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Complex continuous or mixed joint distributions (e.g., P(Y | z_1, z_2, ..., z_N)) generally lack closed-form solutions, often necessitating approximations such as MCMC. This paper proposes Indeterminate Probability Theory (IPT), which makes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Tao Yang , Chuang Liu , Xiaofeng Ma , Weijia Lu , Ning Wu , Bingyang Li , Zhifei Yang , Peng Liu , Lin Sun , Xiaodong Zhang , Can Zhang

We establish strong invariance principles for sums of stationary and ergodic processes with nearly optimal bounds. Applications to linear and some nonlinear processes are discussed. Strong laws of large numbers and laws of the iterated…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Wei Biao Wu

We take the first steps to develop Conley-Zehnder Theory, as conjectured by Arnold, in the world of probability. As far as we know, this paper provides the first probabilistic theorems about the density of fixed points of symplectic twist…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Álvaro Pelayo , Fraydoun Rezakhanlou

Let $G$ be an $N \times N$ real matrix whose entries are independent identically distributed standard normal random variables $G_{ij} \sim \mathcal{N}(0,1)$. The eigenvalues of such matrices are known to form a two-component system…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-07 N. J. Simm

For an infinite Toeplitz matrix $T$ with nonnegative real entries we find the conditions, under which the equation $\boldsymbol{x}=T\boldsymbol{x}$, where $\boldsymbol{x}$ is an infinite vector-column, has a nontrivial bounded positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Vyacheslav M. Abramov

We present general principles underlying analysis of the dependence of random variables (outputs) on deterministic conditions (inputs). Random outputs recorded under mutually exclusive input values are labeled by these values and considered…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-01-27 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Janne V. Kujala

We study Mandelbrot's multiplicative cascade measures at the critical temperature. As has been recently shown by Barral, Rhodes and Vargas (arXiv:1203.5445), an appropriately normalized sequence of cascade measures converges weakly in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Julien Barral , Antti Kupiainen , Miika Nikula , Eero Saksman , Christian Webb

In random matrix theory (RMT), the Tracy-Widom (TW) distribution describes the behavior of the largest eigenvalue. We consider here two models in which TW undergoes transformations. In the first one disorder is introduced in the Gaussian…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 O. Bohigas , J. X. de Carvalho , M. P. Pato

This work develops change-point methods for statistics of high-frequency data. The main interest is in the volatility of an It\^{o} semi-martingale, the latter being discretely observed over a fixed time horizon. We construct a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Markus Bibinger , Moritz Jirak , Mathias Vetter

Consider a random sum $\eta_1 v_1 + ... + \eta_n v_n$, where $\eta_1,...,\eta_n$ are i.i.d. random signs and $v_1,...,v_n$ are integers. The Littlewood-Offord problem asks to maximize concentration probabilities such as $\P(\eta_1 v_1 + ...…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Terence Tao , Van Vu

Let ${X}_{k}=(x_{k1}, \cdots, x_{kp})', k=1,\cdots,n$, be a random sample of size $n$ coming from a $p$-dimensional population. For a fixed integer $m\geq 2$, consider a hypercubic random tensor $\mathbf{{T}}$ of $m$-th order and rank $n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-29 Tiefeng Jiang , Junshan Xie

We consider the fluctuations of the number of eigenvalues of $n\times n$ random normal matrices depending on a potential $Q$ in a given set $A$. These eigenvalues are known to form a determinantal point process, and are known to accumulate…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-07 J. Marzo , L. D. Molag , J. Ortega-Cerdà

Let $X,X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be independent identically distributed random variables. The paper deals with the question about the behavior of the concentration function of the random variable $\sum\limits_{k=1}^{n}X_k a_k$ according to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-19 Yu. S. Eliseeva

In this paper, we study random matrix models which are obtained as a non-commutative polynomial in random matrix variables of two kinds: (a) a first kind which have a discrete spectrum in the limit, (b) a second kind which have a joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-17 Benoit Collins , Takahiro Hasebe , Noriyoshi Sakuma

A new version of a strong law of large numbers for a ``good'' pairwise independent sequence of random variables (r.v.'s) with a small part of ``bad'' dependent r.v.'s is proposed. The main goal is to relax the assumption on the existence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-10 I. V. Kozlov , A. Yu. Veretennikov

Euclidean random matrices arise in a wide range of physical systems where interactions are determined by spatial configurations, including disordered media and cooperative phenomena in atomic ensembles. Unlike classical random matrix…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-08 Pasquale Casaburi , Pierpaolo Vivo

Graphical models are a key class of probabilistic models for studying the conditional independence structure of a set of random variables. Circular variables are special variables, characterized by periodicity, arising in several contexts…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-08 Anna Gottard , Agnese Panzera

We study the central limit theorem (CLT) for linear eigenvalue statistics of several types of matrix models, whose entries are having exploding moments, i.e., moments of the entries are increasing with the size of the matrix. In particular,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Indrajit Jana , Sunita Rani

We propose a novel approach to concentration for non-independent random variables. The main idea is to ``pretend'' that the random variables are independent and pay a multiplicative price measuring how far they are from actually being…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Amedeo Roberto Esposito , Marco Mondelli

We introduce a finite version of free probability for rectangular matrices that amounts to operations on singular values of polynomials. We show that we can replicate the transforms from free probability, and that asymptotically there is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-25 Aurelien Gribinski