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Standard present day large-scale structure (LSS) analyses make a major assumption in their Bayesian parameter inference --- that the likelihood has a Gaussian form. For summary statistics currently used in LSS, this assumption, even if the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-03-06 ChangHoon Hahn , Florian Beutler , Manodeep Sinha , Andreas Berlind , Shirley Ho , David W. Hogg

We expect that some observers in perceptual signal detection experiments, such as radiologists, will make rational decisions, and therefore ratings from those observers are expected to form a convex ROC curve. However, measured and…

Applications · Statistics 2013-02-01 Lucas Tcheuko , Frank Samuelson

The analytic characterization of the high-dimensional behavior of optimization for Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) with Gaussian data has been a central focus in statistics and probability in recent years. While convex cases, such as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Matteo Vilucchio , Yatin Dandi , Matéo Pirio Rossignol , Cedric Gerbelot , Florent Krzakala

The inverse relation between mutual information (MI) and Bayesian error is sharpened by deriving finite sequences of upper and lower bounds on MI in terms of the minimum probability of error (MPE) and related Bayesian quantities. The well…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-09-24 Sudhakar Prasad

Contrastive representation learning encourages data representation to make semantically similar pairs closer than randomly drawn negative samples, which has been successful in various domains such as vision, language, and graphs. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Han Bao , Yoshihiro Nagano , Kento Nozawa

This paper considers the problem of making statistical inferences about a parameter when a narrow interval centred at a given value of the parameter is considered special, which is interpreted as meaning that there is a substantial degree…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Russell J. Bowater , Ludmila E. Guzmán-Pantoja

Estimation of the mean vector and covariance matrix is of central importance in the analysis of multivariate data. In the framework of generalized linear models, usually the variances are certain functions of the means with the normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-25 Anupam Kundu , Mohsen Pourahmadi

Random-effects meta-analyses of observational studies can produce biased estimates if the synthesized studies are subject to unmeasured confounding. We propose sensitivity analyses quantifying the extent to which unmeasured confounding of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-10 Maya B. Mathur , Tyler J. VanderWeele

High-dimensional Bayesian procedures often exhibit behavior that is effectively low dimensional, even when the ambient parameter space is large or infinite-dimensional. This phenomenon underlies the success of shrinkage priors,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Sayantan Banerjee

This archiving article consists of several short reports on the discussions between the two authors over the past two years at Oxford and Madrid, and their work carried out during that period on the upper bound of the Kullback-Leibler…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-11-20 Min Chen , Mateu Sbert

We propose symbolic regression as a powerful tool for studying Beyond the Standard Model physics. As a benchmark model, we consider the so-called Constrained Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model, which has a four-dimensional parameter…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-04-23 Shehu AbdusSalam , Steve Abel , Miguel Crispim Romao

A range of experimental results point to the existence of a massive neutrino. The recent high precision measurements of the cosmic microwave background and the large scale surveys of galaxies can be used to place an upper bound on this…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-06-12 C. Zunckel , P. G Ferreira

We leverage recent advances in heavy-tail approximations for global hypothesis testing with dependent studies to construct approximate confidence regions without modeling or estimating their dependence structures. A non-rejection region is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-06 Tianle Liu , Xiao-Li Meng , Natesh S. Pillai

In this paper, we expand the theory of depth-unbiased source localization to unbiased parameter estimation and signal reconstruction of an arbitrary number of non-zero parameters to be recovered. The topic touches on the concept of exact…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Joonas Lahtinen

The problem of variable-rate lossless data compression is considered, for codes with and without prefix constraints. Sharp bounds are derived for the best achievable compression rate of memoryless sources, when the excess-rate probability…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Andreas Theocharous , Lampros Gavalakis , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Entropic uncertainty relations are powerful tools, especially in quantum cryptography. They typically bound the amount of uncertainty a third-party adversary may hold on a measurement outcome as a result of the measurement overlap. However,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-05-18 Walter O. Krawec

Despite a large and significant body of recent work focused on estimating the out-of-sample risk of regularized models in the high dimensional regime, a theoretical understanding of this problem for non-differentiable penalties such as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-15 Haolin Zou , Arnab Auddy , Kamiar Rahnama Rad , Arian Maleki

We identify the critical deviation scale governing Bayesian evidence accumulation in regular parametric testing. Under integrated Bayes risk with zero-one loss, the risk-optimal rejection boundary lies in a moderate deviation regime, with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Jyotishka Datta , Nicholas G. Polson , Vadim Sokolov , Daniel Zantedeschi

We define some appropriate statistical quantities that indicate the physical significance (reliability) of confidence intervals in the framework of both Frequentist and Bayesian statistical theories. We consider the expectation value of the…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2009-10-31 C. Giunti , M. Laveder

In this paper, we consider the problem of making distributionally robust, skeptical inferences for the multi-label problem, or more generally for Boolean vectors. By distributionally robust, we mean that we consider a set of possible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-03 Yonatan Carlos Carranza Alarcón , Sébastien Destercke