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Predicting the scientific productivity of researchers is a basic task for academic administrators and funding agencies. This study provided a model for the publication dynamics of researchers, inspired by the distribution feature of…
Stein's method of exchangeable pairs is examined through five examples in relation to Poisson and normal distribution approximation. In particular, in the case where the exchangeable pair is constructed from a reversible Markov chain, we…
We propose a new procedure named PASOA, for Bayesian experimental design, that performs sequential design optimization by simultaneously providing accurate estimates of successive posterior distributions for parameter inference. The…
This paper presents some general formulas for random partitions of a finite set derived by Kingman's model of random sampling from an interval partition generated by subintervals whose lengths are the points of a Poisson point process.…
This paper introduces a new stochastic process with values in the set Z of integers with sign. The increments of process are Poisson differences and the dynamics has an autoregressive structure. We study the properties of the process and…
Recently, a generalized Bernoulli process (GBP) was developed as a stationary binary sequence whose covariance function obeys a power law. In this paper, we further develop generalized Bernoulli processes, reveal their asymptotic behaviors,…
Fractional generalizations of the Poisson process and branching Furry process are considered. The link between characteristics of the processes, fractional differential equations and Levy stable densities are discussed and used for…
We study the largest gaps between successive zeros of a smooth stationary Gaussian process. Our main result is that, if correlations decay at least polynomially, then after suitable rescaling of the locations and sizes of the largest gaps…
In this paper we introduce the subdistribution beta-Stacy process, a novel Bayesian nonparametric process prior for subdistribution functions useful for the analysis of competing risks data. In particular, we i) characterize this process…
We propose a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for the reconstruction and prediction from observed time series data, of discretized stochastic dynamical systems, based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods (MCMC). Our results can be used…
In this paper, we introduce and study fractional versions of three compound Poisson processes, namely, the Bell-Touchard process, the Poisson-logarithmic process and the generalized P\'olya-Aeppli process. It is shown that these processes…
In this paper, we are concerned with the stochastic process \begin{equation} \beta_{n}(q_{t},t)=\beta_{n}(t)=\frac{1}{\sqrt{n}}\sum_{j=1}^{n}\left\{G_{t,n}(Y(t))-G_{t}(Y_{j}(t))\right\} q_{t}(Y_{j}(t)), \tag{A} \end{equation} where for…
We propose a general modeling framework for marked Poisson processes observed over time or space. The modeling approach exploits the connection of the nonhomogeneous Poisson process intensity with a density function. Nonparametric Dirichlet…
Bayesian model comparison (BMC) offers a principled probabilistic approach to study and rank competing models. In standard BMC, we construct a discrete probability distribution over the set of possible models, conditional on the observed…
In this paper, we revisit the original ideas of Stein and propose an estimator of the intensity parameter of a homogeneous Poisson point process defined in $\R^d$ and observed in a bounded window. The procedure is based on a new general…
In this paper, we introduce a bivariate tempered space-fractional Poisson process (BTSFPP) by time-changing the bivariate Poisson process with an independent tempered $\alpha$-stable subordinator. We study its distributional properties and…
Hierarchical data with multiple observations per group is ubiquitous in empirical sciences and is often analyzed using mixed-effects regression. In such models, Bayesian inference gives an estimate of uncertainty but is analytically…
In this paper, we use a biorthogonal approach (Appell system) to construct and characterize the spaces of test and generalized functions associated to the fractional Poisson measure $\pi_{\lambda,\beta}$, that is, a probability measure in…
Let $\eta_t$ be a Poisson point process of intensity $t\geq 1$ on some state space $\Y$ and $f$ be a non-negative symmetric function on $\Y^k$ for some $k\geq 1$. Applying $f$ to all $k$-tuples of distinct points of $\eta_t$ generates a…
Many inverse problems require reconstructing physical fields from limited and noisy data while incorporating known governing equations. A growing body of work within probabilistic numerics formalizes such tasks via Bayesian inference in…