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A method for sequential inference of the fixed parameters of a dynamic latent Gaussian models is proposed and evaluated that is based on the iterated Laplace approximation. The method provides a useful trade-off between computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-29 Tiep Mai , Simon Wilson

Gaussian processes (GPs) are versatile tools that have been successfully employed to solve nonlinear estimation problems in machine learning, but that are rarely used in signal processing. In this tutorial, we present GPs for regression as…

This article is concerned with the spectral behavior of $p$-dimensional linear processes in the moderately high-dimensional case when both dimensionality $p$ and sample size $n$ tend to infinity so that $p/n\to0$. It is shown that, under an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-27 Lili Wang , Alexander Aue , Debashis Paul

The problem of continuous machine learning is studied. Within the framework of the game-theoretic approach, when for calculating the next forecast, no assumptions about the stochastic nature of the source that generates the data flow are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Vladimir V'yugin , Vladimir Trunov

Gaussian process regression (GPR) is a fundamental model used in machine learning. Owing to its accurate prediction with uncertainty and versatility in handling various data structures via kernels, GPR has been successfully used in various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Yuya Yoshikawa , Tomoharu Iwata

The goal of the article is to develop the approach of substationarity to spatial point processes (SPPs). Substationarity is a new concept, which has never been studied in the literature. It means that the distribution of SPPs can only be…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-10 Tonglin Zhang , Jorge Mateu

A gentle introduction to Gaussian processes (GPs). The three parts of the document consider GPs for regression, classification, and dimensionality reduction.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-01 Mark Ebden

This article improves on existing methods to estimate the spectral density of stationary and nonstationary time series assuming a Gaussian process prior. By optimising an appropriate eigendecomposition using a smoothing spline covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-01 Nick James , Max Menzies

We propose non-stationary spectral kernels for Gaussian process regression. We propose to model the spectral density of a non-stationary kernel function as a mixture of input-dependent Gaussian process frequency density surfaces. We solve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-25 Sami Remes , Markus Heinonen , Samuel Kaski

In forecasting multiple time series, accounting for the individual features of each sequence can be challenging. To address this, modern deep learning methods for time series analysis combine a shared (global) model with local layers,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Luca Butera , Giovanni De Felice , Andrea Cini , Cesare Alippi

Recently, several spectra have emerged, designed to encapsulate the distributional characteristics of non-Gaussian stationary processes. This article introduces parametric families of generalized spectra based on the characteristic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Yuichi Goto , Gaspard Bernard

Gaussian Processes (GPs) provide powerful probabilistic frameworks for interpolation, forecasting, and smoothing, but have been hampered by computational scaling issues. Here we investigate data sampled on one dimension (e.g., a scalar or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-04 Jackson Loper , David Blei , John P. Cunningham , Liam Paninski

The proliferation of capable and efficient machine learning (ML) models marks one of the strongest methodological shifts in signal processing (SP) in its nearly 100-year history. ML models support the development of SP systems that…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-01 Daniel Waxman , Fernando Llorente , Petar M. Djurić

From a continuous-time long memory stochastic process, a discrete-time randomly sampled one is drawn. We investigate the second-order properties of this process and establish some time-and frequency-domain asymptotic results. We mainly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Mohamedou Ould Haye , Anne Philippe , Caroline Robet

The limit Gaussian distribution of multivariate weighted functionals of nonlinear transformations of Gaussian stationary processes, having multiple singular spectra, is derived, under very general conditions on the weight function. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-20 Alexander V. Ivanov , Nikolai Leonenko , María D. Ruiz-Medina , Irina N. Savich

We provide a new approach to approximate emulation of large computer experiments. By focusing expressly on desirable properties of the predictive equations, we derive a family of local sequential design schemes that dynamically define the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-13 Robert B. Gramacy , Daniel W. Apley

This paper is devoted to filtering, smoothing, and prediction of polynomial processes that are partially observed. These problems are known to allow for an explicit solution in the simpler case of linear Gaussian state space models. The key…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-10 Jan Kallsen , Ivo Richert

This paper presents a Gaussian process (GP) model for estimating piecewise continuous regression functions. In scientific and engineering applications of regression analysis, the underlying regression functions are piecewise continuous in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-15 Chiwoo Park

This document presents a compilation of results related to the theory of stochastic processes, with a specific focus on Markov processes, regenerative processes, renewal processes, and stationary processes. The relevance of these topics…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Carlos Martinez-Rodriguez

The ordinary spectrum is restricted in its applications, since it is based on the second order moments (auto and cross-covariances). Alternative approaches to spectrum analysis have been investigated based on other measures of dependence.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-26 Lars Arne Jordanger , Dag Tjøstheim