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We introduce a general class of branching Markov processes for the modelling of a parasite infection in a cell population. Each cell contains a quantity of parasites which evolves as a diffusion with positive jumps. The drift, diffusive…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-31 Aline Marguet , Charline Smadi

We introduce a general class of branching Markov processes for the modelling of a parasite infection in a cell population. Each cell contains a quantity of parasites which evolves as a diffusion with positive jumps. The growth rate,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-02 Aline Marguet , Charline Smadi

To investigate interactions between parasite species in a host, a population of field voles was studied longitudinally, with presence or absence of six different parasites measured repeatedly. Although trapping sessions were regular, a…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-29 Chris Sherlock , Tatiana Xifara , Sandra Telfer , Mike Begon

The emergence or adaptation of pathogens may lead to epidemics, highlighting the need for a thorough understanding of pathogen evolution. The tradeoff hypothesis suggests that virulence evolves to reach an optimal transmission intensity…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-09 Daniel A. M. Villela

We are interested in modeling some two-level population dynamics, resulting from the interplay of ecological interactions and phenotypic variation of individuals (or hosts) and the evolution of cells (or parasites) of two types living in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-21 Sylvie Méléard , Sylvie Roelly

A stochastic model for the growth of a virus in a cell population is introduced. The virus has two ways of spreading: either by allowing its host cell to live on and duplicate, or else by multiplying in large numbers within the host cell…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-30 Jakob E. Björnberg , Tom Britton , Erik I. Broman , Eviatar Natan

We present a model for host-parasite dynamics which incorporates both vertical and horizontal transmission as well as spatial structure. Our model consists of stacked contact processes (CP), where the dynamics of the host is a simple CP on…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-05-26 Steven J. Court , Richard A. Blythe , Rosalind J. Allen

A host-parasite model is considered for a population of cells that can be of two types, A or B, and exhibits unilateral reproduction: while a B-cell always splits into two cells of the same type, the two daughter cells of an A-cell can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-06 Gerold Alsmeyer , Sören Gröttrup

Inspired by DNA data of the human cytomegalovirus we propose a model of a two-type parasite population distributed over its hosts. The parasite is capable to persist in its host till the host dies, and to reinfect other hosts. To maintain…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-15 Cornelia Pokalyuk , Anton Wakolbinger

Motivated by the study of a parasite infection in a cell line, we introduce a general class of Markov processes for the modelling of population dynamics. The population process evolves as a diffusion with positive jumps whose rate is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Aline Marguet , Charline Smadi

We analyse a model that describes the propagation of many pathogens within and between many species. A branching process approximation is used to compute the probability of disease outbreaks. Special cases of aquatic environments with two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-21 Clotilde Djuikem , Julien Arino

We consider a discrete-time host-parasite model for a population of cells which are colonized by proliferating parasites. The cell population grows like an ordinary Galton-Watson process, but in reflection of real biological settings the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-18 Gerold Alsmeyer , Sören Gröttrup

Interactions among multiple infectious agents are increasingly recognized as a fundamental issue in the understanding of key questions in public health, regarding pathogen emergence, maintenance, and evolution. The full description of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-21 Chiara Poletto , Sandro Meloni , Vittoria Colizza , Yamir Moreno , Alessandro Vespignani

Mathematical models of infectious disease transmission typically neglect within-host dynamics. Yet within-host dynamics - including pathogen replication, host immune responses, and interactions with microbiota - are crucial not only for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-20 Cameron A. Smith , Ben Ashby

Spatial patterning can be crucially important for understanding the behavior of interacting populations. Here we investigate a simple model of parasite and host populations in which parasites are random walkers that must come into contact…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-07 J. J. Dong , B. Skinner , N. Breecher , B. Schmittmann , R. K. P. Zia

Different pathogens spreading in the same host population often generate complex co-circulation dynamics because of the many possible interactions between the pathogens and the host immune system, the host life cycle, and the space…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-18 Chiara Poletto , Sandro Meloni , Ashleigh Van Metre , Vittoria Colizza , Yamir Moreno , Alessandro Vespignani

Density dependent Markov population processes with countably many types can often be well approximated over finite time intervals by the solution of the differential equations that describe their average drift, provided that the total…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-05 A. D. Barbour , Malwina Luczak

Rapidly mutating pathogens may be able to persist in the population and reach an endemic equilibrium by escaping hosts' acquired immunity. For such diseases, multiple biological, environmental and population-level mechanisms determine the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-07 Alberto Aleta , Andreia N. S. Hisi , Sandro Meloni , Chiara Poletto , Vittoria Colizza , Yamir Moreno

We consider a branching model for a population of dividing cells infected by parasites. Each cell receives parasites by inheritance from its mother cell and independent contamination from outside the population. Parasites multiply randomly…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-05 Vincent Bansaye

This paper presents a stochastic model motivated by the study of a virus-like evolving population with different mutation rates. This is a continuous time birth-death model: the birth processes are mutually-exciting Hawkes processes and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Rahul Roy , Dharmaraja Selvamuthu , Paola Tardelli
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