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We analyze the notion that physical theories are quantitative and testable by observations in experiments. This leads us to propose a new, Bayesian, interpretation of probabilities in physics that unifies their current use in classical…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Francis G. Perey

It is argued that string theory may pose new conceptual issues for the history and philosophy of science.

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Howard J. Schnitzer

We comment on the relation between string theory and empirical science, grounding our discussion in cosmology, a subject with increasingly precise data in which this connection operates at several levels. It is important to take into…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2017-06-12 Eva Silverstein

A general theory of innovation and progress in human society is outlined, based on the combat between two opposite forces (conservatism/inertia and speculative herding "bubble" behavior). We contend that human affairs are characterized by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Didier Sornette

Currently, the value of a new physical theory is determined by whether it has been published in a prestigious journal. Yet, to publish an article in a prestigious journal, one must undergo a rigorous process of independent subjective peer…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-23 Yefim Bakman

Establishing unambiguously the existence of speculative bubbles is an on-going controversy complicated by the need of defining a model of fundamental prices. Here, we present a novel empirical method which bypasses all the difficulties of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 B. M. Roehner , D. Sornette

Measurements play a crucial role in doing physics: Their results provide the basis on which we adopt or reject physical theories. In this note, we examine the effect of subjecting measurements themselves to our experience. We require that…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-01-28 Arne Hansen , Stefan Wolf

String theory has been the dominating research field in theoretical physics during the last decades. Despite the considerable time elapse, no new testable predictions have been derived by string theorists and it is understandable that…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2011-10-12 Lars-Göran Johansson , Keizo Matsubara

Results of measurements give legitimacy to a physical theory. What if acquiring these results in the first place necessitates what the same theory considers to be an interaction? In this note, we assume that theories account for…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-05-01 Arne Hansen , Stefan Wolf

Because there are similarities between the evaluation of alternative stories in criminal trials and the evaluation of scientific theories, scholars have looked to literature in epistemology and the philosophy of science for insights on the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-22 Julia Mortera , William C. Thompson

Just like everything in the nature, scientific topics flourish and perish. While existing literature well captures article's life-cycle via citation patterns, little is known about how scientific popularity and impact evolves for a specific…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-09 Luoyi Fu , Dongrui Lu , Qi Li , Xinbing Wang , Chenghu Zhou

We explore a paradox of collective action and certainty in science wherein the more scientists research together, the less that work contributes to the value of their collective certainty. When scientists address similar problems and share…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-11 Eamon Duede , James Evans

At the present time, string theory (and its generalizations) remain relatively abstruse subjects to the particle phenomenologist and experimentalist. Yet, striking developments of the last two years offer hope that a fundamental…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 Sunil Mukhi

Empirical science needs to be based on facts and claims that can be reproduced. This calls for replicating the studies that proclaim the claims, but practice in most fields still fails to implement this idea. When such studies emerged in…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-08-27 Werner A. Stahel

The status of string theory is reviewed, and major recent developments - especially those in going beyond perturbation theory in the string theory and quantum field theory frameworks - are discussed. This analysis helps better understand…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2010-12-17 A. Marshakov

There are many ways we can not know. Even in systems that we created ourselves, as, for example, systems in mathematical logic, Go\"edel and Tarski's theorems impose limits on what we can know. As we try to speak of the real world, things…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2020-06-04 André C. R. Martins

Statistical physics has proven to be a very fruitful framework to describe phenomena outside the realm of traditional physics. The last years have witnessed the attempt by physicists to study collective phenomena emerging from the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-05-11 Claudio Castellano , Santo Fortunato , Vittorio Loreto

In response to growing concern about the reliability and reproducibility of published science, researchers have proposed adopting measures of greater statistical stringency, including suggestions to require larger sample sizes and to lower…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-09 Harlan Campbell , Paul Gustafson

It is widely believed that theory is useful in physics because it describes simple systems and that strictly empirical phenomenological approaches are necessary for complex biological and social systems. Here we prove based upon an analysis…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-08-15 Yaneer Bar-Yam

Recent decades have seen a rise in the use of physics methods to study different societal phenomena. This development has been due to physicists venturing outside of their traditional domains of interest, but also due to scientists from…

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