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We study in this paper the consequences of using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) as a measure of quality for regression models. We show that finding the best model under the MAPE is equivalent to doing weighted Mean Absolute Error…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-09 Arnaud De Myttenaere , Bénédicte Le Grand , Fabrice Rossi

Quantum measurements with feed-forward are crucial components of fault-tolerant quantum computers. We show how the error rate of such a measurement can be directly estimated by fitting the probability that successive randomly compiled…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-02-04 Darian McLaren , Matthew A. Graydon , Ali Assem Mahmoud , Joel J. Wallman

Computing the infinity Wasserstein distance and retrieving projections of a probability measure onto a closed subset of probability measures are critical sub-problems in various applied fields. However, the practical applicability of these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-15 Gennaro Auricchio , Gabriele Loli , Marco Veneroni

Quantization for a Borel probability measure refers to the idea of estimating a given probability by a discrete probability with support containing a finite number of elements. In this paper, we have considered a Borel probability measure…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Megha Pandey , Mrinal Kanti Roychowdhury

In classical statistics and distribution testing, it is often assumed that elements can be sampled from some distribution $P$, and that when an element $x$ is sampled, the probability $P$ of sampling $x$ is also known. Recent work in…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-08-03 Talya Eden , Jakob Bæk Tejs Houen , Shyam Narayanan , Will Rosenbaum , Jakub Tětek

This short study presents an opportunistic approach to a (more) reliable validation method for prediction uncertainty average calibration. Considering that variance-based calibration metrics (ZMS, NLL, RCE...) are quite sensitive to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-27 Pascal Pernot

We introduce probability estimation, a broadly applicable framework to certify randomness in a finite sequence of measurement results without assuming that these results are independent and identically distributed. Probability estimation…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-11-30 Yanbao Zhang , Emanuel Knill , Peter Bierhorst

The estimation of a probability p from repeated Bernoulli trials is considered in this paper. A sequential approach is followed, using a simple stopping rule. A closed-form expression and an upper bound are obtained for the mean absolute…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-19 Luis Mendo

We provide a short proof that the Wasserstein distance between the empirical measure of a n-sample and the estimated measure is of order n^-(1/d), if the measure has a lower and upper bounded density on the d-dimensional flat torus.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-21 Vincent Divol

We introduce principal curves in Wasserstein space, and in general compact metric spaces. Our motivation for the Wasserstein case comes from optimal-transport-based trajectory inference, where a developing population of cells traces out a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-08 Andrew Warren , Anton Afanassiev , Forest Kobayashi , Young-Heon Kim , Geoffrey Schiebinger

In the study of dynamical and physical systems, the input parameters are often uncertain or randomly distributed according to a measure $\varrho$. The system's response $f$ pushes forward $\varrho$ to a new measure $f\circ \varrho$ which we…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2019-11-15 Amir Sagiv

We consider approximating a measure by a parameterized curve subject to length penalization. That is for a given finite positive compactly supported measure $\mu$, for $p \geq 1$ and $\lambda>0$ we consider the functional \[ E(\gamma) =…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-11-12 Xin Yang Lu , Dejan Slepčev

We consider statistical learning problems in which data are observed as a set of probability measures. Optimal transport (OT) is a popular tool to compare and manipulate such objects, but its computational cost becomes prohibitive when the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Erell Gachon , Elsa Cazelles , Jérémie Bigot

We distinguish two questions (i) how much information does the prior contain? and (ii) what is the effect of the prior? Several measures have been proposed for quantifying effective prior sample size, for example Clarke [1996] and Morita et…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-30 David E Jones , Robert N Trangucci , Yang Chen

Quantum metrology is a general term for methods to precisely estimate the value of an unknown parameter by actively using quantum resources. In particular, some classes of entangled states can be used to significantly suppress the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-01 Takanori Sugiyama

The radiological characterization of contaminated elements (walls, grounds, objects) from nuclear facilities often suffers from a too small number of measurements. In order to determine risk prediction bounds on the level of contamination,…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-30 Géraud Blatman , Thibault Delage , Bertrand Iooss , Nadia Pérot

The quantization scheme in probability theory deals with finding a best approximation of a given probability distribution by a probability distribution that is supported on finitely many points. In this paper, first we state and prove a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-05 Juan Gomez , Haily Martinez , Mrinal K. Roychowdhury , Alexis Salazar , Daniel J. Vallez

The paper proposes a new approach to model risk measurement based on the Wasserstein distance between two probability measures. It formulates the theoretical motivation resulting from the interpretation of fictitious adversary of robust…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-05 Yu Feng , Erik Schlögl

Identifying leading measurement units from a large collection is a common inference task in various domains of large-scale inference. Testing approaches, which measure evidence against a null hypothesis rather than effect magnitude, tend to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-17 Nicholas C. Henderson , Michael A. Newton

Quantum measurements are not deterministic. For this reason quantum measurements are repeated for a number of shots on identically prepared systems. The uncertainty in each measurement depends on the number of shots and the expected outcome…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-03-12 Pieter Thijs Eendebak
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