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We consider a model of financial contagion in a bipartite network of assets and banks recently introduced in the literature, and we study the effect of power law distributions of degree and balance-sheet size on the stability of the system.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-25 Opeoluwa Banwo , Fabio Caccioli , Paul Harrald , Francesca Medda

This work explores the characteristics of financial contagion in networks whose links distributions approaches a power law, using a model that defines banks balance sheets from information of network connectivity. By varying the parameters…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-10 Vanessa Hoffmann de Quadros , Juan Carlos González-Avella , José Roberto Iglesias

Propagation of balance-sheet or cash-flow insolvency across financial institutions may be modeled as a cascade process on a network representing their mutual exposures. We derive rigorous asymptotic results for the magnitude of contagion in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-26 Hamed Amini , Rama Cont , Andreea Minca

This paper investigates two mechanisms of financial contagion that are, firstly, the correlated exposure of banks to the same source of risk, and secondly the direct exposure of banks in the interbank market. It will consider a random…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-15 Seyyed Mostafa Mousavi , Robert Mackay , Alistair Tucker

The aim of this paper is to quantify and manage systemic risk caused by default contagion in the interbank market. We model the market as a random directed network, where the vertices represent financial institutions and the weighted edges…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-18 Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Konstantinos Panagiotou , Daniel Ritter

We study the impact of contagion in a network of firms facing credit risk. We describe an intensity based model where the homogeneity assumption is broken by introducing a random environment that makes it possible to take into account the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Paolo Dai Pra , Marco Tolotti

The 2008 financial crisis illustrated the need for a thorough, functional understanding of systemic risk in strongly interconnected financial structures. Dynamic processes on complex networks being intrinsically difficult, most recent…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-05 Matteo Smerlak , Brady Stoll , Agam Gupta , James S. Magdanz

Threats on the stability of a financial system may severely affect the functioning of the entire economy, and thus considerable emphasis is placed on the analyzing the cause and effect of such threats. The financial crisis in the current…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-28 Piotr Berman , Bhaskar DasGupta , Lakshmi Kaligounder , Marek Karpinski

Common asset holdings are widely believed to have been the primary vector of contagion in the recent financial crisis. We develop a network approach to the amplification of financial contagion due to the combination of overlapping…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-06 Fabio Caccioli , Munik Shrestha , Cristopher Moore , J. Doyne Farmer

One of the most defining features of the global financial network is its inherent complex and intertwined structure. From the perspective of systemic risk it is important to understand the influence of this network structure on default…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-11 Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Konstantinos Panagiotou , Daniel Ritter

Based on an empirical analysis of the network structure of the Austrian inter-bank market, we study the flow of funds through the banking network following exogenous shocks to the system. These shocks are implemented by stochastic changes…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Michael Boss , Martin Summer , Stefan Thurner

We consider a network of bank holdings, where every holding has two subsidiaries of different types. A subsidiary can trade with another holding's subsidiary of the same type. Holdings support their subsidiaries up to a certain level when…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-11 Maxim Bichuch , Nils Detering

The importance of adequately modeling credit risk has once again been highlighted in the recent financial crisis. Defaults tend to cluster around times of economic stress due to poor macro-economic conditions, {\em but also} by directly…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Sebastian Heise , Reimer Kuehn

As impressively shown by the financial crisis in 2007/08, contagion effects in financial networks harbor a great threat for the stability of the entire system. Without sufficient capital requirements for banks and other financial…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-19 Daniel Ritter

The interconnectedness of financial institutions affects instability and credit crises. To quantify systemic risk we introduce here the PD model, a dynamic model that combines credit risk techniques with a contagion mechanism on the network…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-10 Daniele Petrone , Vito Latora

We contribute to the understanding of how systemic risk arises in a network of credit-interlinked agents. Motivated by empirical studies we formulate a network model which, despite its simplicity, depicts the nature of interbank markets…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-26 Oliver Kley , Claudia Klüppelberg , Lukas Reichel

We develop a structural default model for interconnected financial institutions in a probabilistic framework. For all possible network structures we characterize the joint default distribution of the system using Bayesian network…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-02 Carsten Chong , Claudia Klüppelberg

In this paper, we introduce an impact centrality measure to evaluate shock propagation on financial networks capturing a notion of contagion and systemic risk contributions, permitting comparisons of these risks over time. In addition, we…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-06 Agathe Sadeghi , Zachary Feinstein

How, and to what extent, does an interconnected financial system endogenously amplify external shocks? This paper attempts to reconcile some apparently different views emerged after the 2008 crisis regarding the nature and the relevance of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-30 Gabriele Visentin , Stefano Battiston , Marco D'Errico

We study a simple, solvable model that allows us to investigate effects of credit contagion on the default probability of individual firms, in both portfolios of firms and on an economy wide scale. While the effect of interactions may be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 J. P. L. Hatchett , R. Kuehn
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