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In bandit algorithms, the randomly time-varying adaptive experimental design makes it difficult to apply traditional limit theorems to off-policy evaluation of the treatment effect. Moreover, the normal approximation by the central limit…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-11 Yechan Park , Nakahiro Yoshida

Let X be a second order random process indexed by a compact interval [0,T]. Assume that n independent realizations of X are observed on a fixed grid of p time points. Under mild regularity assumptions on the sample paths of X, we show the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-25 David Degras

This paper presents the asymptotic theory for nondegenerate $U$-statistics of high frequency observations of continuous It\^{o} semimartingales. We prove uniform convergence in probability and show a functional stable central limit theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-10 Mark Podolskij , Christian Schmidt , Johanna F. Ziegel

The quasi-likelihood estimator and the Bayesian type estimator of the volatility parameter are in general asymptotically mixed normal. In case the limit is normal, the asymptotic expansion was derived in Yoshida (1997) as an application of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-04 Nakahiro Yoshida

We propose a Bayesian test of normality for univariate or multivariate data against alternative nonparametric models characterized by Dirichlet process mixture distributions. The alternative models are based on the principles of embedding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-12 Surya T. Tokdar , Ryan Martin

We consider the estimation of parametric fractional time series models in which not only is the memory parameter unknown, but one may not know whether it lies in the stationary/invertible region or the nonstationary or noninvertible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-14 Javier Hualde , Peter M. Robinson

In this article, we are interested in the high dimensional normal approximation of $T_n =\Big(\sum_{i=1}^{n}X_{i1}/\Big(\sqrt{\sum_{i=1}^{n}X_{i1}^2}\Big),\dots,$ $\sum_{i=1}^{n}X_{ip}/\Big(\sqrt{\sum_{i=1}^{n}X_{ip}^2}\Big)\Big)$ in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-29 Debraj Das

For a sequence of i.i.d. random variables $\{\xi_x : x\in \bb Z\}$ bounded above and below by strictly positive finite constants, consider the nearest-neighbor one-dimensional simple exclusion process in which a particle at $x$ (resp.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 M. D. Jara , C. Landim

Exponential averages that appear in integral fluctuation theorems can be recast as a sum over moments of thermodynamic observables. We use two examples to show that such moment series can exhibit non-uniform convergence in certain singular…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-05-31 Hila Katznelson , Saar Rahav

We study the long-time dynamics of the nonlinear processes modeled by diffusion-transport partial differential equations in non-divergence form with drifts. The solutions are subject to some inhomogeneous Dirichlet boundary condition.…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Luan Hoang , Akif Ibragimov

The stochastic processes underlying the growth and stability of biological and psychological systems reveal themselves when far from equilibrium. Far from equilibrium, nonergodicity reigns. Nonergodicity implies that the average outcome for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-03 Madhur Mangalam , Damian G. Kelty-Stephen

This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Carsten H. Chong , Fabian Mies

We give a general Gaussian bound for the first chaos (or innovation) of point processes with stochastic intensity constructed by embedding in a bivariate Poisson process. We apply the general result to nonlinear Hawkes processes, providing…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Giovanni Luca Torrisi

In this paper, we give rates of convergence, for minimal distances and for the uniform distance, between the law of partial sums of martingale differences and thelimiting Gaussian distribution. More precisely, denoting by $P_{X}$ the law of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède , Emmanuel Rio

We establish central limit theorems for the Sample Average Approximation (SAA) method in discrete-time, finite-horizon stochastic optimal control. Our analysis is based on an abstract limit theorem for stochastic backward recursions, which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Johannes Milz , Alexander Shapiro

Consider nonlinear Schr\"odinger equations with small nonlinearities \[\frac{d}{dt}u+i(-\triangle u+V(x)u)=\epsilon \mathcal{P}(\triangle u,u,x),\quad x\in \mathbb{T}^d.\eqno{(*)}\] Let $\{\zeta_1(x),\zeta_2(x),\dots\}$ be the $L_2$-basis…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-12-04 Guan Huang

The projected normal distribution, also known as the angular Gaussian distribution, is obtained by dividing a multivariate normal random variable $\mathbf{x}$ by its norm $\sqrt{\mathbf{x}^T \mathbf{x}}$. The resulting random variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Daniel Herrera-Esposito , Johannes Burge

This paper first strictly proved that the growth of the second moment of a large class of Gaussian processes is not greater than power function and the covariance matrix is strictly positive definite. Under these two conditions, the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-21 Shifei Luo

Let $X=\{X_n: n\in\mathbb{N}\}$ be a linear process in which the coefficients are of the form $a_i=i^{-1}\ell(i)$ with $\ell$ being a slowly varying function at the infinity and the innovations are independent and identically distributed…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Fangjun Xu

We prove quenched versions of a central limit theorem, a large deviations principle as well as a local central limit theorem for expanding on average cocycles. This is achieved by building an appropriate modification of the spectral method…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-25 Davor Dragičević , Julien Sedro
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