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Accurately estimating uncertainties in neural network predictions is of great importance in building trusted DNNs-based models, and there is an increasing interest in providing accurate uncertainty estimation on many tasks, such as security…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Yukun Ding , Jinglan Liu , Jinjun Xiong , Yiyu Shi

A model for a subject's beliefs about a phenomenon may exhibit symmetry, in the sense that it is invariant under certain transformations. On the other hand, such a belief model may be intended to represent that the subject believes or knows…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-01-15 Gert de Cooman , Enrique Miranda

Bayesian inference is used to estimate continuous parameter values given measured data in many fields of science. The method relies on conditional probability densities to describe information about both data and parameters, yet the notion…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Klaus Mosegaard , Andrew Curtis

A common concern with Bayesian methodology in scientific contexts is that inferences can be heavily influenced by subjective biases. As presented here, there are two types of bias for some quantity of interest: bias against and bias in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-06 Michael Evans , Yang Guo

We propose a class of incompatibility measures for quantum observables based on quantifying the effect of a measurement of one observable on the statistics of the outcomes of another. Specifically, for a pair of observables $A$ and $B$ with…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-09-30 Prabha Mandayam , M. D. Srinivas

In this paper, we present a formal quantification of epistemic uncertainty induced by numerical solutions of ordinary and partial differential equation models. Numerical solutions of differential equations contain inherent uncertainties due…

We present some applications of the notion of numerosity to measure theory, including the construction of a non-Archimedean model for the probability of infinite sequences of coin tosses.

Logic · Mathematics 2014-12-03 Vieri Benci , Emanuele Bottazzi , Mauro Di Nasso

We explore the notion of degree of asymmetry for integer sequences and related combinatorial objects. The degree of asymmetry is a new combinatorial statistic that measures how far an object is from being symmetric. We define this notion…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-07-14 Sergi Elizalde , Emeric Deutsch

We introduce a new discrepancy score between two distributions that gives an indication on their similarity. While much research has been done to determine if two samples come from exactly the same distribution, much less research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-10-16 Maayan Harel , Shie Mannor

Several measures of non-convexity (departures from convexity) have been introduced in the literature, both for sets and functions. Some of them are of geometric nature, while others are more of topological nature. We address the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-23 Alejandro Cholaquidis , Ricardo Fraiman , Leonardo Moreno , Beatriz Pateiro-López

We give a bound to the precision in the estimation of a parameter in terms of the expectation value of an observable. It is an extension of the Cramer-Rao inequality and of the Heisenberg uncertainty relation, where the estimation precision…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-07-11 Vittorio Giovannetti , Seth Lloyd , Lorenzo Maccone

In this paper, the development of a mathematical method is presented to explore spatially non-uniform phases with no long-range order in mathematical models of first order phase transitions. We use essential results regarding the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-08 Gyula I. Toth

In this paper we shall consider some famous means such as arithmetic, harmonic, geometric, root square mean, etc. Considering the difference of these means, we can establish. some inequalities among them. Interestingly, the difference of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-03-29 Inder Jeet Taneja

Judging the significance and reproducibility of quantitative research requires a good understanding of relevant uncertainties, but it is often unclear how well these have been evaluated and what they imply. Reported scientific uncertainties…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-20 David C. Bailey

We present parton distribution functions which include a quantitative estimate of its uncertainties. The parton distribution functions are optimized with respect to deep inelastic proton data, expressing the uncertainties as a density…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 Walter T. Giele , Stephane A. Keller , David A. Kosower

When a measurement of a physical quantity is reported, the total uncertainty is usually decomposed into statistical and systematic uncertainties. This decomposition is not only useful to understand the contributions to the total…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-03-18 Andrés Pinto , Zhibo Wu , Fabrice Balli , Nicolas Berger , Maarten Boonekamp , Émilien Chapon , Tatsuo Kawamoto , Bogdan Malaescu

Model inadequacy and measurement uncertainty are two of the most confounding aspects of inference and prediction in quantitative sciences. The process of scientific inference (the inverse problem) and prediction (the forward problem)…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-11-30 Amir Shahmoradi

Pairwise comparisons are an important tool of modern (multiple criteria) decision making. Since human judgments are often inconsistent, many studies focused on the ways how to express and measure this inconsistency, and several…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-05-01 Jiri Mazurek

Quantifying coherence has received increasing attention, and considerable work has been directed towards finding coherence measures. While various coherence measures have been proposed in theory, an important issue following is how to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-05-02 Da-Jian Zhang , C. L. Liu , Xiao-Dong Yu , D. M. Tong

The uncertainty principle being a cornerstone of quantum mechanics, it is surprising that in nearly 90 years there have been no direct tests of measurement uncertainty relations. This lacuna was due to the absence of two essential…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-02-27 Paul Busch , Neil Stevens
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