu. Pilyugin , M. C. Campi

We consider multi-agent argumentation, where each agent's view of the arguments is encoded as an argumentation framework (AF). Then we study deliberative processes than can occur on this basis. We think of a deliberative process as taking…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-08-08 Truls Pedersen , Sjur Dyrkolbotn