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Environmental heterogeneity can drive genetic heterogeneity in expanding populations; mutant strains may emerge that trade overall growth rate for an improved ability to survive in patches that are hostile to the wild type. This…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-06 Thomas Tunstall , Tim Rogers , Wolfram Möbius

We consider diffusion processes x_{t} on the unit interval. Doob-transformation techniques consist of a selection of x_{t}-paths procedure. The law of the transformed process is the one of a branching diffusion system of particles, each…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-07-15 Thierry Huillet

We develop a criterion for transience for a general model of branching Markov chains. In the case of multi-dimensional branching random walk in random environment (BRWRE) this criterion becomes explicit. In particular, we show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-12 Sebastian Müller

We consider a supercritical branching process $Z_n$ in a stationary and ergodic random environment $\xi =(\xi_n)_{n\ge0}$. Due to the martingale convergence theorem, it is known that the normalized population size $W_n=Z_n/ (\mathbb E…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-14 Ewa Damek , Nina Gantert , Konrad Kolesko

The bifurcation theory of ordinary differential equations (ODEs), and its application to deterministic population models, are by now well established. In this article, we begin to develop a complementary theory for diffusion-like…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-22 Eric Foxall

In this paper, we study the extinction time of logistic branching processes which are perturbed by an independent random environment driven by a Brownian motion. Our arguments use a Lamperti-type representation which is interesting on its…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-05 Hélène Leman , Juan Carlos Pardo

Random-cluster measures on infinite regular trees are studied in conjunction with a general type of `boundary condition', namely an equivalence relation on the set of infinite paths of the tree. The uniqueness and non-uniqueness of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Geoffrey Grimmett , Svante Janson

We consider random walks in dynamic random environments which arise naturally as spatial embeddings of ancestral lineages in spatial locally regulated population models. In particular, as the main result, we prove the quenched central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-15 Matthias Birkner , Andrej Depperschmidt , Timo Schlüter

A critical branching process $\left\{ Z_{k},k=0,1,2,...\right\} $ in a random environment is considered. A conditional functional limit theorem for the properly scaled process $\left\{ \log Z_{pu},0\leq u<\infty \right\} $ is established…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-11 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

We consider a branching-selection particle system on the real line. In this model the total size of the population at time $n$ is limited by $\exp\left(a n^{1/3}\right)$. At each step $n$, every individual dies while reproducing…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Bastien Mallein

A controlled branching process (CBP) is a modification of the standard Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process in which the number of progenitors in each generation is determined by a random mechanism. We consider a CBP starting from a random…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-26 González , M. , Martín-Chávez , P. , del Puerto , I

A critical branching process $\left\{Z_{k},k=0,1,2,...\right\} $ in a random environment generated by a sequence of independent and identically distributed random reproduction laws is considered.\ Let $Z_{p,n}$ be the number of particles at…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-30 V. A. Vatutin , E. E. Dyakonova

The statistics of natural catastrophes contains very counter-intuitive results. Using earthquakes as a working example, we show that the energy radiated by such events follows a power-law or Pareto distribution. This means, in theory, that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-10-04 Alvaro Corral , Francesc Font-Clos

In this paper we establish a weak and a strong law of large numbers for supercritical superprocesses with general non-local branching mechanisms. Our results complement earlier results obtained for superprocesses with only local branching.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-10 Sandra Palau , Ting Yang

We analyze the influence of long-range correlated (colored) external noise on extinction phase transitions in growth and spreading processes. Uncorrelated environmental noise (i.e., temporal disorder) was recently shown to give rise to an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-15 Alexander H. O. Wada , Matthew Small , Thomas Vojta

Organisms adapt to fluctuating environments by regulating their dynamics, and by adjusting their phenotypes to environmental changes. We model population growth using multitype branching processes in random environments, where the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-08 Clément Dombry , Christian Mazza , Vincent Bansaye

A continuous-state polynomial branching process is constructed as the pathwise unique solution of a stochastic integral equation with absorbing boundary condition. The extinction and explosion probabilities and the mean extinction and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Pei-Sen Li

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a supercritical controlled branching process consistently from a single observed trajectory of population size counts. Our goal is to establish which parameters can and cannot be…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , James Kerlidis

This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of population processes with unbounded absorption rate, including one-dimensional birth and death processes with catastrophes and multi-dimensional birth and death processes, modeling…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-10 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

In this paper we introduce a contact process in an evolving random environment (CPERE) on a connected and transitive graph with bounded degree, where we assume that this environment is described through an ergodic spin systems with finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-18 Marco Seiler , Anja Sturm