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This paper proposes and analyzes fully data driven methods for inference about the mean function of a stochastic process from a sample of independent trajectories of the process, observed at discrete time points and corrupted by additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-05-20 F. Bunea , M. H. Wegkamp , A. E. Ivanescu

In this paper we study splittings of a Poisson point process which are equivariant under a conservative transformation. We show that, if the Cartesian powers of this transformation are all ergodic, the only ergodic splitting is the obvious…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-21 Elise Janvresse , Emmanuel Roy , Thierry De La Rue

Our first result concerns a characterisation by means of a functional equation of Poisson point processes conditioned by the value of their first moment. It leads to a generalised version of Mecke's formula. En passant, it also allows to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-25 Giovanni Conforti , Tetiana Kosenkova , Sylvie Roelly

With any max-stable random process $\eta$ on $\mathcal{X}=\mathbb{Z}^d$ or $\mathbb{R}^d$, we associate a random tessellation of the parameter space $\mathcal{X}$. The construction relies on the Poisson point process representation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Clément Dombry , Z. Kabluchko

Statistical inference on the mean of a Poisson distribution is a fundamentally important problem with modern applications in, e.g., particle physics. The discreteness of the Poisson distribution makes this problem surprisingly challenging,…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-03 Ryan Martin , Duncan Ermini Leaf , Chuanhai Liu

We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

We consider a weighted sum of a series of independent Poisson random variables and show that it results in a new compound Poisson distribution which includes the Poisson distribution and Poisson distribution of order k. An explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-18 Palaniappan Vellaisamy , Tomoyuki Ichiba

We consider here together the inference questions and the change-point problem in Poisson autoregressions (see Tj{\o}stheim, 2012). The conditional mean (or intensity) of the process is involved as a non-linear function of it past values…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-09 Paul Doukhan , William Kengne

By the method of Poissonization we confirm some existing results concerning consistent estimation of the structural distribution function in the situation of a large number of rare events. Inconsistency of the so called natural estimator is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Bert van Es , Stamatis Kolios

We consider stochastic processes arising from dynamical systems simply by evaluating an observable function along the orbits of the system and study marked point processes associated to extremal observations of such time series…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mário Magalhães

In this paper, we adopt a Bayesian point of view for predicting real continuous-time processes. We give two equivalent definitions of a Bayesian predictor and study some properties: admissibility, prediction sufficiency, non-unbiasedness,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-31 Delphine Blanke , Denis Bosq

In this paper we consider approximations to the popular Pitman-Yor process obtained by truncating the stick-breaking representation. The truncation is determined by a random stopping rule that achieves an almost sure control on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Julyan Arbel , Pierpaolo De Blasi , Igor Pruenster

In this work, we consider an estimation method in sparse Poisson models inspired by [1] and provide novel sign consistency results under mild conditions.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-27 Marina Gomtsyan , Céline Lévy-Leduc , Sarah Ouadah , Laure Sansonnet

In a general stochastic multistate promoter model of dynamic mRNA/protein interactions, we identify the stationary joint distribution of the promoter state, mRNA, and protein levels through an explicit `stick-breaking' construction of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-26 William Lippitt , Sunder Sethuraman , Xueying Tang

We introduce a multistable subordinator, which generalizes the stable subordinator to the case of time-varying stability index. This enables us to define a multifractional Poisson process. We study properties of these processes and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-05 Ilya Molchanov , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

We characterize the combinatorial structure of conditionally-i.i.d. sequences of negative binomial processes with a common beta process base measure. In Bayesian nonparametric applications, such processes have served as models for latent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Creighton Heaukulani , Daniel M. Roy

We consider a one dimensional random-walk-like process, whose steps are centered Gaussians with variances which are determined according to the sequence of arrivals of a Poisson process on the line. This process is decorated by independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-27 Aser Cortines , Lisa Hartung , Oren Louidor

We prove consistency of four different approaches to formalizing the idea of minimum average edge-length in a path linking some infinite subset of points of a Poisson process. The approaches are (i) shortest path from origin through some…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David Aldous , Maxim Krikun

The Poisson compound decision problem is a long-standing problem in statistics, where empirical Bayes methodologies are commonly used to estimate Poisson's means in static or batch domains. In this paper, we study the Poisson compound…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 Stefano Favaro , Sandra Fortini

We consider a bivariate first hitting-time model in which durations are the crossing times of dependent compound Poisson processes with fixed thresholds. The identifiability of the model is discussed, and likelihood estimators of the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-14 Mikael Escobar-Bach , Alexandre Popier , Malo Sahin
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