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We study nonparametric density estimation problems where error is measured in the Wasserstein distance, a metric on probability distributions popular in many areas of statistics and machine learning. We give the first minimax-optimal rates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Jonathan Niles-Weed , Quentin Berthet

Causal inference is crucial for understanding the true impact of interventions, policies, or actions, enabling informed decision-making and providing insights into the underlying mechanisms that shape our world. In this paper, we establish…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-26 Jingyue Huang , Changbao Wu , Leilei Zeng

In a variety of applications it is important to extract information from a probability measure $\mu$ on an infinite dimensional space. Examples include the Bayesian approach to inverse problems and possibly conditioned) continuous time…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-02 Frank Pinski , Gideon Simpson , Andrew Stuart , Hendrik Weber

This paper introduces a new technique for quantifying the approximation error of a broad class of probabilistic inference programs, including ones based on both variational and Monte Carlo approaches. The key idea is to derive a subjective…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-06-02 Marco F Cusumano-Towner , Vikash K Mansinghka

The problem of measurement in quantum mechanics is reanalyzed within a general, strictly probabilistic framework (without reduction postulate). Based on a novel comprehensive definition of measurement the natural emergence of objective…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Markus Simonius

Estimation frameworks for statistical inference are preferred to hypothesis testing when quantifying uncertainty and precise estimation are more valuable than binary decisions about statistical significance. Study design for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

This paper considers the problem of testing many moment inequalities where the number of moment inequalities, denoted by $p$, is possibly much larger than the sample size $n$. There is a variety of economic applications where solving this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-22 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato

The approximation of probability measures on compact metric spaces and in particular on Riemannian manifoldsby atomic or empirical ones is a classical task in approximation and complexity theory with a wide range of applications. Instead of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Martin Ehler , Manuel Gräf , Sebastian Neumayer , Gabriele Steidl

Efficient methods for characterizing the performance of quantum measurements are important in the experimental quantum sciences. Ideally, one requires both a physically relevant distinguishability measure between measurement operations and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-12 Easwar Magesan , Paola Cappellaro

Comparing probability distributions is a core challenge across the natural, social, and computational sciences. Existing methods, such as Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD), struggle in high-dimensional and non-compact domains. Here we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-09 Logan S. McCarty

We extend the concept of probabilistic unambiguous discrimination of quantum states to quantum state estimation. We consider a scenario where the measurement device can output either an estimate of the unknown input state or an inconclusive…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Jaromir Fiurasek

We establish asymptotic upper and lower bounds for the Wasserstein distance of any order $p\ge 1$ between the empirical measure of a fractional Brownian motion on a flat torus and the uniform Lebesgue measure. Our inequalities reveal an…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Martin Huesmann , Francesco Mattesini , Dario Trevisan

We present a PAC-Bayes-style generalization bound which enables the replacement of the KL-divergence with a variety of Integral Probability Metrics (IPM). We provide instances of this bound with the IPM being the total variation metric and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-02 Ron Amit , Baruch Epstein , Shay Moran , Ron Meir

We investigate the optimal estimation of quantum expectation value of a physical observable, which minimizes a mean error with respect to general measure of deviation, when a finite number of copies of a pure state are prepared. If pure…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Minoru Horibe , Akihisa Hayashi , Takaaki Hashimoto

A simple criterion is presented for a practical construction of generalized moments that allow one to approach the theoretical Rao-Cramer limit for parameter estimation while avoiding the complexity of the maximum likelihood method in the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Fyodor V. Tkachov

The asymptotic behaviour of empirical measures has been studied extensively. In this paper, we consider empirical measures of given subordinated processes on complete (not necessarily compact) and connected Riemannian manifolds with…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Huaiqian Li , Bingyao Wu

Bayesian optimal experimental design (OED) provides a principled framework for selecting observations or experiments. We introduce new Bayesian design criteria based on the expected Wasserstein-$p$ distance between the prior and posterior…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-28 Tapio Helin , Youssef Marzouk , Jose Rodrigo Rojo-Garcia

We are interested in the Wasserstein distance between two probability measures on $\R^n$ sharing the same copula $C$. The image of the probability measure $dC$ by the vectors of pseudo-inverses of marginal distributions is a natural…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-17 Aurélien Alfonsi , Benjamin Jourdain

Credal sets, i.e., closed convex sets of probability measures, provide a natural framework to represent aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty in machine learning. Yet how to quantify these two types of uncertainty for a given credal set,…

Nonprobability (convenience) samples are increasingly sought to reduce the estimation variance for one or more population variables of interest that are estimated using a randomized survey (reference) sample by increasing the effective…