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In this paper we leverage on probability over Riemannian manifolds to rethink the interpretation of priors and posteriors in Bayesian inference. The main mindshift is to move away from the idea that "a prior distribution establishes a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-03 Jesus Cerquides

We present a new form and a short full proof of explicit two-sided estimates for the distribution function F_{n,p}(x) of the binomial law from the paper published by D.Alfers and H.Dinges in 1984. These inequalities are universal (valid for…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-03 Andrey M. Zubkov , Alexander A. Serov

The (general) hypoexponential distribution is the distribution of a sum of independent exponential random variables. We consider the particular case when the involved exponential variables have distinct rate parameters. We prove that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-16 George P. Yanev

Let $Y_{1},Y_{2},\ldots $ be positive, nondegenerate, i.i.d. $G$ random variables, and independently let $X_{1},X_{2},\ldots $ be i.i.d. $F$ random variables. In this note we show that whenever $\sum X_{i}Y_{i}/\sum Y_{i}$ converges in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-10 Peter Kevei , David M. Mason

We study the behavior of the posterior distribution in high-dimensional Bayesian Gaussian linear regression models having $p\gg n$, with $p$ the number of predictors and $n$ the sample size. Our focus is on obtaining quantitative finite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-06 Nate Strawn , Artin Armagan , Rayan Saab , Lawrence Carin , David Dunson

Bounds of the accuracy of the normal approximation to the distribution of a sum of independent random variables are improved under relaxed moment conditions, in particular, under the absence of moments of orders higher than the second.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-06 V. Yu. Korolev , A. V. Dorofeeva

It is well known that the ratio of two independent standard Gaussian random variables follows a Cauchy distribution. Any convex combination of independent standard Cauchy random variables also follows a Cauchy distribution. In a recent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-04 Natesh S. Pillai

In this manuscript, we study the limiting distribution for the joint law of the largest and the smallest singular values for random circulant matrices with generating sequence given by independent and identically distributed random elements…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-05 Gerardo Barrera , Paulo Manrique-Mirón

A continuous approximation for the results of [1] is obtained. In this approximation the energy distribution is represented in the form of the product of the Gibbs factor and superstatistics factor. The mutual weights of the factors are…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. V. Ryazanov

Corresponding to $n$ independent non-negative random variables $X_1,...,X_n$, are values $M_1,...,M_n$, where each $M_i$ is the expected value of the maximum of $n$ independent copies of $X_i$. We obtain an upper bound to the expected value…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-06 Kais Hamza , Peter Jagers , Aidan Sudbury , Daniel Tokarev

We provide a systematic approach to deal with the following problem. Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be, possibly dependent, $[0,1]$-valued random variables. What is a sharp upper bound on the probability that their sum is significantly larger than…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-27 Christos Pelekis , Jan Ramon

Under the assumption that the distribution of a nonnegative random variable $X$ admits a bounded coupling with its size biased version, we prove simple and strong concentration bounds. In particular the upper tail probability is shown to…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Richard Arratia , Peter Baxendale

Encouraged by the study of extremal limits for sums of the form $$\lim_{N\to\infty}\frac{1 }{N}\sum_{n=1}^N c(x_n,y_n)$$ with uniformly distributed sequences $\{x_n\},\,\{y_n\}$ the following extremal problem is of interest…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Maria Rita Iacò , Stefan Thonhauser , Robert F. Tichy

The Poisson distribution has been widely studied and used for modeling univariate count-valued data. Multivariate generalizations of the Poisson distribution that permit dependencies, however, have been far less popular. Yet, real-world…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-28 David I. Inouye , Eunho Yang , Genevera I. Allen , Pradeep Ravikumar

This paper introduces max-characteristic functions (max-CFs), which are an offspring of multivariate extreme-value theory. A max-CF characterizes the distribution of a random vector in R^d , whose components are nonnegative and have finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-21 Michael Falk , Gilles Stupfler

If the prior probability distributions of all possible hypothetical true means and all possible observed means of a continuous variable are conditional on the universal set of all numbers (i.e., before the nature of a study is known and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 Huw Llewelyn

We prove upper and lower bounds for certain sums of products of fractional parts by using majoring and minorizing functions from Fourier analysis. In special cases the upper bounds are sharp if there exist counterexamples to the Littlewood…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-09 Thai Hoang Le , Jeffrey D. Vaaler

Suppose $X$ is a uniformly distributed $n$-dimensional binary vector and $Y$ is obtained by passing $X$ through a binary symmetric channel with crossover probability $\alpha$. A recent conjecture by Courtade and Kumar postulates that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-02 Or Ordentlich , Ofer Shayevitz , Omri Weinstein

Let I_1,...,I_n be independent but not necessarily identically distributed Bernoulli random variables, and let X_n=\sum_{j=1}^nI_j. For \nu in a bounded region, a local central limit theorem expansion of P(X_n=EX_n+\nu) is developed to any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Richard Arratia , Larry Goldstein , Bryan Langholz

A predictive distribution over a sequence of $N+1$ events is said to be "frequency mimicking" whenever the probability for the final event conditioned on the outcome of the first $N$ events equals the relative frequency of successes among…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-06 Frank Lad , Giuseppe Sanfilippo