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The efficiency of Monte Carlo samplers is dictated not only by energetic effects, such as large barriers, but also by entropic effects that are due to the sheer volume that is sampled. The latter effects appear in the form of an entropic…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Cristian Predescu

Robust estimation for modern portfolio selection on a large set of assets becomes more important due to large deviation of empirical inference on big data. We propose a distributionally robust methodology for high-dimensional mean-variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-12 Ruike Wu , Yanrong Yang , Han Lin Shang , Huanjun Zhu

Due to their heterogeneity, insurance risks can be properly described as a mixture of different fixed models, where the weights assigned to each model may be estimated empirically from a sample of available data. If a risk measure is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-12 Valeria Bignozzi , Claudio Macci , Lea Petrella

This work aims to prove the small time large deviation principle (LDP) for a class of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with locally monotone coefficients in generalized variational framework. The main result could be…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Shihu Li , Wei Liu , Yingchao Xie

In this paper, we study the asymptotic error distribution for a two-level irregular discretization scheme of the solution to the stochastic differential equations (SDE for short) driven by a continuous semimartingale and obtain a central…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-15 Yi Guo , Yuxi Guo , Hanchao Wang

In this article, we solve the problem of the long time behaviour of transition probabilities of time-inhomogeneous Markov processes and give a unified approach to stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with periodic, quasi-periodic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-18 Chunrong Feng , Baoyou Qu , Huaizhong Zhao

We investigate a class of stochastic partial differential equations of reaction-diffusion type defined on graphs, which can be derived as the limit of SPDEs on narrow planar channels. In the first part, we demonstrate that this limit can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-21 Sandra Cerrai , Wen-Tai Hsu

We consider the problem of accurately measuring the credit risk of a portfolio consisting of loss exposures such as loans, bonds and other financial assets. We are particularly interested in the probability of large portfolio losses. We…

Computation · Statistics 2015-11-03 Kevin Lam , Zdravko Botev

The method of distributions is developed for systems that are governed by hyperbolic conservation laws with stochastic forcing. The method yields a deterministic equation for the cumulative density distribution (CDF) of a system state,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-05 Rik J. L. Rutjens , Gustaaf B. Jacobs , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

We study two problems. First, we consider the large deviation behavior of empirical measures of certain diffusion processes as, simultaneously, the time horizon becomes large and noise becomes vanishingly small. The law of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-14 Amarjit Budhiraja , Pavlos Zoubouloglou

In this paper, we discuss the ambiguous chance constrained based portfolio optimization problems, in which the perturbations associated with the input parameters are stochastic in nature, but their distributions are not known precisely. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-09 Pulak Swain , Akshay Kumar Ojha

We consider a class of stochastic kinetic equations, depending on two time scale separation parameters $\epsilon$ and $\delta$: the evolution equation contains singular terms with respect to $\epsilon$, and is driven by a fast ergodic…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Shmuel Rakotonirina-Ricquebourg

In this paper, we establish a new law of large numbers with the rate of convergence for special partial sums in a probability space. The proof relies on nonlinear expectation theory, as the uncertainty of random variables in the special…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Jialiang Fu , Wen-Xuan Lang

In this paper, we propose stochastic structure-preserving schemes to compute the effective diffusivity for particles moving in random flows. We first introduce the motion of particles using the Lagrangian formulation, which is modeled by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-24 Junlong Lyu , Zhongjian Wang , Jack Xin , Zhiwen Zhang

This paper studies the asymptotic behaviour of the solution of a differential equation perturbed by a fast flow preserving an infinite measure. This question is related with limit theorems for non-stationary Birkhoff integrals. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-08-07 Maxence Phalempin

This paper studies the behavior of singularly perturbed nonlinear differential equations with boundary-layer solutions that do not necessarily converge to an equilibrium. Using the average of the fast variable and assuming the boundary…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-09-24 Mohammad Deghat , Saeed Ahmadizadeh , Dragan Nesic , Chris Manzie

This paper deals with the large deviations behavior of a stochastic process called thinned Levy process. This process appeared recently as a stochastic-process limit in the context of critical inhomogeneous random graphs. The process has a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-08 Elie Aidekon , Remco van der Hofstad , Sandra Kliem , Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden

Importance sampling with data-driven proposal distributions is widely used in practice. A common workflow first generates an auxiliary sample of size $N$ from an approximation of the target distribution, constructs a density estimate $\hat…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Cathrine Aeckerle-Willems , Ilja Klebanov , Simon Weissmann

We study the problem of storing a data object in a set of data nodes that fail independently with given probabilities. Our problem is a natural generalization of a homogenous storage allocation problem where all the nodes had the same…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-02-09 Vasileios Ntranos , Giuseppe Caire , Alexandros G. Dimakis

It is shown that the axioms for coherent risk measures imply that whenever there is an asset in a portfolio that dominates the others in a given sample (which happens with finite probability even for large samples), then this portfolio…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-29 Imre Kondor , Istvan Varga-Haszonits